Daily25 Betting Blog http://www.daily25.com Trying to make $250 per day with sports betting Wed, 25 Feb 2015 05:43:17 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=4.1.1 Feb 18th – Feb 24th -$7,881.20 http://www.daily25.com/feb-18th-feb-24th-7881-20/ http://www.daily25.com/feb-18th-feb-24th-7881-20/#comments Tue, 24 Feb 2015 05:23:54 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2407 nother week where the losses should have been so much more, but my lack of sleep saved me again. Missing bets is not something I like to do on a regular basis. If I am...

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Another week where the losses should have been so much more, but my lack of sleep saved me again. Missing bets is not something I like to do on a regular basis. If I am following profitable models, over the long run these missed bets will cost me profit. On Saturday night I placed whatever bets I could (where prices were close to those quoted), and set my alarm for 45 minutes before kickoff to place the rest. I slept through that alarm and saved myself about $14,000. I would say I should only be sitting on about $20,000 profit this year, so am overjoyed to be where I am. This site is a 10 year project and I do expect to have at least 1 and probably 2 or 3 losing years in that time.

The NBL regular season wrapped up this week with $1,000 profit. It’s been a really tough season, a sizable loss, a real hassle to get the bets on and some accounts being limited. Last season, NBL was my savior, so I can forgive a losing season. NHL continues to be the standout this year. $3,900 profit this week. The Rugby did not do so well in week 2, dropping $2,100. Thursday sees the NAB Cup start and I’m excited for another AFL season.

I’m pleased with how I use the ClubGOWI service now. I know it will make me a small profit long term and now all I do is try and get matched on the red type before the game or bet the opposite if the odds have moved dramatically. This reduces my stress with this service and I no longer waste my energy worrying about it. I wouldn’t recommend the service for anyone who did not have a sizable bank as the monthly fees would eat any profit. This week the bets I could get on resulted in $2,100 profit.

Both Golf services lost a combined $400.

The Soccer bets lost $11,600 this week, but that should really be $26,300. Thanks to Oliver and his teething, I have not had much sleep the last few weeks and that caught up with me on Saturday night. The EPL games start at 2 am my time and my 1:15 am alarm failed to wake me. I saved $10,000 with TFA and $4,000 with Winabobatoo. My end of year results for both those services will look very different to most others. Football Elite lost $3,100 and has really crashed and burned the last few months. Football Value made $1,300, TFA lost $6,700 and Winabobatoo lost $2,000. Football Investor also lost $1,100. My Personal picks lost $1,300 and betting against Gowi made $500.

I hit a high of $69,000 this week, but the Soccer bets I did manage to place and the Sunday NBL saw me lose $15,000 on Sunday. Apart from the lack of sleep, I am slowly getting on top of everything I let pile up while away in America. Really looking forward to the new AFL season, not only has it been my biggest earner over the years, but it is also the best sport to watch.

Total Loss for the week was $7,881.20

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Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $4,716,629.93
Profit/Loss: $54,806.27
POT: 1.16%
Bets Placed: 6876
Won: 2315
Lost: 3184
Half Payout: 50
Refunded: 1327
Winning %: 42.1%
Total profit per day: $402,331.11 / 1700 = $236.66
Total Turnover: $19,059,373.30
Total ROI: 2.11%

