Daily25 Betting Blog http://www.daily25.com Follow my adventures as I try and make $250 a day from Sports betting Tue, 28 Apr 2015 02:56:54 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=4.2.1 April 22nd – April 28th -$35,800.11 http://www.daily25.com/april-22nd-april-28th-35800-11/ http://www.daily25.com/april-22nd-april-28th-35800-11/#comments Tue, 28 Apr 2015 02:53:18 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2552 ‘ve had some large losing weeks, but never anything in the $30,000 range. By far my worst week betting ever. While a week like this would hurt at the best of times, added onto the...

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I‘ve had some large losing weeks, but never anything in the $30,000 range. By far my worst week betting ever. While a week like this would hurt at the best of times, added onto the back of the last few losing months and also nearing the end of my 5th year of betting and if there has ever been a time where I’ve just wanted to throw it all in, than that time is surely now. I won’t off course, I will wait till the end of the season and when in a calmer mood I will break down all the results and see what went wrong. We make sub-optimal decisions when we are in a stressed state and I hope to write about research to that affect soon. But put simply, people tend to stop following a tipster or sell stocks right at the worst possible time as they are not thinking properly. I see it with Dailyprofit members all the time. The fact is you need to set your bank and ride out the waves that come over the season. My combined highly leveraged bank each season is $100k now and there is every chance that one season that bank will go bust. There is no doubt now that this season will be my first losing one, it’s just a matter of how bad and how I can improve so it doesn’t repeat in year 6.

Yesterday I was going through my RSS reader. This is how I consume most of the websites I read. Whenever a new post is put up by a website, it is sent to my feedly app and I can see all the new articles and get through hundreds of websites really quickly. I also like to call it my punters wasteland. Every other week there will be a new blog where someone decides to embark on the same journey as me, I do enjoy reading other peoples journeys as well and over the years there have been at least 50 of these type of blogs. Yesterday I decided to clean up my feeds and deleted any blogs that had not updated in the last 6 months. That meant I deleted over 50 blogs. They all started out thinking how easy it would be, but after a few weeks and for the rare few a month or two, they lose a bit of money and give up. This highlights how difficult it really is to make a profit gambling. More so it highlights how naive people are about gambling and how ill prepared they are for it. I blogged weekly for 15 months and showed a grand total profit of $0, but I knew this was a long term experiment and I was learning as I went. I saw the mistakes I made as educational expenses. I thought I had finally cracked it and now it was time to reap the rewards, but this season has shown me that you can never stop learning and improving.

I think that last paragraph was more a pep talk for me than anyone else. I need to appreciate the fact that I have come a long way over the last 5 years and while this period has been the toughest, I know I will get through it and learn some valuable lessons which will make my future betting even more anti-fragile than before.

Ok, onto the results for the biggest loss ever in a week for me. The AFL continues to be my rock. $11,000 profit this week. But that ended the good times for SP models. NHL lost $6,700, MLB lost a massive $11,600, NRL lost $5,800 and the Rugby lost $1,100. In total the Sportpunter models contributed $14,200 to the $35,800 loss this week.

ClubGOWI made $1,000 but I missed a heap of his winners and also added in a lot of his long term losing bets. He did get a golf winner this week and many members would have made a nice profit from the service this week. With a few more long term losses to add to the total, I sit on 0.8% ROI for this service after more than a year of following. Others in the forum have mentioned they can usually get the odds just before game time, so potentially it is a case of me just being in the wrong time zone for this tipster. I do track every bet and if I had managed to get on every single bet at the prices advised, I would be sitting on a 3% return, which would make me very happy.

Moving onto what has really killed me the last few months and left me with a massive decision to make come seasons end. The Soccer bets have been in free fall since February and I remember back to when I was in the states for the Superbowl and missed a heap of bets that saved me close to $15,000 (I think). So really, the results should be much much worse.  Football Elite lost $1,100 this week and sits on a minuscule profit. Football Value lost $1,000 and Winabobatoo made $800. The 2 big disappointments have been TFA and Football Investor. Things were looking so good mid season for these two services, but the last few months have wiped out any profit and faith I had in these. TFA lost $7,400 this week and Football Investor lost $10,600 to push it into negative for the season. I believe this season my TFA portfolio has been one of the best performing so I don’t want to think about how others are coping. If it wasn’t for the European bets, it would be another disaster like last season. Football Investor if I remember correctly was sitting on over $30,000 profit at one stage, so the swing has been huge. I would also like to hear from anyone who decided to follow only those bets where all tipsters agreed.

My own personal betting lost a further $1,300 and betting against tipsters lost $1,500

So that ends the worst betting week (SO FAR) of this journey. The last 3 weeks have now seen a $71,749.12 loss. Hopefully the rot stops here, but I highly doubt that with another week of Soccer ahead.

Total Loss for the week was $35,800.11

By joining the Daily25 email list, you will get updates and insights into how I am doing, what tools I use, the services I recommend, and what is happening in the gambling industry.

Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $6,445,535.93
Profit/Loss: -$45,335.81
POT: -0.7%
Bets Placed: 9021
Won: 2894
Lost: 4219
Half Payout: 62
Refunded: 1846
Winning %: 40.7%
Total profit per day: $302,189.03 / 1763 = $171.40
Total Turnover: $20,788,279.30
Total ROI: 1.45%

AFL H2H – SP $86,015.00 $13,439.03 15.6%
week profit/loss: 2411

AFL Line – SP $378,439.00 $(12,577.37) -3.3%
week profit/loss: 8532

NHL Totals $588,092.00 $12,018.99 2.0%
week profit/loss: -6737.70

Rugby SP $60,624.00 $(1,715.10) -2.8%
week profit/loss: -1081

NRL SP $85,027.00 $(2,233.25) -2.6%
week profit/loss: -5846.23

SP MLB $394,478.00 $8,210.30 2.1%
week profit/loss: -11627.18

ClubGowi $666,133.00 $5,477.62 0.8%
week profit/loss: 961

GOWI $19,776.00 $3,322.28 16.8%
week profit/loss: 0

Jason Kelly Golf $13,441.93 $(7,208.53) -53.6%
week profit/loss: 0

Betswot $9,573.00 $(7,818.00) -81.7%
week profit/loss: 0

FB Elite $214,641.00 $736.38 0.3%
week profit/loss: -1130

Football Value $60,000.00 $(4,015.00) -6.7%
week profit/loss: -1000

TFA 21 $395,217.00 $(11,506.60) -2.9%
week profit/loss: -4709.50

TFA 41 $383,876.00 $(18,621.00) -4.9%
week profit/loss: -3410

6-21-31 $219,257.00 $7,551.22 3.4%
week profit/loss: -1911.50

D1-D6 $135,700.00 $7,570.00 5.6%
week profit/loss: 435

E1-E6 $134,040.00 $25,887.40 19.3%
week profit/loss: 2240

Mike Lindley $101,264.00 $(6,623.00) -6.5%
week profit/loss: -1500

WINABOBATOO $375,655.00 $(5,532.88) -1.5%
week profit/loss: 2274

FBI combo $152,500.00 $6,351.20 4.2%
week profit/loss: -1790

FBI Euro $216,492.00 $(8,235.30) -3.8%
week profit/loss: -8790

Odds pushed out $47,750.00 $4,965.00 10.4%
week profit/loss: -1500

Personal $72,573.00 $(14,007.60) -19.3%
week profit/loss: -1320

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0

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April 15th – April 21st -$23,895.21 http://www.daily25.com/april-15th-april-21st-23895-21/ http://www.daily25.com/april-15th-april-21st-23895-21/#comments Tue, 21 Apr 2015 02:22:02 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2541 ack into the red for the year. It really has been a very disappointing year and one that has bucked the trend of the previous 4 seasons. In early January it looked like this year...

