AFL had a great week, bringing in $15,000 profit. The banks are slowly increasing and the bets are getting bigger each week, I’ll be very happy if they are doubled by the end of the year.

Pretty much everything else broke even, making a few hundred or losing a few hundred. The only disaster was TFA Euro again, for the 3rd straight week it was 1 win from a heap of bets. I have never seen a run this bad, and I have followed FB Elite all season. Another $6,000 loss for the week. These Euro bets were at $30,000 profit earlier in the season, after the last month they now sit at $1,700. Talking of Fb Elite, just the one bet this week and finally a winner, but his 3 season long bets all lost, so a tiny win for the week. Only a week left for some leagues, but Soccer is pretty much over for the season. Not a great season at all, with only a 1.1% ROI. I will do a more detailed post when all leagues are complete.

A very nice return this week. I’m hoping next week will see me get close to that $200,000 profit mark once again.

Total profit for the week was $11,610.35

Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $3,552,030.91
Profit/Loss: $60,688.77
POT: 1.71%

Bets Placed: 5,567
Won: 2,265
Lost: 3,151
Half Payout: 3
Refunded: 148
Winning %: 41.8%

Profit per day: $176,772.49 / 1056 = $167.39

AFL H2H – SP $67,617.00 $14,797.18 21.9%
week profit/loss: 4347.50

AFL Line – SP $352,909.00 $10,047.65 2.8%
week profit/loss: 10591.50

ATP – SP $431,842.00 $10,548.09 2.4%
week profit/loss: -358.91

OTP NRL $27,500.00 $(3,030.75) -11.0%
week profit/loss: 477.50

MLB H2H $80,105.00 $16,512.95 20.6%
week profit/loss: 847.68

MLB Totals $133,206.00 $(1,445.54) -1.1%
week profit/loss: -894.17

XX Draws $69,000.00 $(10,637.50) -15.4%
week profit/loss: 450

XX Draws Under $69,000.00 $(2,510.00) -3.6%
week profit/loss: 1015

XX Extended $153,000.00 $13,571.00 8.9%
week profit/loss: -960

XX Extended Under $152,694.00 $2,740.50 1.8%
week profit/loss: 577

FB Elite $294,819.00 $(31,198.97) -10.6%
week profit/loss: 816

Skeeve $148,919.00 $(1,833.64) -1.2%
week profit/loss: 0

Combo FI $252,229.00 $14,434.50 5.7%
week profit/loss: 765

6-22 $73,315.00 $7,766.75 10.6%
week profit/loss: 0

7-21 $117,485.00 $10,867.00 9.2%
week profit/loss: 0

7-22 $49,185.00 $4,625.25 9.4%
week profit/loss: 0

8-21 $57,125.00 $9,032.88 15.8%
week profit/loss: 0

8-22 $31,513.00 $1,584.13 5.0%
week profit/loss: 0

E1-E7 $75,830.00 $(1,589.74) -2.1%
week profit/loss: -1188.75

E2-E6 $87,412.00 $(2,502.61) -2.9%
week profit/loss: -2250

E2-E7 $44,625.00 $4,037.26 9.0%
week profit/loss: -1500

E3-E6 $32,250.00 $(923.25) -2.9%
week profit/loss: -750

E3-E7 $18,375.00 $2,673.75 14.6%
week profit/loss: -375

The highlight this week was the return to form of the AFL model, for many subscribers it would have been an amazing week. It was a good week for me, but another half point loss really put a dampener on things. This is the 4th one this year and I have been the wrong side on all of them bar 1. Hopefully the next half point result will go in my favor. A profit of just over $10,000 for the week.

Tennis has been on a bad run these last 2 weeks, losing a further $2,200 this week. With the French coming up, this doesn’t bode to well. Onthepunt Nrl Guru went 0 from 3 for -$2,500. The MLB H2H’s continued a good run with another $2,000 profit, but totals have gone completely off the boil. A $6,000 loss this week and that brings the totals into negative for the first time this season. I’m very glad I decided to follow both this season, as by looking at the histories, I should have only followed totals.