NBL Totals $75,661.00 $(2,359.01) -3.1%
week profit/loss: 1839.63

NBL Line $189,180.00 $(13,742.46) -7.3%
week profit/loss: -812.42

NHL Totals $277,011.00 $31,463.48 11.4%
week profit/loss: 3923.91

Rugby SP $24,863.00 $24.78 0.1%
week profit/loss: -2093.52

ClubGowi $508,779.00 $9,819.51 1.9%
week profit/loss: 2072.50

GOWI $17,901.00 $2,316.03 12.9%
week profit/loss: 0

Jason Kelly Golf $11,291.93 $(9,043.53) -80.1%
week profit/loss: -175

Betswot $9,448.00 $(7,693.00) -81.4%
week profit/loss: -225

FB Elite $168,011.00 $4,591.50 2.7%
week profit/loss: -3150

Football Value $46,000.00 $(5,205.00) -11.3%
week profit/loss: 1300

TFA 21 $262,495.00 $(3,444.80) -1.3%
week profit/loss: -2970

TFA 41 $253,926.00 $(6,260.00) -2.5%
week profit/loss: 320

6-21-31 $146,557.00 $11,659.22 8.0%
week profit/loss: -2400

D1-D6 $93,200.00 $5,520.00 5.9%
week profit/loss: -610

E1-E6 $85,040.00 $23,952.40 28.2%
week profit/loss: -1075

Mike Lindley $63,000.00 $(2,967.50) -4.7%
week profit/loss: 0

WINABOBATOO $249,979.00 $(2,506.68) -1.0%
week profit/loss: -2000

FBI combo $117,500.00 $15,800.00 13.4%
week profit/loss: -2000

FBI Euro $152,242.00 $21,252.00 14.0%
week profit/loss: 950

Odds pushed out $30,250.00 $7,757.25 25.6%
week profit/loss: 485

Personal $34,801.00 $(6,198.02) -17.8%
week profit/loss: -1311.30

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0

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Lenses, and why Gamblers need to be generalists http://www.daily25.com/lenses-and-why-gamblers-need-to-be-generalists/ http://www.daily25.com/lenses-and-why-gamblers-need-to-be-generalists/#comments Sun, 22 Feb 2015 03:58:23 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2391 My most recent post about the lack of Innovation in the Sportsbook industry has shown me how different we all are. It was amusing to see all the comments on Twitter and the blog and to...

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My most recent post about the lack of Innovation in the Sportsbook industry has shown me how different we all are. It was amusing to see all the comments on Twitter and the blog and to read all the emails I received. It reinforced my view that we all see things from whatever limited skill set we have. I believe our lack of generalisation is a major reason the majority of people who bet are long term losers.

The articles main point was simply that since Betfair created peer to peer betting, there has been no real innovation. There continue to be incremental developments in the product, but nothing as ground breaking as exchange betting, which was created 15 years ago. That groundbreaking idea created a company that is today worth £1.48 Billion.

To prove my point further. Sportsbet is rumored to be announcing their latest innovation on Tuesday. There will be millions spent on marketing this new product, and I’m sure they will advertise it as something ground breaking and new. Do you know what it is? Cash out. Yep, the same product Betfair has had for years and Gamebookers had many years before that. Their parent company Paddy Power has had it for years as well as most other UK books.

But how pathetic the industry is at innovation is not what I want to talk about today, instead I want to talk about you, and how you can improve your betting.

Lenses

nerdglassesWe all see the world through different lenses. The way we see things is based on the society we grew up in, our parents, friends, religion, teachers and most importantly, what we think we are really good at and interested in. There is nothing at all wrong with this, it means that one thing can be viewed millions of different ways. A piece of art has a different meaning for each person.

My Lens is one of IT/Startups. Information Technology is what I loved as a kid and what I learnt at University. Startups are my love now and my brain is always trying to come up with new ideas. There are many other mini lenses I use to see the world. Think of it like having poor vision and the Optometrist testing lots of different lenses until you have near perfect vision. The optometrist adjust the settings to get that perfect combination. Mine might be 30% IT, 35% Startups, 5% maths, 10% Sports, 8% Australian, so on.

If our lenses are made up from lots of different areas than that’s great, we can look at things in the world from a few different angles, we are able to squint at times and potentially see the other sides point of view. Problems arise when our lenses are predominantly made up of just 1 or 2 things. I see these type of people all the time and they came out in full force because of my last article.

From my Lens, the article was about Innovation, but I also sprinkled in some maths, some business and a few other things. I like to think of myself as a generalist. Not great at any one thing, but pretty decent at a few things. On most comment sections of blogs and also on Twitter, the loudest people are umathsnerdsually the ones with a heavily weighted lens.

Lens Type 1: The Maths guy

I get these guys a lot on this site. They are the pure maths guys, have been university educated and concentrated on maths their entire lives. Gambling and maths go together, there are lots of numbers involved in gambling. The odds, game stats, modelling, and so on is a math nerds wet dream. I believe a basic understanding of maths is a fundamental block in your gambling arsenal.

I am not strong at maths, my degree required some basic statistic subjects which I stumbled through. But my basic maths is more than adequate to be a profitable gambler. Whenever I do maths on this site, I know without doubt that a maths guy will point out any errors. Usually I will ask Jonno if the maths is right or ask my readers to do the maths for me. In the innovation article, I did some maths and rounded up some numbers. Not giving exact numbers really sets of the maths guys. I guess it is akin to getting grammar wrong for linguistic experts.