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Back into the red for the year. It really has been a very disappointing year and one that has bucked the trend of the previous 4 seasons. In early January it looked like this year was on track to be the best one yet. Now I will be happy just to break even in 2 and a bit months time. At the beginning of this journey I looked at things from a daily perspective, after a while that moved to a weekly and than monthly perspective, over the years my view has moved all the way to a year (as a minimum) when looking at results. But just like stocks, I think my perspective has to change to an even longer term view. As we saw with the so called lost decade for stocks between 2000-2010, if you started in the market in 2000, 10 years later where traditionally the market is meant to double over that time period, you were instead sitting on a loss. Most people gave up on stocks and will probably never invest again if they went through that period, and we see a similar thing with punters today. But just 5 years later, that same market is now up 80%. While I wouldn’t call my past 5 years a lost half decade in anyway, I believe the returns are below a long term average. Unless you have been given 6 months to live, 1 year is a very short time frame. But we all focus on the short term as that is where we spend most of our time, in the present moment. So while I know this year is going to suck, I also know that if I continue to follow my plan and control the things that can be controlled, over the long term, my returns will dwarf anything I could achieve by investing in the stock market. In saying that, I also want a decent chance of a nice retirement fund and I am heavily invested in the stock market which I see as money I will never touch until I fully retire.

lostdecade

So onto this week results and the AFL model had a poor week, pretty much down to the last 30 seconds of a game. Just one of those games where a goal in the dying seconds changes a +11k win into a -11k one. This week we saw a $8,100 loss for the AFL. The NHL made $2,100 but the biggest bet of the season ($5,000) went down yesterday. The Rugby had a shocker with a $3,700 loss to bring the season back into the red. The NRL on the other hand made $2,100.

ClubGOWI lost $1,400 and Jason Kelly also lost $200. It looks like frazzled from Betswot has been poached as there have been no picks from him for a while. If anyone knows where he moved to, I would love to know.

Ahh Soccer. This week I decided to analyse my many years of betting, I broke it down into a number of different graphs. You can see them all on my twitter page. Below is my Soccer betting graph from day 1 till last week. After this weeks disaster we are now in a negative position. Soccer betting is the most time consuming part of my portfolio. I have gone on about the Pareto principle before, otherwise known as the 80/20 rule. You can use it however you want, so for example, 80% of my profits come from 20% of models followed. It is good to understand where the poor 80% is and cut it off. Soccer will be sliced and diced massively at the end of this season. These results are not to say there are no good soccer tipsters and I will break down every service I have followed over the years to see which ones to keep and which ones to cut.

soccer

This weeks results were horrendous (which has sadly become the norm). The Football Analyst lost $10,800 and I would say there is a 50/50 chance Graeme just throws it all in at the end of this season. I keep saying it weekly, but I’m lucky the Winabob service quotes unrealistic odds. This week I only managed to bet 9 of the 31 selections which resulted in a loss of $3,600. But if I had bet them all that loss would have been very close to $10,000 as well. Football Investor continues to give back all the profits he had made earlier in the season with a $6,700 loss this week. Football Elite lost $750 and Football Value was the only profitable service with a $1,700 gain. I will see the season out and take a long hard look at all the tipsters and decided if it is going to be worth the time and effort in year 6.

That ends another poor week for the portfolio, the good thing is our brains only see the present, and I can now forget about that week as soon as I hit publish and concentrate on the week ahead. That’s one great trick I have learnt, you can use your brain to your advantage sometimes. Onto a new week and we start at 0 once again.

Total Loss for the week was $23,895.21

By joining the Daily25 email list, you will get updates and insights into how I am doing, what tools I use, the services I recommend, and what is happening in the gambling industry.

Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $6,215,359.93
Profit/Loss: -$9,535.70
POT: -0.15%
Bets Placed: 8759
Won: 2828
Lost: 4080
Half Payout: 61
Refunded: 1790
Winning %: 40.9%
Total profit per day: $337,989.14 / 1756 = $192.47
Total Turnover: $20,558,103.30
Total ROI: 1.64%

AFL H2H – SP $78,065.00 $11,028.03 14.1%
week profit/loss: -7679

AFL Line – SP $360,839.00 $(21,109.37) -5.9%
week profit/loss: -454.80

NHL Totals $550,756.00 $18,756.69 3.4%
week profit/loss: 2183.26

Rugby SP $56,963.00 $(634.10) -1.1%
week profit/loss: -3684

NRL SP $75,133.00 $3,612.98 4.8%
week profit/loss: 2068.95

SP MLB $344,272.00 $19,837.48 5.8%
week profit/loss: 4421.88

ClubGowi $645,763.00 $4,516.62 0.7%
week profit/loss: -1391.25

GOWI $19,776.00 $3,322.28 16.8%
week profit/loss: 0

Jason Kelly Golf $13,441.93 $(7,208.53) -53.6%
week profit/loss: -200

Betswot $9,573.00 $(7,818.00) -81.7%
week profit/loss: 0

FB Elite $213,511.00 $1,866.38 0.9%
week profit/loss: -750

Football Value $59,000.00 $(3,015.00) -5.1%
week profit/loss: 1700

TFA 21 $382,784.00 $(6,797.10) -1.8%
week profit/loss: -6437.50

TFA 41 $370,876.00 $(15,211.00) -4.1%
week profit/loss: -5520

6-21-31 $211,857.00 $9,462.72 4.5%
week profit/loss: -4216

D1-D6 $132,700.00 $7,135.00 5.4%
week profit/loss: 4185

E1-E6 $128,040.00 $23,647.40 18.5%
week profit/loss: 1185

Mike Lindley $96,264.00 $(5,123.00) -5.3%
week profit/loss: -1000

WINABOBATOO $365,655.00 $(7,806.88) -2.1%
week profit/loss: -2630

FBI combo $147,500.00 $8,141.20 5.5%
week profit/loss: -1656

FBI Euro $203,492.00 $554.70 0.3%
week profit/loss: -5022.50

Odds pushed out $46,250.00 $6,465.00 14.0%
week profit/loss: 220

Personal $68,177.00 $(12,687.60) -18.6%
week profit/loss: -324.25

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0

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April 8th – April 14th -$12,053.80 http://www.daily25.com/april-8th-april-14th-12053-80/ http://www.daily25.com/april-8th-april-14th-12053-80/#comments Tue, 14 Apr 2015 04:10:04 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2526 losing in on $6 million bet in year 5 and it’s looking like one of those years. A lot of stress, worry and some joy that at the end of the day produces nothing but...