I didn’t think the TFA Euros could get any worse then last week where not 1 game won, well this week we have 3 winners but another massive loss of $8,200, that’s a $17,200 loss in 2 weeks on these systems. XX Draws should have lost $2,550 but I missed a bet which saved me $1,000. Combo Football Investor has also had a terrible end to the season, early on we were sitting well above $20,000 profit, but after another $2,400 loss this week we are much closer to $10,000 now. Only 1 week to go in the season and I’m looking at a very small return for a lot of work this year.

A real crap two weeks. The swings will be very dependent on AFL from now, as that is the most heavily bet sport with very few games each week. The only other sports I will be following until the new Soccer season starts is Tennis, MLB and NRL. At least now it will only take about 4 hours of my time a week. I will be looking into Golf betting as well in the coming weeks.

Total loss for the week was $10,405.35

Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $3,459,073.91
Profit/Loss: $49,078.42
POT: 1.42%

Bets Placed: 5,425
Won: 2,208
Lost: 3,073
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 142
Winning %: 42.1%

Profit per day: $165,162.14/ 1049 = $157.44

AFL H2H – SP $63,975.00 $10,449.68 16.3%
week profit/loss: 3311.90

AFL Line – SP $328,929.00 $(543.85) -0.2%
week profit/loss: 7022.20

ATP – SP $423,402.00 $10,907.00 2.6%
week profit/loss: -2199.63

OTP NRL $25,000.00 $(3,508.25) -14.0%
week profit/loss: -2500

MLB H2H $71,961.00 $15,665.27 21.8%
week profit/loss: 1980.70

MLB Totals $115,455.00 $(551.37) -0.5%
week profit/loss: -5877.02

XX Draws $67,500.00 $(11,087.50) -16.4%
week profit/loss: -887.50

XX Draws Under $67,500.00 $(3,525.00) -5.2%
week profit/loss: -1625

XX Extended $148,500.00 $14,531.00 9.8%
week profit/loss: 695

XX Extended Under $148,194.00 $2,163.50 1.5%
week profit/loss: 266.50

FB Elite $290,819.00 $(32,014.97) -11.0%
week profit/loss: 0

Skeeve $148,919.00 $(1,833.64) -1.2%
week profit/loss: 0

Combo FI $247,229.00 $13,669.50 5.5%
week profit/loss: -2395

6-22 $73,315.00 $7,766.75 10.6%
week profit/loss: 0

7-21 $117,485.00 $10,867.00 9.2%
week profit/loss: 0

7-22 $49,185.00 $4,625.25 9.4%
week profit/loss: 0

8-21 $57,125.00 $9,032.88 15.8%
week profit/loss: 0

8-22 $31,513.00 $1,584.13 5.0%
week profit/loss: 0

E1-E7 $73,580.00 $(400.99) -0.5%
week profit/loss: 135

E2-E6 $85,162.00 $(252.61) -0.3%
week profit/loss: -3457.5

E2-E7 $43,125.00 $5,537.26 12.8%
week profit/loss: -1875

E3-E6 $31,500.00 $(173.25) -0.6%
week profit/loss: -1875

E3-E7 $17,625.00 $3,048.75 17.3%
week profit/loss: -1125

As mentioned on my weekend post. I lost close to $12,000 on the Friday night AFL bet. The other matches were much smaller bets and I ended the week with a loss of $13,817. I could have stomached that if it was the only negative for the week, but that wasn’t to be.

Tennis lost $3,000 and MLB totals lost $3,100. These were counteracted by a profit for OTP NRL of $350 and a massive MLB H2H week of $10,500 profit. Once again, if this was the end of it, I would have been satisfied with the weekly results. But there was much worse to come.

SOCCER, SOCCER, SOCCER. I thought I was over this, but nope, it came back to bite me on the arse. $20,344 lost over the weekend. XX Draws sucked with a loss of $5,100. FB Elite continued its ongoing suckiness and added another $5,800 loss. Never have I seen a tipster perform so badly. Combo FI lost $2,300 and the real horrible model this week was TFA Euro, losing $9,000.

Losing $30,000 over 3 days is a bit surreal. That’s not far off the average wage here, and I gave it to the bookies in the space of 72 hours. I know I was due a correction as the profit had made an incredible climb this year. I’m hoping that it was just a blip and over the next few weeks I can look back and laugh at the biggest weekly loss I have suffered. But I’m not feeling very confident at the moment, so we will need to see what happens next week.

Just going to forget about this shit week and look forward to another opportunity next week to reclaim that $200,000 mark.