Here’s the thing, the maths in the article was irrelevant. I could have just as easily left it out. Abraham Maslow said it best.

if all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail

To these maths guys, the only thing they saw was the maths. If a person is familiar with a certain, single subject, or has with them a certain, single instrument, they may have a confirmation bias to believe that it is the answer to/involved in everything. These guys only see the maths, nothing more. It is what they are trained to do. Everything can be classified and ordered into a simple equation. Sadly life is not all about numbers, and I see these type of people struggle to make a profit gambling time after time. They might produce a profitable model, but yet they still lose. How is that even possible? It’s possible because maths (while important), is only the tip of the iceberg of skills you need to be a profitable gambler.

Lens Type 2: The Business Guy

I relate to this guy a little more. Start ups are all about creating something that will then become a business. So how did these guys react to the article? These guys sent me emails saying how silly I was to give away ideas. I could have patented it, and made money if any bookmakers used it. Or I could have started my own Sportsbook with this as the key differentiation. All the emails I received were telling me how I could have made money or a business from the idea. They also wanted to partner with me on future ideas as long as I did not share them on the site.

The Business Lens is all about extracting value. For them life is a zero sum game. There is only a set amount available in the world and you need to destroy any opposition that stands in your way. I see Business a little differently. I feel that if I can create something that creates value for others, I will be rewarded for creating that value. The pie is not a static number, but an ever growing one the more and more value is created.

I did appreciate the Business guys emails and they did get me thinking about protecting some of my better ideas. This article is not a stab at people who specialise, it is just to show everyone that we can improve by looking at things from different perspectives.

Lens Type 3: The Ideas guy

I loved these guys. Mostly because I think of myself in this lens type. These guys sent me emails talking about the idea and also added BUT. The but is great, as it takes my initial basic idea and expands on it to create something even better. From these email exchanges the initial idea changed into something even better and a much more compelling product. These guys added even more value to my idea. They used their unique lens makeup to firstly understand the idea, but to also add improvements based on their own lens.

There are so many other lens types, but those were the 3 main ones that contacted me.

How you can be a better gambler?

The quote earlier said it best. If all we have is a hammer, every problem looks like a nail. If you want to be a profitable gambler you need a wide variety of skills. Let’s pretend a profitable gambler is a builder. Yes we need the Hammer (maths), but we also need the Tape Measure (recording of bets), the Level (Psychological impacts), The Drill (Placing bets), and the Saw (knowing when to cut a Tipster).

I could go on with the analogy. But the more tools we have (or lenses we see through), the greater the chance we will have all the skills necessary to be one of those rare few who make money from betting.

You can change lenses at any time and any age. Start by understanding when your biases are showing through and ask yourself “Is there another way to look at this?”. You’ll be surprised how many more colors are in the world when you open your eyes.

 

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Sportsbook Idea #1 http://www.daily25.com/sportsbook-idea-1/ http://www.daily25.com/sportsbook-idea-1/#comments Wed, 18 Feb 2015 06:25:14 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2373 The current crop of corporate bookmakers like to think of themselves as innovative and “on the pulse” of young gamblers. Nothing can be further from the truth. The only reason they continue to get more...

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sbetcashThe current crop of corporate bookmakers like to think of themselves as innovative and “on the pulse” of young gamblers. Nothing can be further from the truth. The only reason they continue to get more and more customers is because we love to bet, and in a heavily regulated market, there are only so many places we can do that. Many of the big corporates actually have “ideas” guys and teams that are working 24/7 on new ways to entice people and extract money from them. For all the money they spend, the so called most innovative thing they have come up with in the past year is an ATM card that allows you to withdraw winnings quicker. The Ladbrokes group came up with this so called “Ground-breaking” new idea last year and Sportsbet followed suit in November. The amusing thing is that over 10 years ago the online casinos had already figured this out.

The Sports betting market is ripe for a tech driven start-up to really challenge these incumbents and take a massive market share. What we have at the moment is a bunch of marketing companies that assume they are doing an awesome job because they continue to get more and more customers. They have found that all you need to do is entice people with free money, keep offering them more free money and offers until they become hooked on betting. They then simply ban any users they think will cost them money in the long term. This is a sound strategy in the early days when you have 0% – 50% of the market. Eventually you will have the vast majority of people who were going to sign up and you have to make as much money from them as possible. The issue is, these people have grown accustomed to only betting when a bonus of some sort is offered. That’s when these marketers (to call them bookmakers is an insult to bookmaking) are left with no other avenue but innovation.