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Closing in on $6 million bet in year 5 and it’s looking like one of those years. A lot of stress, worry and some joy that at the end of the day produces nothing but a waste of time and energy. This week was like many others, giving me hope that things were on the rise with me sitting on $40,000 profit on Saturday night and than taking it all away when I woke up to another horror soccer morning. As I slept, $22,000 was recouped by the bookies. More was given back on Sunday night for one of the worst Soccer weekends yet. Every time I say this I get emails saying, just give up Soccer and follow Sportpunter. I always reply that you need to be diversified, Soccer this season has accounted for 50% of my turnover and $31,600 profit at 1.1% ROI. So even though the swings have been massive, it has kept me in the game. But after 5 years and a negative return, we will see a whole new portfolio in regards to Football next season.

Onto this weeks results and AFL has gotten off to its traditionally awesome start. Adding $13,300 profit this week. The improved limits at Pinnacle seems to have had an impact on the Aussie books as they seem more willing to accept bets now and my limits at some of the corporates have been increased for the first time ever. I believe Pinnacle is having an impact on the turnover for these aussie corporates, and as more and more people learn of the existence of Pinnacle sports, less and less will be bet at the poorer odds that these corporates set. Why bother betting with a bookmaker who not only offers worse odds, but will also close your account if you win? The more educated punters get, the better it is for all of us. The NHL regular season came to an end this week with a $3,100 loss. We had some big swings this season, but ending the regular season with a 3.2% ROI is damn good in my book. The Rugby had a poor week with a $2,800 loss and the NRL did OK with $1,400 added to the bank. We also welcomed back the MLB season with $4,850 profit. Another winning week for Sportpunter and a massive return for Dailyprofit members which I will talk about in a post on Thursday.

ClubGowi had a better week, adding $3,800 profit, but Jason Kelly did poorly at the Masters with a $1,050 loss.

Onto the Soccer and what a week. Football Elite made a tiny $300 profit and Football Value made $1,500, but that was the end of any profit. The Football Analyst lost a colossal $18,200. The incredible thing is that I am still in profit for this years TFA portfolio. But it really feels like a lottery, and I know most members are sitting on a big loss. Football Investor has been on a poor run and lost a further $8,450 this week. The question if stats based models perform worse at the end of the season needs to be asked. Looking at the graphs Graeme posted on twitter last night, it seems that his models do very poorly at the end of the season. Winabobatoo also had a crap week and lost $3,300. So a combined Soccer tipster loss of $28,150.

Not the worst losing week and there were a number of positives. The AFL is once again looking good and the other SP models continue to contribute. My only concern at the moment is the limits on MLB. They are set very low and I hope Pinnacle up their limits soon. We start again today with another big midweek soccer night. Are there any scarier two words at the moment.. SOCCER & MIDWEEK… very scary.

Total Loss for the week was $12,053.80

By joining the Daily25 email list, you will get updates and insights into how I am doing, what tools I use, the services I recommend, and what is happening in the gambling industry.

Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $5,970,237.93
Profit/Loss: $14,359.51
POT: 0.24%
Bets Placed: 8480
Won: 2759
Lost: 3952
Half Payout: 58
Refunded: 1711
Winning %: 41.1%
Total profit per day: $361,884.35 / 1749 = $206.90
Total Turnover: $20,312,981.30
Total ROI: 1.78%

AFL H2H – SP $70,386.00 $18,707.03 26.6%
week profit/loss: 5105.03

AFL Line – SP $331,616.00 $(20,654.57) -6.2%
week profit/loss: 8166.50

NHL Totals $518,212.00 $16,573.43 3.2%
week profit/loss: -3091.69

Rugby SP $51,475.00 $3,049.90 5.9%
week profit/loss: -2762

NRL SP $69,893.00 $1,544.03 2.2%
week profit/loss: 1429.16

SP MLB $301,576.00 $15,415.60 5.1%
week profit/loss: 4865.82

ClubGowi $624,763.00 $5,907.87 0.9%
week profit/loss: 3808

GOWI $19,776.00 $3,322.28 16.8%
week profit/loss: 0

Jason Kelly Golf $13,241.93 $(7,008.53) -52.9%
week profit/loss: -1050

Betswot $9,573.00 $(7,818.00) -81.7%
week profit/loss: 0

FB Elite $212,761.00 $2,616.38 1.2%
week profit/loss: 317.50

Football Value $58,000.00 $(4,715.00) -8.1%
week profit/loss: 1500

TFA 21 $368,284.00 $(359.60) -0.1%
week profit/loss: -6614.50

TFA 41 $357,376.00 $(9,691.00) -2.7%
week profit/loss: -5414

6-21-31 $205,057.00 $13,678.72 6.7%
week profit/loss: -3114.50

D1-D6 $129,700.00 $2,950.00 2.3%
week profit/loss: 860

E1-E6 $122,540.00 $22,462.40 18.3%
week profit/loss: -3905

Mike Lindley $87,264.00 $(4,123.00) -4.7%
week profit/loss: -569

WINABOBATOO $346,655.00 $(5,176.88) -1.5%
week profit/loss: -2735.50

FBI combo $139,500.00 $9,791.20 7.0%
week profit/loss: -4000

FBI Euro $192,642.00 $5,577.20 2.9%
week profit/loss: -4442

Odds pushed out $44,750.00 $6,245.00 14.0%
week profit/loss: -500

Personal $61,625.00 $(12,363.35) -20.1%
week profit/loss: 92.41

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0

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April 1st – April 7th +$18,944.72 http://www.daily25.com/april-1st-april-7th-18944-72/ http://www.daily25.com/april-1st-april-7th-18944-72/#comments Tue, 07 Apr 2015 02:20:45 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2512 he April fools tradition continues with a fair few of you once again falling for my prank. I had actually been setting up for another “I quit” post like last year, I had purposely been...

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The April fools tradition continues with a fair few of you once again falling for my prank. I had actually been setting up for another “I quit” post like last year, I had purposely been overly negative on the blog for the last week and a bit and I was going to go on a long rant about the fact that the maths guys had made me think that actually, it isn’t possible to make a profit from gambling and all I had been was lucky to this point. The timing was perfect with the recent poor run and I’m sure I would have got a lot of you. Instead I went for something a little more fun. I had a number of emails from members who had phoned Sportsbet but their support couldn’t help them and asked if I could sort the problem out for them. haha. I do enjoy a laugh, and a sense of humor is a necessary skill to have when betting, as things won’t seem funny most of the time.