Total loss for the week was $29,356.68

Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $3,344,211.91
Profit/Loss: $59,483.77
POT: 1.78%

Bets Placed: 5,232
Won: 2,144
Lost: 2,947
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 139
Winning %: 42.1%

Profit per day: $175,567.49 / 1042 = $168.49

AFL H2H – SP $58,680.00 $7,137.78 12.2%
week profit/loss: -2293.50

AFL Line – SP $307,215.00 $(7,566.05) -2.5%
week profit/loss: -11524.29

ATP – SP $411,650.00 $13,106.63 3.2%
week profit/loss: -2958.51

OTP NRL $22,500.00 $(1,008.25) -4.5%
week profit/loss: 368.75

MLB H2H $58,543.00 $13,684.57 23.4%
week profit/loss: 10,517.74

MLB Totals $92,647.00 $5,325.65 5.7%
week profit/loss: -3124.37

XX Draws $65,000.00 $(10,200.00) -15.7%
week profit/loss: -195

XX Draws Under $65,000.00 $(1,900.00) -2.9%
week profit/loss: 1103.50

XX Extended $141,500.00 $13,836.00 9.8%
week profit/loss: -3500

XX Extended Under $141,194.00 $1,897.00 1.3%
week profit/loss: -2510

FB Elite $290,819.00 $(32,014.97) -11.0%
week profit/loss: -5860

Skeeve $148,919.00 $(1,833.64) -1.2%
week profit/loss: 0

Combo FI $241,229.00 $16,064.50 6.7%
week profit/loss: -2286

6-22 $73,315.00 $7,766.75 10.6%
week profit/loss: 0

7-21 $117,485.00 $10,867.00 9.2%
week profit/loss: 952.50

7-22 $49,185.00 $4,625.25 9.4%
week profit/loss: 0

8-21 $57,125.00 $9,032.88 15.8%
week profit/loss: 952.50

8-22 $31,513.00 $1,584.13 5.0%
week profit/loss: 0

E1-E7 $70,580.00 $(535.99) -0.8%
week profit/loss: -3000

E2-E6 $80,662.00 $3,204.89 4.0%
week profit/loss: -3000

E2-E7 $41,250.00 $7,412.26 18.0%
week profit/loss: -1875

E3-E6 $29,625.00 $1,701.75 5.7%
week profit/loss: -750

E3-E7 $16,500.00 $4,173.75 25.3%
week profit/loss: -375

The big news the last few weeks has been about the More Joyous furor. To put it simply, the horse wasn’t well and it’s trainer decided to not tell anyone. Her son, a bookmaker stupidly told friends not to back it, which got back to the horse’s owner who likes to shout his mouth off and who was rightly pissed that he was not told, decided to make it public knowledge. It came second last and now people are acting shocked that this sort of thing happens.

I know very little about racing. I have followed a few UK horse racing tipsters, one who was ranked the best ever, and they did quite well, so well in fact that I could not place anymore bets as all the bookmakers stopped allowing me to bet on any races with fixed odds. What I do know about Horse racing, is that your average punter is never ever going to win long term. This is a sport where insider information is the only way you will make a profit year on year. Now I am going to sound pretty smart here as I reference Karl Marx’s thoughts on the law of increasing poverty, in a nutshell it’s “The rich get richer and the poor get poorer”. The poor being the average guy who likes to place a few small bets on the weekend for a bit of excitement. The rich being the bookmakers, trainers, media outlets, the racing administrators and even the dodgy tipsters who promise outrageous fortunes. Sadly the majority of these punters believe that they have all the information they need in the little lift-out from their local paper which tells them how the horse went in its last few races and has a twitter length comment next to each horse. WAKE UP PEOPLE. The only people outside of the rich mentioned above are the professionals who hire others to watch every single race numerous times, have maths prodigies creating algorithms and who also bet with cash back and affiliate payments in mind. If you are shocked at hearing any of this then you and your money shall be parted very quickly. If you are betting with the full knowledge that you will lose money and what you are partaking in is payment for entertainment then your going about things the right way. But if you really believe your betting style or system can compete against the typhoon that is the racing system, then I laugh in your ugly troll-like face.