From the numbers I have seen, there is about 3-5 years more growth in store for these so called bookies. That really is not all that long and if they can not provide some innovation before that time, than we will see a large number of these guys go bankrupt/merge/be bought out.

IHand drawing light bulb like to think of myself as a bit of an “ideas” guy. I have a list of about 50 ideas related just to sports betting. Jonno (from Sportpunter.com) and I were talking on our recent Superbowl trip about life in general, potential business ideas and the normal crap two mates talk about when they have had a few too many beers. We both came to the conclusion that we were deliriously happy with the lives we have now and would never want to start up a big business. Running a large company takes away time from the things we truly value (family, friends, doing whatever the hell we want). We are blessed to be able to work from home and only put in as many hours as we want each week. We are by no means “retired”, but do live a lifestyle that from the outside seems to be that way. I may go months without really doing any work, and than I might be inspired by an idea and spend 100 hours a week working my arse off.

Ideas are pretty worthless really. The execution of an idea is where any profit is made. You could have the greatest idea in the world but if you never do anything about it, it will always be worth jack shit. So I have decided to give all my ideas away. Any bookmaker can use any of these ideas to create even more profit for their shareholders. If a bookmaker wants to hire me as a consultant, I would be happy to share some of my better ideas with them. Every few months I will put a new idea on the blog. I’m starting with a very basic idea as I wouldn’t want to give away my best stuff too soon.

Idea #1: The Birthday/Christmas Bet

It’s your birthday and you are expecting the same old stuff. Some alcohol, a gift card or a lotto ticket and some scratchies. Let’s talk about that last present.

Lotto and Scratchies

NSWlottoWithout fail I will get one of these packs for my Birthday and Christmas. It’s usually a $50 giftpack with a mix of lotto tickets and a few scratchies. It entertains you for all of 30 seconds.

What are the true odds of these “gifts”? After some research, I found that the Prize funds for Lotto and scratchies are 60% of the total money taken. So if the state lotto prints $1,000,000 worth of a $1 scratchie, there will be $600,000 worth of prizes and they take $400,000 for themselves. For every $1 you spend on these you can expect to lose 40c. So that $50 gift pack will return about $30 on average. The “Prize fund” also includes free tickets, which means the real value is even less.

We can compare that to the Australian bookmakers and the cost of a simple bet. Most Aussie books have odds of $1.90 for a 50/50 chance. That means you can expect to lose 10c for every $1 invested. A $50 bet will return $45 on average.

The difference is that you will only be able to almost double your money with the Sports bet, but the max prize for that $1 scratchie is between $10,000 – $25,000.  I can’t be bothered to dive into the maths too much, but you could create a multibet with between 14 and 15 $1.90 selections that would pay close to $10,000 if they all won. How often would you win this mega multibet? Once every 16,000 goes. Now that might sound like a horrendous chance of winning, but when we look at the same chance of winning the $10,000 with a scratchie , it starts to look awesome. The chance of winning the top prize of $10,000 on a $1 scratchie is a whopping 1 in 700,000. You are 43.75 times more likely to win that $10,000 by betting the multi. There are a few things we need to take into account here. The multi bet is a simple win or lose proposition, whereas the scratchie also offers many other smaller prizes. You could also add in larger priced selections in your multi and lower the selections needed to win and increase the chance of hitting it.

All this maths is just to show that the lotto does not even compare to the chances of sports betting.

So what’s the idea already?

I’m sure you have already figured it out. The idea is that instead of buying your mate or dad a lottery ticket for his next birthday, instead you get him a sports multi. The odds are heaps better and the fun can last much longer. It will be the bookies job to make it as painless as possible to place these gift bets.

How it would work.

You log into your own account and can either:

  1. Create the multibet yourself OR
  2. Choose the Gift amount, type of sports, type of bets, and a few other variables.

If you choose number 2 then a randomly generated multibet is created from your variables. You can choose to have just 1 multi or have a boxed multi (where there are lots of smaller multis included in the big multi bet).

You then input the name, address and email of the recipient and can have the bet either sent to them via email or in the post (It would come with a nice birthday card as well). The ability to share the bet on social media would also be available.

If the bet wins, your friend just needs to open an account with the bookmaker using a code and the funds will already be in his account. If he already has an account, he just needs to add the code in his my account section and the funds will be added.

