Comments for Daily25 Betting Blog Follow my adventures as I try and make $250 a day from Sports betting Tue, 14 Apr 2015 12:39:00 +0000 hourly 1 Comment on April 8th – April 14th -$12,053.80 by wah Tue, 14 Apr 2015 12:39:00 +0000 hmm
Im not sure about Gowie for two reasons firstly he seems to be changing things a lot lately so we are only really guessing about the futrue. But mostly because any records i have of my results previously are no longer of any relevance as i was able to access BV Marathon Lad etc which made getting odds possible (sort of) and this problem is not his but mine i guess and goes for almost every tipster ive followed (thats why i like the strait recording to pinnacle odds from a tipster you can then say at those odds they make 1%roi or whatever it may be so all i have to do is match or beat those and ill make at least that). The odds he posts are most certainly available when he posts them but well you know the rest.

I dont mind the idea of backing certain teams over again as often it takes the market a long while to catch on eg port adelaide to win the last quarter (gold mine for 1.5 seasons and i would have predicted with 2 ruckmen the opposite this seaon) adelaide to loose last half etc(and again with more players running through the middfield opposite this season) but i do have some issues with middlesborough -1.25 etc (just to get the 2$ odds) as they dont seem to score a lot of goals. Having said that if i follow a tipster i follow them even if i disagree (sportspunter afl all the time usually im wrong)

I would just love some better records to go over and analyse.
I now have issues with winabob and i love everything about that service but cant make money from it anymore and because all of mikes records are to joke books they are almost irrelevant to me. I suspect if he had recorded to pinnacle or

ps i think the SP mlb and nhl are excellent but have my doubts about NBA
pps AFL NRL S15 and NFL arent too bad either

Comment on April 8th – April 14th -$12,053.80 by Mariano Tue, 14 Apr 2015 05:22:00 +0000 Yes, there are some good, like McIlroy last year, Benfica in Europa League two years in a row (although they lost the final, but they were good to do some trading) and the Championship bets you mentioned, but still overall I’m not sure if they are profitable and odds are definitely hard to get for the kind of staking he recommends (2-3 units).
There are many this season in Premier League, League One and League Two that have been terrible and lost for a long time. This year’s golf bet doesn’t look good for now (I skipped it), in the World Cup I skipped almost all of them and they were rubbish (huge stakes on Brazil to win it for example).
Wolfsburg would be good…the problem is that he’s betting on them every now and then despite the odds and he’s losing some of the potential profit he might get on it if they win Europa League!

Comment on April 8th – April 14th -$12,053.80 by Steve Tue, 14 Apr 2015 05:08:00 +0000 There is potential for some big wins. I missed the Wolfsburg pick when i was in the states, that would be a massive win. Middlesborough also are still in with a chance.
I believe his day to day betting is rubbish, but the longterm stuff (while impossible to get the odds) offers some value.

Comment on April 8th – April 14th -$12,053.80 by Mariano Tue, 14 Apr 2015 04:31:00 +0000 Well, you were lucky then.
I have a few more months of subscription to this service but after 2 years I think I’m done with it. Unfortunately it’s not what it used to be and I’m tired of taking the same bets on the same teams week after week.

Comment on April 8th – April 14th -$12,053.80 by Steve Tue, 14 Apr 2015 04:27:00 +0000 I bet only when I can match odds or get very close. Which means only betting on a small percentage of total bets.

Comment on April 8th – April 14th -$12,053.80 by Mariano Tue, 14 Apr 2015 04:19:00 +0000 Did you take all GOWI bets ? I guess you skipped most of the golf ones, otherwise that profit wouldn’t be there.

Comment on April 1st – April 7th +$18,944.72 by Steve Fri, 10 Apr 2015 06:44:00 +0000 Hey Mattx,
I’m a big fan of stocks, and have a large chunk in the market. I just believe that betting (when done correctly) offers a much better return for less risk. Currently reading Tony Robbins Money book.
Stocks require no work which is great. Buy index funds, set and forget. You will beat 96% of managed funds.

Comment on April 1st – April 7th +$18,944.72 by Mattx Fri, 10 Apr 2015 06:33:00 +0000 Good work mate.

Loving your words of wisdom about negative times.
Ups and downs will come, but keep your head in the game, controlling the things that can be controlled.

I seem to remember that you don’t like stock market investing, but I’m into that as well as sports punting. I wanted to share an awesome quote from that world that sort of fits your mindset with punting.

” Time in the market is more important than timing the market.”

Anyway, cheers for your hard work.
I really appreciate it.

Comment on The dirty little secret that tipsters don’t want you to know. by Brett Wed, 08 Apr 2015 12:12:00 +0000 That’s why we really want to look more at the big 3 american sports (NFL,NBA and MLB).

Having done (and still doing) NBA and NFL modelling for 5 years, BOL. I’m in awe of the closing line efficiency of these markets.

If all you’re packing is modelling against standard box-score data, you will not get far.

Comment on The dirty little secret that tipsters don’t want you to know. by Brett Wed, 08 Apr 2015 12:08:00 +0000 “There is no doubt any service can lose its “mojo” and become a losing one.”

Nothing to do with ‘mojo’ and everything to do with market efficiency.

The no.1 reason why a model can go on an extended losing run is that the market has caught up with its methods, and the utility of those approaches are pummeled into the line/price.

We’re all in a race to the bottom; sports betting is a quantitative arms race where modelers innovate or perish.

From first hand experience, the extent I’ve seen groups go to find advantage is phenomenal, and it would be affecting some of the sports/markets you have mentioned. All just to stay ahead of this inexorable degradation rate in ROI% returns.