Ok, so after some background info of the racing industry that most of my readers really already know, lets get onto the scandal of the moment and what’s in stall for the 3 parties involved. I’ll start with the owner of the horse, John Singleton. He has done nothing wrong in my opinion, as the owner he should have been told about any issues with the horse and was rightly upset to have to hear about it from the sources he did. You would think in a sane world that that means he has nothing to worry about. But NSW racing and most of the other state administrative bodies are always looking out for themselves. This means that they will slap John with a big fine for bringing the sport into disrepute or something along those lines. The amount will be meaningless to Singleton, but I think it will be more then what is given to Gai Waterhouse. She broke a number of rules by not telling anyone, but she will get a small fine and a talking to, which is even less then a slap on the wrist.

In my opinion the massive issue is with Tom Waterhouse, when you are a bookmaker and your mum is a trainer then you have to make sure that there is no link between the two. It sounds dodgy enough as it is, but then he actually advertisers this by saying if you back one of his mum’s horses and it comes 2nd or 3rd then you get your money back. Sure he wants to play of his famous family name, but the fact that he can’t see how stupid this is is beyond me. When your dad is known as a dodgy bookmaker and has a massive stake in your company, you don’t want to do anything that could cause an issue. I believe he did know about the issues with More Joyous and did tell others not to back it, which for someone who seems intelligent is pretty retarded. He should lose his license for passing on insider information. If something like this happened in regards to stocks then he would be going to jail for insider trading. He says he placed a $300,000 bet on the horse, off course he did, only after getting about $1,000,000 in bets on it from the unsuspecting punters on his site. His companies catchphrase is “I know what punters want”, maybe it’s just me but I don’t think they want to be betting with someone who knows the horse they are betting their hard earned money on has no chance of winning.

Now here is the kicker, this is what is going to happen to Tom Waterhouse. Sweet fuck all. A big show will be put on by NSW Racing to assure the Australian betting public that they are not idiots for betting on racing and that it is clean sport and blah blah blah. Small fines will be handed out and the news coverage will move onto whatever new scandal pops up in the world of sport. Tom will continue to advertise non stop and get more and more customers and continue to make enormous amounts of money and live an awesome life with all the perks of being very very very rich. Is that a surprise? were you expecting anything else?

Every state Gambling commission is a joke. We have seen how good they are at their jobs time and time again. The last one being the Sports Alive debacle. Nothing will change unless people are willing to stop using these services. But that requires them to stop betting, which isn’t going to happen. My goal over the coming years is to make sure that the regular punters are made aware of their very vulnerable position and that the bookmakers are held responsible for any misdemeanors that they enact on a daily basis. As I am very lazy, a manifesto will be created in the next few weeks/months that will spell out what I hope to achieve over the next few years in helping the average punter make back some money from the bookmakers and also to assess what they have already lost. It will start with a simple program that once given permission can grab all your bets from any bookmakers you bet at and actually show you where you are losing money and where you might actually have an edge. A simple first step that the bookmakers themselves would hate you to have. I will continue to release articles and other documents that will hopefully open your eyes to how bookmakers really treat their customers and how you can become one of the few who make a profit from them.

That’s my rant over, as mentioned before, I have no real interest in racing and these are just my opinions and will probably be proved wrong in the coming days, I really hope they are. But the industry is in a sorry state and it feels like a mafia run affair at times. Entertaining punting everyone.

Let me know your thoughts on this in the comments and if you want me to keep writing these types of articles, or if you want me to shut my trap and just report my profits/losses.

Just shows how things can shift so quickly. Instead of celebrating breaking the $100,000 barrier for the year, I’m back at $80,000 and a long way off again.

I guess I am going to need to get used to these massive bets losing every now and again, but right now it hurts a heap.

This week is not going to be pretty, so come back on Tuesday to see the rest of the carnage.

$14,753 bet per day and a profit per day of $1,280. The majority of this months profit came in the last weekend, with AFL being the biggest contributor.

There is one big red area on my records. Football Elite has had the most atrocious month for any betting service I have ever seen. 13 bets and only 1 winner. $26,000 was bet for a loss of $(21,040.00). A -80.9% Return on Investment. It’s to the other Soccer models credit that the combined soccer loss was only $(4,432.50) with $155,255.00 bet for a ROI of -2.9%. One standout was XX Draws, making $11,080 over only $44,000 worth of bets. TFA Established did even better with $13,746 profit over only $22,600 bet. Just amazing. TFA Euro sadly didn’t do so well, losing $4,957 after $25,125 worth of bets. Football Investors Combo picks had a poor month with a loss of $(2,871.50) after betting $31,500.00, which is a ROI of -9.1%. Skeeve also had a -6.5% ROI over $6,030.00 worth of bets, losing $(390.00).