Why this would be massive for Sportsbooks.

There are so many reasons this is a great idea for sportsbooks to implement. Bookies push multi bets for one reason, they make them a massive amount of profit. The more selections in a multi, the more profit the bookies make. There are a heap of other reasons to create this product.

  1. Brand new revenue stream: I’m not sure the amount spent on lotto as gifts each year, but I would assume it is in the Billions. This would take a percentage of that market. It would also make it more likely for mates to give each other gifts each year.
  2. New accounts: This will drive more new accounts, as winners will need to create a new account to receive the funds. You would also pay the person who gave the gift the refer a friend bonus, making it even more likely they would purchase the gift.
  3. More multi bettors: You now have a customer who thinks winning multi bets are common place and has what they will see as free money. They are highly likely to bet and lose this money, and highly likely to not only reciprocate the gift, but also buy others a gift multi.
  4. Free database of potential new clients: Even if the bet losses, you now have the contact details of a potential customer who was referred by a friend. You can offer them a second chance draw, or a sign up bonus to turn them into a customer.
  5. Media opportunities: You can already see the headlines now. “Mate gifts mate $100,000″.
  6. Word of mouth: This gift will be the one all the friends talk about on the night out, they will all follow along and see how it is going. This would build brand recognition and make it more likely that they would create an account.

These are just the benefits off the top of my head. While it would be a very niche product, it is a one off cost to create it and would lower the cost of acquisition (CAC). The first bookie to implement it gets the first mover advantage and all the free press.

So that’s idea number 1 for the bookies. Over the next year you will see many more ideas. Sportsbooks need to act like start-ups and test as many new ideas as possible to see which one sticks. You only need 1 new idea out of every 100 to work to make a very healthy profit. Hopefully by Christmas time, I will be able to buy my friends a bet.

What do you think about the idea? Would you use it? Do you have any great ideas for the bookies? Let me know in the comments below.

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Feb 11th – Feb 17th +$16,280.46 http://www.daily25.com/feb-11th-feb-17th-16280-46/ http://www.daily25.com/feb-11th-feb-17th-16280-46/#comments Tue, 17 Feb 2015 00:49:23 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2360 he last 3 weeks were all losing ones. Happily this week reversed that trend and put me back on track and back above $400,000 profit in total. It was great to be back home and...

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The last 3 weeks were all losing ones. Happily this week reversed that trend and put me back on track and back above $400,000 profit in total. It was great to be back home and into my old routine. I’m slowly but surely catching up on a big to do list. Articles are being drafted daily and I just need to sit down for a few days and start writing more content. The blog has become a bit stale lately as I concentrate on Dailyprofit and SportingKarma. The new forum has already revealed some potential dodgy tipsters, and there are some really smart people offering great advice to newbies. I hope to spend more time there in the future. The forum is part of a new direction for the blog and combined with a brand new section of the site (coming soon) should offer even more value to you guys.

Onto this weeks profit and we start with the Sportpunter models. The Super 15 comp started this week and I am betting the H2H only. This has produced some great profit over the years and this week started with a $2,100 gain. The S15 model has meant a bit of extra work for me via the Dailyprofit service. A few Australian books offer $2 lines on the Rugby codes and you just cant pass up odds like these. That means I need to produce line bets for Aussie customers and H2H bets for everyone else. I believe both will be profitable, but want to give the most value to everyone. The members following the H2H bets would be a lot happier than those following the Line bets after the first week. Personally I follow the H2H bets because there are max bet issues with the $2 lines. I still bet the Line bets for maximum stakes, but those amounts are small compared to my H2H bets. The NBL has been a massive letdown for me this season. It started so well but has crashed and will record a sizable loss for the season. With a tad over 100 bets a season, this sort of variance is to be expected. This weeks loss was $5,800. The NHL totals made a healthy $3,000.

Onto Soccer and ClubGowi made $800, Football Elite lost $600, and Football Value made $2,000. TFA made a healthy $6,800 and Winabobatoo also contributed $2,900. Football investor also helped out with $2,800 profit. My Personal bets made $400 and backing against tipsters when the odds moved in the other direction generated $1,100 profit. These continue to be much rarer and no conclusion can be made after just 55 bets. But the fact that these price movements are clearly down to one tipsters pick and not related to team news leads me to believe these bets will be very profitable.