Back to back profitable weeks and while not near where I would like to be, at least we have a bit of a profit buffer. This week saw me bet my 20 millionth dollar. If I can retain the 1.86% ROI I have achieved over the past 4 years and 9 months for the next 5 years and 3 months, I might just reach that $1 million goal in 10 years. Any long term gambler knows there are many supplemental ways to make some extra profit when betting and many are actually happy to break even each year as they can earn an extra 1-2% on each dollar bet. That $20 million has given me hundreds of thousands back in flights, hotels, cash back and other merchandise over the years. If I was to add in all the promotions on top of the cash-backs, we are well over the 500k profit mark (closer to 600k), but this blog is purely about just following services and if it is possible to make a profit from them. Once I finish my course, members will be able to see all the little tricks they should be using to increase their profits.

We welcomed back the AFL this week and today we also start with the MLB season. That actually reminded me that I was going to follow the H2H bets from Diamond Edge again this season and had forgotten to sign up. As always, the Sportpunter totals model is very strong and I will be following that as well. A solid first week for AFL with $6,600 profit. The first few weeks are traditionally the best time for AFL, so I am hoping to have some early success once again this season. After the horror few month run from the NHL, the last few weeks have been great with $5,000 more profit added this week. To round out a perfect week for Sportpunter, Rugby made $750 and the NRL model made $4,700. So no losing models this week for Sportpunter, and when that happens, Dailyprofit members are usually very happy as well.

ClubGowi lost $1,000 and could easily dip into negative territory in the coming weeks. I get more emails about this service than any other, as people join and quickly realise the results don’t reflect what is stated on the site and only then start doing research on the service. It really is not that hard to do a simple google search before signing up to a service. It will save you a lot of money in the long-term. Jason Kelly lost $100 on the Golf.

Onto the Soccer results and Football Elite made $2,700. The season started so well and I was hoping my last few years of losses with this service would be rewarded, sadly that has not panned out this season. Football Value lost $1,000, but once again had a winner where I was already on the opposite side. I do keep records of how each service really performs, so when I do my season reviews of each service, I will be able to give a proper reflection of it’s performance. TFA made $4,900 and Winabobatoo added $1,600. Football Investor lost $2,800, betting against tipster also lost $1,300 and my own personal bets lost a further $1,270.

Another fine week and as I keep saying, you just never know when the good (or bad) runs will happen. You just keep betting each week just like the last, over and over and over again. It does get difficult in down periods, but you just need to persevere and if you have done the fundamentals right, you eventually get rewarded. We will wait and see what next week brings.

Total Profit for the week was $18,944.72

By joining the Daily25 email list, you will get updates and insights into how I am doing, what tools I use, the services I recommend, and what is happening in the gambling industry.

Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $5,756,940.93
Profit/Loss: $26,413.31
POT: 0.46%
Bets Placed: 8234
Won: 2689
Lost: 3833
Half Payout: 57
Refunded: 1655
Winning %: 41.2%
Total profit per day: $373,938.15 / 1742 = $214.66
Total Turnover: $20,099,684.30
Total ROI: 1.86%

AFL H2H – SP $59,286.00 $13,602.03 22.9%
week profit/loss: 2320.61

AFL Line – SP $310,416.00 $(28,821.07) -9.3%
week profit/loss: 4328.80

NHL Totals $491,834.00 $19,665.12 4.0%
week profit/loss: 5012.77

Rugby SP $43,603.00 $5,811.90 13.3%
week profit/loss: 757.36

NRL SP $64,451.00 $114.87 0.2%
week profit/loss: 4725.60

ClubGowi $607,138.00 $2,099.87 0.3%
week profit/loss: -2585

GOWI $19,776.00 $3,322.28 16.8%
week profit/loss: 1631.25

Jason Kelly Golf $12,191.93 $(5,958.53) -48.9%
week profit/loss: -100

Betswot $9,573.00 $(7,818.00) -81.7%
week profit/loss: 0

FB Elite $208,511.00 $2,298.88 1.1%
week profit/loss: 2692.50

Football Value $56,000.00 $(6,215.00) -11.1%
week profit/loss: -1000

TFA 21 $356,784.00 $6,254.90 1.8%
week profit/loss: -1485

TFA 41 $346,376.00 $(4,277.00) -1.2%
week profit/loss: 1420

6-21-31 $198,557.00 $16,793.22 8.5%
week profit/loss: 4815

D1-D6 $125,200.00 $2,090.00 1.7%
week profit/loss: 580

E1-E6 $115,040.00 $26,367.40 22.9%
week profit/loss: -430

Mike Lindley $84,264.00 $(3,554.00) -4.2%
week profit/loss: 1145

WINABOBATOO $334,755.00 $(2,441.38) -0.7%
week profit/loss: 493

FBI combo $134,500.00 $13,791.20 10.3%
week profit/loss: 147.20

FBI Euro $184,642.00 $10,019.20 5.4%
week profit/loss: -2952.80

Odds pushed out $44,250.00 $6,745.00 15.2%
week profit/loss: -1300

Personal $59,867.00 $(12,455.76) -20.8%
week profit/loss: -1271.57

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0

The post April 1st – April 7th +$18,944.72 appeared first on Daily25 Betting Blog.

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Introducing Mate Multi http://www.daily25.com/introducing-mate-multi/ http://www.daily25.com/introducing-mate-multi/#comments Tue, 31 Mar 2015 21:16:27 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2484 EDIT: APRIL FOOLS. If you are reading this article now, you might believe it is real. Once again I managed to fool my many readers. I heard from a lot that actually rang Sportsbet asking...

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multimateyellowEDIT: APRIL FOOLS. If you are reading this article now, you might believe it is real. Once again I managed to fool my many readers. I heard from a lot that actually rang Sportsbet asking why they could not see this on their accounts. Sadly while this product idea is actually awesome, no bookmaker will go to any effort to create a product like this. 

I am so excited to announce that my first idea has been picked up by one of Australia’s biggest and best bookies. Just over a month ago I posted my idea of a cool feature that bookmakers could add to their site to not only make more money but also get new customers. The general idea was to allow anyone with an account to buy their friends a multi bet. Just like you would buy a friend a lotto ticket, instead you can now buy them a multi bet that is much more entertaining and has a much better chance of them actually winning something.

matemultibetslipLater this afternoon Sportsbet will be starting a big media campaign around this new feature. Yes, you are going to see even more Sportsbet ads on the television now. You may have noticed the cash out feature has been taken off their site. They found that no one was using it and have decided to replace it with a test run for the mate-multi. Now when you create a multi bet the mate-multi icon will pop up in the Multibet section. All you need to do is click the mate multi icon and you will be taken to a new page where you just need to put in the amount you wish to spend and the email address and name of your friend. Sportsbet will take care of the rest. They even send out a nice Birthday card on your behalf.

For the first 100 customers who send a Mate Multi to a friend (up to $100 max), Sportsbet will also give you a free multi to the same value. How amazing is that. It’s a buy one get one free offer. I’ve got to say, I’ve given sportsbet nothing but flack on this website over the years, but they are clearly the world leader in bookmaking to not only see the potential in this great new concept but to also get it to market so quickly.