Tennis had a standout month, returning $13,351.24 after betting $43,978.00, a ROI of 30.4%. I believe I need to increase my Tennis bets to keep on par with the turnover of AFL and MLB, but will refrain until the next season.

The end of the NBL season was at the start of April and went terribly. Losing $(3,734.30) for a ROI of -59.0%. The Onthepunt NRL tipster made a comeback this month with $9,500.00 bet for a profit of $960.50 which is a ROI of 10.1%.

The two other standouts this month were AFL and MLB. AFL H2H did not do well with a loss of $1,011 at -5.7%, but the Line bets made $19,481 at 22.6% ROI. This is the only model using moving banks, so these profits could increase exponentially over the coming months. MLB H2H and Totals both did exceptionally well, making 11.1% and 11.2% respectively. H2H made $5,016 after $45,336 worth of bets and Totals made $8,762 after $78,136 worth of bets.

A very fruitful month and that brings the 2013 profit to $120,658.00, which is an average profit of just over $30,000 a month. It brings the year to date profit (year starts in July) to $93,289.02, which is an average of $9,300 a month. After the terrible first 7 months, I am very happy with that return.

May is going to be another exciting month, most of the Soccer leagues finish and AFL, MLB and Tennis are starting to kick into gear. Hoping to replicated the past 3 months.

This week finally broke the shackles for April. It was looking like a breakeven month until this weekend. The major contributors were AFL, Tennis, MLB and XX Draws.

AFL had a perfect week. Every line bet winning and netting close to $15,000 profit. Could this be the start of an awesome player based model run? I sure hope so, as this is the only model I am following with a moving bank.

ATP continues it’s brilliant form and really looking forward to the two majors coming up. Just shy of $4,000 profit for the week. MLB has also had a brilliant start, adding $6,000 profit for the week. OTP NRL had a great week too, bringing in $1,700

Soccer was the only sport to have an off week. Football Elite went 0-3 again and lost another $6,000, absolutely disgraceful, I think in the last 15 bets there has only been 1 or 2 winners. XX Draws made another nice profit and that’s usually the case when other soccer models don’t perform. It added $3,300. Combi FI lost $2,000 and TFA Established and Euro lost $800

I just love these $20,000 weeks, with Soccer coming to an end I thought they would be a rarer occurrence. But if AFL can keep performing and the other Sportpunter models chip in with a few thousand each week then we might see a few more of them. Very excited to pass the $200,000 mark within 3 years and as my bank and bets grow, I hope to see $300,000 profit by the end of this year.

Total profit for the week was $20,846.51

Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $3,242,615.91
Profit/Loss: $88,840.45
POT: 2.74%

Bets Placed: 5,082
Won: 2,092
Lost: 2,852
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 136
Winning %: 42.3%