So a good welcome home but it seems like another case of treading water for the time being. There have been some massive swings this season, hitting a low of -$53,000 in mid October and a high of $78,000 in mid January. That 3 month period produced $131,000 in profit and I hope for another period like that before the 5th year is over. As always, I can only control a few things and I will continue to find the best possible odds and record the bets and wherever the total ends up is outside of my control.

Total Profit for the week was $16,280.46

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Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $4,597,432.93
Profit/Loss: $62,687.47
POT: 1.36%
Bets Placed: 6673
Won: 2280
Lost: 3114
Half Payout: 49
Refunded: 1230
Winning %: 42.3%
Total profit per day: $410,212.31 / 1693 = $242.29
Total Turnover: $18,940,176.30
Total ROI: 2.17%

NBL Totals $70,394.00 $(4,198.64) -6.0%
week profit/loss: 2394.30

NBL Line $175,862.00 $(12,930.04) -7.4%
week profit/loss: -8194

NHL Totals $239,201.00 $27,539.57 11.5%
week profit/loss: 3003.92

Rugby SP $17,663.00 $2,118.30 12.0%
week profit/loss: 2118.30

ClubGowi $496,529.00 $7,747.01 1.6%
week profit/loss: 803.55

GOWI $17,901.00 $2,316.03 12.9%
week profit/loss: 0

Jason Kelly Golf $11,116.93 $(8,868.53) -79.8%
week profit/loss: 0

Betswot $9,223.00 $(7,468.00) -81.0%
week profit/loss: 0

FB Elite $160,011.00 $7,741.50 4.8%
week profit/loss: -580

Football Value $45,000.00 $(6,505.00) -14.5%
week profit/loss: 2020

TFA 21 $249,445.00 $(474.80) -0.2%
week profit/loss: 1156.50

TFA 41 $242,426.00 $(6,580.00) -2.7%
week profit/loss: -518

6-21-31 $139,157.00 $14,059.22 10.1%
week profit/loss: 4181.50

D1-D6 $85,500.00 $6,130.00 7.2%
week profit/loss: 700

E1-E6 $80,040.00 $25,027.40 31.3%
week profit/loss: 1280

Mike Lindley $61,500.00 $(2,967.50) -4.8%
week profit/loss: 406.50

WINABOBATOO $238,979.00 $(506.68) -0.2%
week profit/loss: 2471.50

FBI combo $111,500.00 $17,800.00 16.0%
week profit/loss: 1570

FBI Euro $145,242.00 $20,302.00 14.0%
week profit/loss: 1209

Odds pushed out $28,750.00 $7,272.25 25.3%
week profit/loss: 1125

Personal $32,949.00 $(4,886.72) -14.8%
week profit/loss: 460.89

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0

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Jan 28th – Feb 10th -$13,438.34 http://www.daily25.com/jan-28th-feb-10th-13438-34/ http://www.daily25.com/jan-28th-feb-10th-13438-34/#comments Wed, 11 Feb 2015 01:36:15 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2348 oy am I glad I was hungover almost every day and didn’t manage to place a heap of bets over the last 2 weeks. It would take too long to work it out, but I...

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Boy am I glad I was hungover almost every day and didn’t manage to place a heap of bets over the last 2 weeks. It would take too long to work it out, but I easily saved $20,000 from sports and another $5-10,000 with horse racing. It was still a significant loss from the bets I did place, but if I had stayed home and placed everything, I would be wallowing in tears right now. I’ll have a post this week summarising what I can remember (and am allowed to talk about) from the trip and post some photos too. The day we arrived, my phone decided to die, so I only had internet access for the few hours per day I was back at the hotel. Luckily the other guys took a few photos, so I can use theirs to piece together whatever happened. I’ll be very happy to complete FebFast (no drinking) for the rest of this month and well into March.

Onto the fortnights results and I really can not complain about the loss. As mentioned earlier, it should have been much worse. The only Sportpunter service I was following was the NHL and that ended down $1,500. It felt so good not to worry about the ClubGOWI service, and looking over the emails, I saved a small fortune. I have decided to not even look at his blue type picks as they are just ridiculous and leaves record keeping open to even more fudging of figures. This is something I see from a few services, they like to have more then 1 service going, so they double their chances of being able to boast about a profitable week/month.