As with any new feature, there are sure to be bugs, so if you log into your account and select a multi and can’t see the Mate Multi icon, just give Sportsbet a call on 1800 990 907 or head into live chat and their ever helpful staff will quickly get it sorted for you.

Do I get anything from this?

Always wanting to be upfront and honest, I do indeed get a cut of any profits generated from this feature. Sportsbet are giving me the general affiliate percentage of 30% of all money made from Mate Multi bets and new user acquisitions. Based on their predictions of the uptake of this feature, I could be sitting on a nice nest egg sooner rather than later.

Just goes to show, you put something out there and you get it back in spades. Head on over to Sportsbet and let me know how you find the new feature, I’d love to hear your thoughts on it.

 

multimatead

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AFL and MLB starting for Dailyprofit http://www.daily25.com/afl-and-mlb-starting-for-dailyprofit/ http://www.daily25.com/afl-and-mlb-starting-for-dailyprofit/#comments Tue, 31 Mar 2015 03:13:08 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2503 I’m not going to sell you the AFL model today. You all know how amazing it has been for me. This is clearly the best model on the Internet today and has been for the...

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I’m not going to sell you the AFL model today. You all know how amazing it has been for me. This is clearly the best model on the Internet today and has been for the past 16 years. That’s right, Jonno has been advising bets on AFL for 16 years. In those 16 years there have only been two losing season. If you want to read a long salesy post about how good the models are and what you get by joining the Dailyprofit service, you can read last months post about the NRL starting.

There are a number of services offering season long packages for the AFL and these range in price between $200 – $2,500. The Sportpunter season cost is $2497 USD and if you can afford that it is worth every penny. Dailyprofit is Sportpunter lite, members get the same bets but after the big bettors have had their fill.

The Dailyprofit monthly cost is $49 Australian Dollars. So if you only decided to follow the AFL, a season pass would be $294. But you don’t just get AFL, you also get the NRL, Super15, NHL, NBA, NFL and starting next month the MLB. There is no better value service anywhere on the internet, and prices will once again be going up (by about 50%) in the next few months.

This season Pinnacle Sportsbook has raised the AFL limits which means it will be even easier to get bets on, especially for non Australians.

Below is my graph from following the AFL model over the past 4 and a half seasons. I started with fairly conservative stakes in my first 2 seasons, and have continued to increase my banks each year. The straight lines represent the off-season, but you will notice that the models perform better at the start of the season, so the best time to join is now.

Head over to the Dailyprofit website and sign up today. First game starts Thursday.

 

SPAFLtotal

 

 

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Mar 25th – Mar 31st +$21,515.71 http://www.daily25.com/mar-25th-mar-31st-21515-71/ http://www.daily25.com/mar-25th-mar-31st-21515-71/#comments Mon, 30 Mar 2015 21:50:27 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2462 inally a profitable week to stop what has been the worst losing run in the past 5 years. You know it’s going to be a good week when you even get a winner in the...

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Finally a profitable week to stop what has been the worst losing run in the past 5 years. You know it’s going to be a good week when you even get a winner in the Golf. To say this weeks result is welcome is a massive understatement. 2015 has been nothing but loss after loss and to see a little spike in my graph gives me some hope. Although after 9 months of betting to be only $7,468 in profit seems to be a bit of a waste of time. I could have been working in an office with no stress at all and earned 10 times that. Put into that context, it really makes you think. I could go an entire year with the weekly stress that the swings bring and end up paying for that privilege. There are not many jobs where you can work all year and show a negative amount at the end of it. Sure, some people love their jobs so much they say they would do it for free, but ask them to pay to do it and I’m sure they would say No thanks. Like people who work as day traders, I’m positive there is a lot of burn out in the gambling world. after a certain amount of time you keep asking yourself if the effort is worth the potential rewards. But enough moaning for the week, geez, you would think this was another losing week by my gibbering. Instead it was a great week and all I need is a replica of this week every single week to get me out of my funk.

We had profits across the board. As there was International Soccer on this weekend, we had much fewer bets but a great return. Sportpunter NHL made a stunning comeback with goals starting to be scored again. $11,600 profit for the week and the hope is that the final few weeks of the season replicate this week. The Rugby model has been doing well the past 3 weeks after a poor start. It only throws up 1 or 2 bets a week but they all seem to win, this week resulting in $3,950 profit. The NRL on the other hand has yet to get to grasps with what is happening this season. I am hopeful that the player based model turns as quickly as the Rugby model and we start seeing those profits again. This week we saw a $3,800 loss all mainly due to a big loss on Cronulla who throw the game away in the last 5 minutes. The AFL season starts on Thursday and simply put, this model will be the reason that I make a profit or loss this season. Let’s hope it continues its amazing decade long run of profit.

ClubGowi lost $1,700 and sits on 0.8% return this year. Strange that the website still shows a 16%+ return. Jason kelly picks up his first ever win for me with Jimmy Walker winning the Texas Open. A very welcome $3,500 profit. Only TFA, Winabobatoo and Football Investor in action this week and they all made a profit. TFA continues its bipolar season with $7,000 profit this week. The 5 of 50 bets I could match the odds for winabobatoo produced $1,000 profit and the single Football Investor pick produced $3,100 profit. My own personal plays have been poor this season and this week added a further $2,700 loss and betting against tipsters also lost $500.

All up a fantastic week and one I really needed. It’s good to see a bit more green than red in the weekly post. The next few months are going to see some massive swings as AFL steps up to the plate and a heap of football is still to be played. We will also see the MLB season starting soon. There is going to be so much work to do, I just hope the rewards are also there.

Total Profit for the week was $21,515.71

By joining the Daily25 email list, you will get updates and insights into how I am doing, what tools I use, the services I recommend, and what is happening in the gambling industry.

Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $5,538,440.93
Profit/Loss: $7,468.59
POT: 0.13%
Bets Placed: 7957
Won: 2602
Lost: 3697
Half Payout: 56
Refunded: 1602
Winning %: 41.3%
Total profit per day: $354,993.43 / 1735 = $204.60
Total Turnover: $19,881,184.30
Total ROI: 1.79%