Profit per day: $204,924.17 / 1035 = $197.99

AFL H2H – SP $55,693.00 $9,431.28 16.9%
week profit/loss: 837.75

AFL Line – SP $290,430.00 $3,958.24 1.4%
week profit/loss: 13996.63

ATP – SP $399,142.00 $16,065.14 4.0%
week profit/loss: 3884.43

OTP NRL $20,000.00 $(1,377.00) -6.9%
week profit/loss: 1684.50

MLB H2H $42,919.00 $3,166.83 7.4%
week profit/loss: 2073.50

MLB Totals $77,455.00 $8,450.02 10.9%
week profit/loss: 3898.45

XX Draws $63,000.00 $(10,005.00) -15.9%
week profit/loss: 775

XX Draws Under $63,000.00 $(3,003.50) -4.8%
week profit/loss: -35

XX Extended $138,000.00 $17,336.00 12.6%
week profit/loss: 540

XX Extended Under $137,694.00 $4,407.00 3.2%
week profit/loss: 1990

FB Elite $280,819.00 $(26,154.97) -9.3%
week profit/loss: -6000

Skeeve $148,919.00 $(1,833.64) -1.2%
week profit/loss: 0

Combo FI $236,729.00 $18,350.50 7.8%
week profit/loss: -1985

6-22 $73,315.00 $7,766.75 10.6%
week profit/loss: 292.50

7-21 $116,735.00 $9,914.50 8.5%
week profit/loss: -56.25

7-22 $49,185.00 $4,625.25 9.4%
week profit/loss: -750

8-21 $56,375.00 $8,080.38 14.3%
week profit/loss: 318.75

8-22 $31,513.00 $1,584.13 5.0%
week profit/loss: -375

E1-E7 $67,580.00 $2,464.01 3.6%
week profit/loss: -1098.75

E2-E6 $77,662.00 $6,204.89 8.0%
week profit/loss: 26.25

E2-E7 $39,375.00 $9,287.26 23.6%
week profit/loss: 26.25

E3-E6 $28,875.00 $2,451.75 8.5%
week profit/loss: 401.25

E3-E7 $16,125.00 $4,548.75 28.2%
week profit/loss: 401.25

AFL had a very poor week, in total losing close to $8,000. It hasn’t been the start I was hoping for, but the faith in Jonno’s modelling skills are still there and it’s only a matter of time before these bets start clicking into gear. The other model of Jonno’s I love is the ATP one, another $2,600 profit this week on the clay. The last Sportpunter model I am following is Crdogs MLB model. I am still having the same reservations I had last year. The prices are available when the bets are released, but someone must have a bot betting these straight away, as I am super quick but always miss the bets before they move. I am having to take 5cent worse odds on every bet, and I’m not sure I can profit long term if this is the case. If anyone knows how to create a simple bot that can take data from an excel sheet and place bets at Pinnacle then I would love to talk to you. MLB started the week well before some massive losing days on the weekend. It ended the week with a $700 loss.

OTP NRL had the one bet for a $900 win.

XX Draws has been having a nice run lately and added $3,550, Combo FI broke even, and a small profit was achieved by TFA Established and Euro. FB Elite once again cost me a fair bit. These were harsh results as Fulham had a player sent off in the 12th minute and still looked the better team and Catania allowing an equaliser in the 94th minute, but really, I’m not sure if his edge is there anymore. I will be giving it one more season at half stakes to see if he can make a comeback, Sadly the 2 and a bit years I have been following FB Elite has resulted in over $20,000 lost.

I seem to have done well when I was predicting my weekly results, so this week I will go with $11,000 profit.

Total loss for the week was $4,005.67

Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $3,138,644.91
Profit/Loss: $67,993.94
POT: 2.17%

Bets Placed: 4,925
Won: 2,012
Lost: 2,777
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 134
Winning %: 42.0%

Profit per day: $184,077.66 / 1028 = $179.06

AFL H2H – SP $51,982.00 $8,593.53 16.5%
week profit/loss: -715.30

AFL Line – SP $275,132.00 $(10,038.39) -3.6%
week profit/loss: -7134.18

ATP – SP $387,938.00 $12,180.71 3.1%
week profit/loss: 2613.74

OTP NRL $16,500.00 $(3,061.50) -18.6%
week profit/loss: 910

MLB H2H $26,857.00 $1,093.33 4.1%
week profit/loss: -18.05

MLB Totals $56,884.00 $4,551.57 8.0%
week profit/loss: -653.38

XX Draws $62,000.00 $(10,780.00) -17.4%
week profit/loss: 1300

XX Draws Under $62,000.00 $(2,968.50) -4.8%
week profit/loss: -170

XX Extended $133,500.00 $16,796.00 12.6%
week profit/loss: 1040

XX Extended Under $133,194.00 $2,417.00 1.8%
week profit/loss: 1395.50

FB Elite $274,819.00 $(20,154.97) -7.3%
week profit/loss: -3040

Skeeve $148,919.00 $(1,833.64) -1.2%
week profit/loss: 0

Combo FI $228,729.00 $20,335.50 8.9%
week profit/loss: 83.50

6-22 $71,815.00 $7,474.25 10.4%
week profit/loss: 825

7-21 $115,610.00 $9,970.75 8.6%
week profit/loss: 75

7-22 $48,435.00 $5,375.25 11.1%
week profit/loss: 825

8-21 $55,625.00 $7,761.63 14.0%
week profit/loss: 750

8-22 $31,138.00 $1,959.13 6.3%
week profit/loss: 750

E1-E7 $65,705.00 $3,562.76 5.4%
week profit/loss: 532.50

E2-E6 $76,912.00 $6,178.64 8.0%
week profit/loss: -1875

E2-E7 $38,625.00 $9,261.01 24.0%
week profit/loss: -375

E3-E6 $28,500.00 $2,050.50 7.2%
week profit/loss: -1125

E3-E7 $15,750.00 $4,147.50 26.3%
week profit/loss: 0

The NBL season finished and a crap end to the season. Two massive bets losing to take the season into a loss. $3,450 lost this week and the final season results are a $6,200 loss on the Totals and a $5,480 win for the Line bets. After a long season I ended up $727.63 down over $196,346 worth of bets. Over the past few season I have continued to make a small loss. I will reassess next season, but unless some changes are made (hopefully player based) then I might not continue with it.

Even with the biggest bet going down this week, AFL still produced the goods. This is where the majority of my profit will come from over the next 6 months as the soccer season ends soon and my total betting per week will be cut in half. With only Tennis, Baseball and AFL going, it will be a lot less work, but also a lot less potential profit. AFL made $5,300 for the week.

Tennis continued its great run from last week, once again added $3,500 to the overall profit. This brings the season profit to $18,000. The OnthePunt NRL tipster had a shocker this week, losing all 3 bets and down $2,500. MLB reminded me how good it could be and I am still grateful for it, as this was the first service I started following and it got me off to a great start in my first year. As long as i can continue to get similar odds then I will be a happy camper. $5,700 profit for the week.

XX Draws made $2,100. But Elite continued to suck, backing up from it’s $8,000 loss last week, Mat added another $4,000 to the losses for the year. Not looking good at all. I once again was very lucky with Skeeve this week, I managed to bet my max of $700 on a bet before the odds crumbled to become a no bet, and I could only get matched for tiny amounts on the double. Both bets lost, and I saved myself $1,200, but still lost $1,200 for the week. Combo added a tiny $600 profit and TFA Established and Euro lost a combined $750.

As the soccer season winds down, I hope that the last few weeks can create a bit more profit. This season has thrown up a number of surprises and there will be some changes at the start of the next season. I’ll happily take this profit every single week.

Total profit for the week was $5,306.12

Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $3,042,869.91
Profit/Loss: $71,999.61
POT: 2.37%

Bets Placed: 4,786
Won: 1,949
Lost: 2,705
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 130
Winning %: 41.9%