AFL Line – SP $281,976.00 $(33,149.87) -11.8%
week profit/loss: 0

NHL Totals $459,384.00 $14,652.35 3.2%
week profit/loss: 11604.08

Rugby SP $36,225.00 $5,054.54 14.0%
week profit/loss: 3948.60

NRL SP $57,942.00 $(4,610.73) -8.0%
week profit/loss: -3768

ClubGowi $589,263.00 $4,684.87 0.8%
week profit/loss: -1673.37

GOWI $18,526.00 $1,691.03 9.1%
week profit/loss: 0

Jason Kelly Golf $12,091.93 $(5,858.53) -48.4%
week profit/loss: 3510

Betswot $9,573.00 $(7,818.00) -81.7%
week profit/loss: 0

FB Elite $207,011.00 $(393.62) -0.2%
week profit/loss: 0

Football Value $54,000.00 $(5,215.00) -9.7%
week profit/loss: 0

TFA 21 $335,284.00 $7,739.90 2.3%
week profit/loss: 5080

TFA 41 $324,876.00 $(5,697.00) -1.8%
week profit/loss: -190

6-21-31 $186,857.00 $11,978.22 6.4%
week profit/loss: 1085

D1-D6 $117,200.00 $1,510.00 1.3%
week profit/loss: 1000

E1-E6 $108,040.00 $26,797.40 24.8%
week profit/loss: 0

Mike Lindley $80,264.00 $(4,699.00) -5.9%
week profit/loss: 520

WINABOBATOO $319,055.00 $(2,934.38) -0.9%
week profit/loss: 450

FBI combo $132,500.00 $13,644.00 10.3%
week profit/loss: 3130

FBI Euro $175,642.00 $12,972.00 7.4%
week profit/loss: 0

Odds pushed out $41,750.00 $8,045.00 19.3%
week profit/loss: -500

Personal $54,599.00 $(11,184.19) -20.5%
week profit/loss: -2680.60

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0

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The dirty little secret that tipsters don’t want you to know. http://www.daily25.com/the-dirty-little-secret-that-tipsters-dont-want-you-to-know/ http://www.daily25.com/the-dirty-little-secret-that-tipsters-dont-want-you-to-know/#comments Mon, 30 Mar 2015 04:56:42 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2469 Let us imagine you were a normal guy who had always had an interest in sport and liked to have a bet on a few games each weekend. Being a normal guy, you bet like...

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Let us imagine you were a normal guy who had always had an interest in sport and liked to have a bet on a few games each weekend. Being a normal guy, you bet like a normal guy. You would chuck on a few multis, whatever horses name sounded good and maybe a few first try scorer bets. Just like all the other normal guys you lost the same amount, which when playing those sort of bets would be about 10-15%. One weekend while you’re in the pub having a few beers with mates, you hear some loud drunk guy celebrating his win and telling all his mates that this new tipster he just started following is the real deal, not like all the others he has followed and eventually lost him money. No, this guy knows his shit and has made him a fortune in his first week.

This piques your interest as you know you have been losing money betting and wouldn’t mind following an expert and actually making a profit from your betting. Bring on Google, Twitter and Facebook. You begin your search in earnest and in no time have found thousands of services that proclaim to make money week after week. “Fuck me” you think to yourself, I’ve found the holy grail. All I need to do is subscribe and follow these guys and in no time I’ll be able to quit my job and travel the world.

You duly sign up to one or two of the flashiest looking sites and then…. Then you start to lose. WAIT, WHAT? You had seen their website showing all these winners, their twitter and facebook feeds are filled with winning members and images of winning betslips. How can you be the unluckiest guy ever to sign up at the exact time they stop winning? After a few months of losses you try a few more tipsters and you might find one or two that have a few good months, but over time they also lose. Eventually after being on the Tipster merry go round for a year or more you learn how they work and smack yourself for every being so stupid to actually pay these guys. Finally after all this time and the loss of all your entertainment money (and at times even your credit card limit) you finally figured out their dirty little secret…

dirtysecretTipsters withhold the truth. (or bluntly put, THEY LIE)

If you were to base your decisions about tipsters by what is shown to the public these days, you would think the world of sports betting was filled with winners. There are only 100% positive comments posted on social media accounts and the websites only ever show how much you can win. Now that I have been on both sides of the table, as a punter following tipsters for the past 5 years and now running my own tipster service for the past 9 months (conflict much), I have seen the truly awful way the vast majority of Tipsters go about getting new clients.

Recently some tipsters I follow have been going through bad runs and while they like to talk about how “Transparent” and “Honest” they are, it is in these poor runs where you see their true colours. Results not being updated in months, the regular newsletter being stopped, emails not being replied too. It seems the Modus operandi for these guys when on a sustained poor run is to go dark. Just shut up, leave the old results on the website and hope to hell more dumb people join. Only if they start winning again do you than see the website updated and the emails start flooding your inbox again and their dead social media accounts come back to life.

One of the very reasons I started my own tipster service was to show these guys how a fully “transparent” service should be run. Transparent doesn’t mean showing results when they look good and hiding them when on a bad run. Transparent means showing the good and the bad at all times. That is what we do at Dailyprofit and why I receive tweets like this.

In the good times (which we have had) and the bad times (currently in one), each week we update the site with the results whether we have had an amazing or a disaster week. There are a few other tipsters  (who I follow) who do try and do the right thing, but that number is very small.

Why do I like talking about bad runs?

I actually like (well that’s a stretch). I appreciate when a bad run happens. If you check out my twitter feed, you will see a 50/50 split between positive mentions of dailyprofit and negative mentions. There are a number of reasons I appreciate the bad run. No matter who you follow, there will always be bad runs. It’s part of betting. These bad runs allow me to do a number of things.

  1. They are teachable moments. I can guide customers through bad runs by explaining why they happen (the maths), how to deal with them (psychology), and how to stay the course (resilience)
  2. Members who go through a bad run are also better prepared for the next one and deal with each future one with a little more ease.
  3. They also weed out the bad customers. I’ve found that 10-25% of customers will give your service a few weeks to prove itself. After a poor week they cancel their subscription and move onto the next service. You just can’t help these people and I’d prefer not to have them as a customer.
  4. They actually get me more customers. That’s right, going out of my way to be honest shows potential new customers that I am the exact opposite to every single other tipster out there, and what is their impression of every other tipster? It’s that they lose.

The Dailyprofit service has now been running for 9 long months. While the Value and Risk-free section of the site continues to make members money, and will do for a very long time, the real gambling side of the service (Sportpunter) has seen some good times and lately some very dark times. From Day 1 (4th July 2014) till yesterday (29th of March 2015) we have advised 619 bets and hit 318 winners. That has resulted in $61,315.00 worth of bets (advised $4,000 bank and 1 unit of $100) for a loss of $70.15 (less than 1 unit) and a negative ROI of 0.1%. The thing is, all members did not join at the start, a vast majority of them joined just before the new year when I was putting prices up. That means they joined at pretty much the peak of the graph below and are down almost 30 units. Mostly due to a very poor NHL run.

I’ll also add that I record at pretty much Pinnacle closing prices (or worse) and most members easily beat the quoted odds. I thought sports betting was a stressful hobby, try being a tipster who cares about their clients. I’ve felt much worse knowing that members are losing money, although I am losing the same percentage but at a 10-30x monetary amount. I know this poor run will end and the graph will also have a run just as high as the current loss has been, but I also make customers aware of the reality of betting and also of how I record my odds. At best the SP part of the service will only ever see a 0-3% ROI long term.

DailyprofitSPresults

A free 7 day course that will expose these lying Tipsters

I am currently putting together a 7 day course that will be free to all members of this site and the mailing list. I will break down the dodgy tipsters and show you:

  1. How they make money from you (not just from your subscription costs)
  2. How they use social media to show only positive reviews
  3. How quickly and easily they can put together a website and build social proof
  4. How they can creatively fudge their numbers (better than even the dodgiest accountants)
  5. A look at some recent real world examples

Not only will I show you in detail how they deceive you, but I will give you a ready made checklist to see which ones you should stay away from (hint: 99% of them). My hope is this course will open your eyes to some things you may have missed and make you look deeper into any tipsters you are currently following. When you follow a tipster, it isn’t just the subscription cost you are paying, it is the much higher potential loss of your betting bank as well.