Profit per day: $188,083.33 / 1021 = $184.21

AFL H2H – SP $47,904.00 $9,308.83 19.4%
week profit/loss: -213.75

AFL Line – SP $257,156.00 $(2,904.21) -1.1%
week profit/loss: 5521.40

ATP – SP $378,084.00 $9,566.97 2.5%
week profit/loss: 3547.82

OTP NRL $15,500.00 $(3,971.50) -25.6%
week profit/loss: -2500

NBL Totals $120,488.00 $(6,209.41) -5.2%
week profit/loss: -1900

NBL Line $75,858.00 $5,481.78 7.2%
week profit/loss: -1550

MLB H2H $16,156.00 $1,111.38 6.9%
week profit/loss: 342.80

MLB Totals $35,343.00 $5,204.95 14.7%
week profit/loss: 5325.85

XX Draws $60,000.00 $(12,080.00) -20.1%
week profit/loss: -500

XX Draws Under $60,000.00 $(2,798.50) -4.7%
week profit/loss: 438.50

XX Extended $131,000.00 $15,756.00 12.0%
week profit/loss: 2105

XX Extended Under $130,694.00 $1,021.50 0.8%
week profit/loss: 49.50

FB Elite $266,819.00 $(17,114.97) -6.4%
week profit/loss: -4000

Skeeve $148,919.00 $(1,833.64) -1.2%
week profit/loss: -1230

Combo FI $223,729.00 $20,252.00 9.1%
week profit/loss: 625

6-22 $71,065.00 $6,649.25 9.4%
week profit/loss: 600

7-21 $114,110.00 $9,895.75 8.7%
week profit/loss: -489.75

7-22 $47,685.00 $4,550.25 9.5%
week profit/loss: -375

8-21 $54,875.00 $7,011.63 12.8%
week profit/loss: -375

8-22 $30,388.00 $1,209.13 4.0%
week profit/loss: -375

E1-E7 $64,955.00 $3,030.26 4.7%
week profit/loss: -108.75

E2-E6 $75,037.00 $8,053.64 10.7%
week profit/loss: -483.75

E2-E7 $38,250.00 $9,636.01 25.2%
week profit/loss: 641.25

E3-E6 $27,375.00 $3,175.50 11.6%
week profit/loss: 105

E3-E7 $15,750.00 $4,147.50 26.3%
week profit/loss: 105

AFL still ended the week with a nice $6,100 profit. But it should have been $16,000. There is discussion of moving the release time to a Friday, which would mean I can place the bets as soon as they are given.

There have only been a few bets on the Tennis this week and they have done well, with $3,400 profit. The OTP NRL tipster made a bit of a comeback this week with $850 profit and the first game of the NBL finals resulted in a $800 loss.

The first full week of MLB action resulted in a $1,400 profit. There has been discussion about the time of release for this also as the prices move way too much early on. The time of release has been pushed back to 1am, so I am not sure I can continue following the model. I believe these were the same reasons I stopped last season.

XX Draws produced it’s first profit in some time, gaining $3,150 for the week. Skeeve continues to inch towards break even, with another $800 profit for the week. TFA Established added $2,000 profit and TFA Euro lost pretty much the same amount. The big losers this week were Combo FI with a $3,600 loss and Football Elite picked 0 from 4 to go -$8,000. I will off course follow all tipster to the end of the season, but some will be going and some will have new staking plans next season.

A small profit for the week, but good not to have back to back losing weeks.

Total profit for the week was $3,319.48

Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $2,928,823.91
Profit/Loss: $66,693.49
POT: 2.28%

Bets Placed: 4,622
Won: 1,872
Lost: 2,619
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 129
Winning %: 41.7%

Profit per day: $182,777.21 / 1014 = $180.25

AFL H2H – SP $42,589.00 $9,522.58 22.4%
week profit/loss: -920.17

AFL Line – SP $231,816.00 $(8,425.61) -3.6%
week profit/loss: 7097.20

ATP – SP $364,463.00 $6,019.15 1.7%
week profit/loss: 3430.08

OTP NRL $13,000.00 $(1,471.50) -11.3%
week profit/loss: 866

NBL Totals $118,588.00 $(4,309.41) -3.6%
week profit/loss: 0

NBL Line $74,308.00 $7,031.78 9.5%
week profit/loss: -811

MLB H2H $7,942.00 $768.58 9.7%
week profit/loss: 2236.33

MLB Totals $19,217.00 $(120.90) -0.6%
week profit/loss: -852.96

XX Draws $59,500.00 $(11,580.00) -19.5%
week profit/loss: 1405

XX Draws Under $59,500.00 $(3,237.00) -5.4%
week profit/loss: 1492.50

XX Extended $124,500.00 $13,651.00 11.0%
week profit/loss: 885

XX Extended Under $124,194.00 $972.00 0.8%
week profit/loss: -631

FB Elite $262,819.00 $(13,114.97) -5.0%
week profit/loss: -8000

Skeeve $147,689.00 $(603.64) -0.4%
week profit/loss: 840

Combo FI $217,729.00 $19,627.00 9.0%
week profit/loss: -3595

6-22 $69,940.00 $6,049.25 8.6%
week profit/loss: -850

7-21 $112,235.00 $10,385.50 9.3%
week profit/loss: 1053.75

7-22 $47,310.00 $4,925.25 10.4%
week profit/loss: 0

8-21 $54,500.00 $7,386.63 13.6%
week profit/loss: 1803.75

8-22 $30,013.00 $1,584.13 5.3%
week profit/loss: 0

E1-E7 $61,955.00 $3,139.01 5.1%
week profit/loss: -270

E2-E6 $71,662.00 $8,537.39 11.9%
week profit/loss: -1215

E2-E7 $36,000.00 $8,994.76 25.0%
week profit/loss: 105

E3-E6 $26,625.00 $3,070.50 11.5%
week profit/loss: -375

E3-E7 $15,000.00 $4,042.50 27.0%
week profit/loss: -375