Remember that at the end of the day it is your money you are spending and it is up to you to do everything you can to make the best financial decisions possible. I will give you as much information as you need to make those decisions and a framework that should see you only invest in the very best tipsters. In turn by starving these other dodgy tipsters of any funds, they will eventually see it is not worth their time and we might just be able to clean up this industry. While that is probably impossible, any changes that we can bring about will be good.

If you want to help change this industry you can do your bit by sharing this article. Share it on your twitter and facebook accounts and any other social media you use.

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Mar 18th – Mar 24th -$13,367.61 http://www.daily25.com/mar-18th-mar-24th-13367-61/ http://www.daily25.com/mar-18th-mar-24th-13367-61/#comments Tue, 24 Mar 2015 07:54:31 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2456 he carnage continues, and reading comments on twitter, it seems I am not the only one in this situation. The past 5 weeks results have been -$7,881.20, -$10,835.50, -$22,076.82, -$22,573.46, and this weeks $13,367.61 loss...

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The carnage continues, and reading comments on twitter, it seems I am not the only one in this situation. The past 5 weeks results have been -$7,881.20, -$10,835.50, -$22,076.82, -$22,573.46, and this weeks $13,367.61 loss brings the total loss over the past 5 weeks to a massive $76,734.59. I’m not sure if its correlated, but this period has also coincided with me feeling very very ill. I almost couldn’t get out of bed today to write the weekly summary. In the doom and gloom there are a few glimmers of hope and I will talk about them below. But for the most part, this period has sucked the joy out of me. It is by far the most common question I get from readers, “How do you deal with losing runs”. I believe now is the perfect time to talk about that while I am in the depths of the largest losing run in the history of my 5 year betting journey. The articles over the next few weeks will all be about the one aspect of betting most people can not deal with. I’ll explain what I do and hopefully there might be one or two things that you can use when (not if) you experience your next draw down. For today though, I will just have a quick wrap of the weekly results and get back to bed.

Really not the worst week and if this result happened in a normal cycle it would be no bother at all, but when you are losing every single week, you just want one to stop the rot. Sportpunter had its upsides and downsides this week. We had the final round of warm up games for the AFL and we had a very nice $9,400 win. I’m hoping the player based model fixed all its kinks from the early games and now has a good handle on the teams for the first round next week. Will it be a savior again this season? I really hope so. The two other footy codes were steady this week with the Super 15 producing $900 profit and the NRL $1,900 profit. I’ve seen bad NHL runs before, but nothing like this. From +$35,000 only a few months ago to being only $3,000 in profit now. The way things are going, this model will end the season well down. It can not hit a win and lost $11,150 this week.

ClubGowi made $2,600, and by backing against some games I made a further $1,900. Football Elite is another model that has echoed the NHL one, at one stage it was knocking on the $20,000 profit door and is now sitting on a loss after another $3,250 was lost this weekend. Football Value made $750 and TFA lost a jaw dropping $15,850 this weekend and it really is boom or bust for this model each week. Winabobatoo made $1,300 but that was pure luck as 80% of the bets were never near advised odds and luckily the 20% of bets I could get on won. If you look at the refunded line in my stats below you will see 1564, those are 90% due to the way Winabobatoo records odds (best UK book at time of release). Football Investor had a self imposed weekend off as he too tries to get healthy and my own Personal bets lost a further $2,000.

It gets harder and harder to bother with betting when you seem to be throwing money away every day. If I take a step back and look at it not from the $100,000 draw down, but simply that I am down $14,000 over the past 9 months it does not seem so bad, but sadly it is very hard for our brains to accept that view. I’m nowhere near losing my betting bank (yet), which is a good thing, but if this was my sole source of income each year, I’m not sure how I would cope. We head into day 1729 of this crazy experiment and in the next two weeks I will have bet over $20 million bucks on people playing games. Not the worst hobby to have.

Total Loss for the week was $13,367.61

By joining the Daily25 email list, you will get updates and insights into how I am doing, what tools I use, the services I recommend, and what is happening in the gambling industry.

Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $5,448,546.93
Profit/Loss: -$14,047.12
POT: -0.26%
Bets Placed: 7846
Won: 2568
Lost: 3659
Half Payout: 55
Refunded: 1564
Winning %: 41.2%
Total profit per day: $333,477.72/ 1728 = $192.98
Total Turnover: $19,791,290.30
Total ROI: 1.68%

AFL Line – SP $281,976.00 $(33,149.87) -11.8%
week profit/loss: 9384.50

NHL Totals $422,586.00 $3,048.27 0.7%
week profit/loss: -11143.60

Rugby SP $33,920.00 $1,105.94 3.3%
week profit/loss: 927

NRL SP $51,354.00 $(842.73) -1.6%
week profit/loss: 1938.77

ClubGowi $578,388.00 $6,358.24 1.1%
week profit/loss: 2618.73

GOWI $18,526.00 $1,691.03 9.1%
week profit/loss: 0

Jason Kelly Golf $11,616.93 $(9,368.53) -80.6%
week profit/loss: 0

Betswot $9,573.00 $(7,818.00) -81.7%
week profit/loss: 0

FB Elite $207,011.00 $(393.62) -0.2%
week profit/loss: -3240

Football Value $54,000.00 $(5,215.00) -9.7%
week profit/loss: 750

TFA 21 $329,284.00 $2,659.90 0.8%
week profit/loss: -6023.50

TFA 41 $319,376.00 $(5,507.00) -1.7%
week profit/loss: -3855

6-21-31 $184,357.00 $10,893.22 5.9%
week profit/loss: -2370.50

D1-D6 $114,700.00 $510.00 0.4%
week profit/loss: -3500

E1-E6 $108,040.00 $26,797.40 24.8%
week profit/loss: -105

Mike Lindley $78,264.00 $(5,219.00) -6.7%
week profit/loss: 400

WINABOBATOO $311,055.00 $(3,384.38) -1.1%
week profit/loss: 893.50

FBI combo $130,500.00 $10,514.00 8.1%
week profit/loss: 0

FBI Euro $175,642.00 $12,972.00 7.4%
week profit/loss: 0

Odds pushed out $41,250.00 $8,545.00 20.7%
week profit/loss: 1927

Personal $50,496.00 $(8,503.59) -16.8%
week profit/loss: -1969.51

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0

The post Mar 18th – Mar 24th -$13,367.61 appeared first on Daily25 Betting Blog.

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Mar 11th – Mar 17th -$22,573.46 http://www.daily25.com/mar-11th-mar-17th-22573-46/ http://www.daily25.com/mar-11th-mar-17th-22573-46/#comments Tue, 17 Mar 2015 06:51:24 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2441 his period has been a real bitch to deal with. After 8 and a half months, $5.25 million bet over 7,571 bets and countless hundreds of hours of effort put in, I now sit on a...

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This period has been a real bitch to deal with. After 8 and a half months, $5.25 million bet over 7,571 bets and countless hundreds of hours of effort put in, I now sit on a $679 loss. The range of profit and loss this year has been pretty big. From a low of -$53,000 to a high of just shy of $80,000. A range of $133,000. In October as I sat on that large loss, I was hoping for a break even year. But just a short 3 and a half months later I was thinking my first $200k year could be on the cards. Making these predictions is stupid, but we all like to extrapolate data and assume it will continue on in the same way. The question is, after 5 years of doing this, do I still get pissed off? How do I deal with it?  I’m positive every single one of you reading this has been through a similar situation (especially if you are a current Dailyprofit member). Just like any investment, we risk our funds in the hope for a future gain. But like the stock market, our profit graph goes through peaks and troughs.March17th

Yes I still get pissed off, there are very few people in the world who enjoy losing money. In our society (sadly), money = success. You all read my weekly ramblings and trust in my advice because you believe I am a success. The only thing you base that off is my profit. I could come up with articles that would help everyone, but if I was a losing gambler, no one would care what I had to say. We don’t want to replicate failure, we just want the success. Sadly without many thousands of small failures, I would not be the so called success I am now. So yep, I still get pissed off. I’m seasoned and rational enough now where it doesn’t piss me off as much as the early days, but there will never be a time where I like losing fistfuls of cash (strip joints being the exception).

I deal with these losses in a few different ways. The last 6-12 months I have really let my routine slide and I have noticed that I am much more stressed then I used to be. This has led to weight gain and numerous bouts of the man flu.The beauty of reaching parity again for the year is that I can treat this as my new years eve again. We all love to make resolutions on new years and I’ve resolved to get back into my routine, the same routine that has helped me deal easily with past setbacks. There’s no great secret to this, if you look after yourself (mind, body and soul), the rest pretty much takes care of itself. My routine consists of very simple things that cover all 3. For the mind I dedicate 1 hour each day to reading, it can be anything that I find enjoyable. The body side of things I have really not concentrated on lately. My routine has me walking for at least an hour a day, the extra benefit of this is I can also listen to podcasts (a double hit for the mind). I’m not a religious guy, the soul aspect is more just about being happy with myself. Meditation (a simple 5 minutes a day), is all that is needed to be able to deal with everything life throws at you. Once you can sit still for 5 minutes and concentrate on nothing, it helps you be calm in stressful situations. I also like to follow the teachings of Seneca, a stoic philosopher.

It’s all quite simple and once the routine has stuck again, it takes very little effort and the rewards are amazing. Give just one of these a try and you’ll notice a drastic impact on your life. It also helps you to not lose your head when you are in profit as well.

So while i’m a little miffed about my current situation, I am more thankful for being able to make a fresh start on my routine once again. Let’s look at this weeks losses.

Sportpunter once again had a horror week with all models losing. I don’t remember a sustained period of losses lasting this long for the service. The AFL pre-season has been a nightmare, with a further $3,900 lost this week. The NHL totals has fallen of a cliff, picked itself up and fallen of a cliff that was at the bottom of the first cliff. A further $2,900 lost this week. The Rugby lost $1,000 and the NRL lost $3,300. Poor Dailyprofit members who joined in the past 3 months. As always, if any service can get me out of this, it’s Sportpunter. Year after year it continues to be my rock. I have no doubt it will steady itself in due time.

ClubGOWI lost $3,050 this week and is now back to an insignificant profit. If I was following the blue type selections I would be negative for the service after more then a years worth of betting. Jason Kelly lost $325 in the golf.

Onto Soccer and Football Elite made $450. Football Value broke even, but he did have a winner that I backed against with other tipsters. The service is actually break even if I had taken all the bets. TFA made $7,410. It’s funny that last year I made a substantial loss while most other members made a profit, and this season most others are losing and I am well ahead. Winabobatoo lost $3,200 and I’m happy I can only get on about one quarter of the bets as I would be down $15,000 more this season. Football Investor had the worst week in a very long time, losing $8,400. Stew has taken ill and there will be no bets this week, I wish him a very speedy recovery. My own personal bets lost $2,700 and betting against tipsters lost $1,600.

That wraps up a month of solid losses ($63,365). Only 2 from 12 models returning a profit. I keep reminding myself how much I saved when I was in the states and how bad the picture could really be. While it feels like a wasted 8 and a half months, the up side is that I’m still break even for the year and not in a deep hole. We continue on and maybe make a sacrifice or two to the gambling gods over the next few weeks. I continue into a new week with trepidation and hope.

Total Loss for the week was $22,573.46

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Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $5,255,301.93
Profit/Loss: -$679.51
POT: -0.01%
Bets Placed: 7571
Won: 2503
Lost: 3525
Half Payout: 53
Refunded: 1490
Winning %: 41.5%
Total profit per day: $346,845.33 / 1721 = $201.53
Total Turnover: $19,598,045.30
Total ROI: 1.77%

AFL Line – SP $268,019.00 $(42,534.37) -15.9%
week profit/loss: -3944

NHL Totals $377,088.00 $14,191.87 3.8%
week profit/loss: -2885.80

Rugby SP $32,995.00 $178.94 0.5%
week profit/loss: -1026

NRL SP $46,327.00 $(2,781.50) -6.0%
week profit/loss: -3317.75

ClubGowi $558,904.00 $3,739.51 0.7%
week profit/loss: -3058.75

GOWI $18,526.00 $1,691.03 9.1%
week profit/loss: 0

Jason Kelly Golf $11,616.93 $(9,368.53) -80.6%
week profit/loss: -325

Betswot $9,573.00 $(7,818.00) -81.7%
week profit/loss: 0

FB Elite $197,011.00 $2,846.38 1.4%
week profit/loss: 450

Football Value $52,000.00 $(5,965.00) -11.5%
week profit/loss: 10

TFA 21 $306,534.00 $8,683.40 2.8%
week profit/loss: 3820

TFA 41 $302,976.00 $(1,652.00) -0.5%
week profit/loss: 925

6-21-31 $170,457.00 $13,263.72 7.8%
week profit/loss: 2435

D1-D6 $110,700.00 $4,010.00 3.6%
week profit/loss: 1105

E1-E6 $102,540.00 $26,902.40 26.2%
week profit/loss: -875

Mike Lindley $73,264.00 $(5,619.00) -7.7%
week profit/loss: -1330

WINABOBATOO $291,389.00 $(4,277.88) -1.5%
week profit/loss: -1855

FBI combo $130,500.00 $10,514.00 8.1%
week profit/loss: -3000

FBI Euro $175,642.00 $12,972.00 7.4%
week profit/loss: -5400

Odds pushed out $36,250.00 $6,618.00 18.3%
week profit/loss: -1630

Personal $46,608.00 $(6,534.08) -14.0%
week profit/loss: -2671.16

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0

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