I believe I am cursed with Golf betting. I have missed about 10 bets from hundreds over the past year. 3 of them were winners. This time I had zero chance of placing the winning bet as I was on a plane when the bets came out and the tournament had started when I landed. I will beat this golf curse eventually.

Onto the Soccer and a $12,000 loss across all models. TFA was the main culprit, but I dodged a bullet big time.

A very quick update this week, as I have a lot to catch up on. But I am looking forward to producing more content this year. I’m sure by next Tuesday I will be back into a good posting routine. If you emailed me over the past few weeks, I promise to reply very soon.

Also a heads up for anybody who is not yet a member of the Dailyprofit service. The Sportpunter Super 15 model starts on Friday and the NRL and AFL models also start in a few weeks. Now is the perfect time to become a member as lots more bets will be advised. Last season the AFL, NRL and S15 combined returned 10% over 145 bets, but we only started the service near the end of all 3 seasons. There will be triple the amount of bets and hopefully the same amazing ROI. The AFL model is by far the greatest one I have ever come across and the NRL and S15 continue to improve each season. As always, the past is no indication of future results, but I know I’ll be upping my banks again this season for all 3 models.

Total Loss for the week was $13,438.34

By joining the Daily25 email list, you will get updates and insights into how I am doing, what tools I use, the services I recommend, and what is happening in the gambling industry.

Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $4,493,230.93
Profit/Loss: $46,407.01
POT: 1.03%
Bets Placed: 6535
Won: 2228
Lost: 3056
Half Payout: 49
Refunded: 1202
Winning %: 42.2%
Total profit per day: $393,931.85 / 1686 = $233.64
Total Turnover: $18,835,974.30
Total ROI: 2.09%

NBL Totals $67,917.00 $(6,592.94) -9.7%
week profit/loss: 0

NBL Line $165,707.00 $(4,736.04) -2.9%
week profit/loss: 0

NFL Totals $130,134.00 $17,204.29 13.2%
week profit/loss: 0

NFL Line $71,319.00 $(263.08) -0.4%
week profit/loss: 0

NHL Totals $226,261.00 $24,535.65 10.8%
week profit/loss: -1498.94

ClubGowi $486,100.00 $6,943.46 1.4%
week profit/loss: 48.75

GOWI $17,901.00 $2,316.03 12.9%
week profit/loss: -200

PCG $207,031.00 $(5,284.23) -2.6%
week profit/loss: -1000

Jason Kelly Golf $11,116.93 $(8,868.53) -79.8%
week profit/loss: -125

Betswot $9,223.00 $(7,468.00) -81.0%
week profit/loss: 0

FB Elite $152,011.00 $8,321.50 5.5%
week profit/loss: -330

Football Value $41,000.00 $(8,525.00) -20.8%
week profit/loss: -1000

TFA 21 $240,445.00 $(1,631.30) -0.7%
week profit/loss: -3608.50

TFA 41 $234,776.00 $(6,062.00) -2.6%
week profit/loss: -5010

6-21-31 $135,657.00 $9,877.72 7.3%
week profit/loss: -2233.50

D1-D6 $84,500.00 $5,430.00 6.4%
week profit/loss: 2535

E1-E6 $73,040.00 $23,747.40 32.5%
week profit/loss: 65

Mike Lindley $60,000.00 $(3,374.00) -5.6%
week profit/loss: -1179.50

WINABOBATOO $233,479.00 $(2,978.18) -1.3%
week profit/loss: 1456.50

FBI combo $110,500.00 $16,230.00 14.7%
week profit/loss: -1629

FBI Euro $133,142.00 $19,093.00 14.3%
week profit/loss: -1020

Odds pushed out $27,750.00 $6,147.25 22.2%
week profit/loss: -280.75

Personal $31,283.00 $(5,347.61) -17.1%
week profit/loss: 1571.60

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0

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Jan 21st – Jan 27th -$48.83 http://www.daily25.com/jan-21st-jan-27th-48-83/ http://www.daily25.com/jan-21st-jan-27th-48-83/#comments Tue, 27 Jan 2015 04:16:36 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2332 y far the smallest weekly profit or loss ever posted. There won’t be an update next week as I will be recovering from the Superbowl. I think in the past 4.6 years I have only...

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superbowlBy far the smallest weekly profit or loss ever posted. There won’t be an update next week as I will be recovering from the Superbowl. I think in the past 4.6 years I have only missed 2 or 3 weekly updates. In two days I fly off to the states for a really amazing trip. I’ll be heading to the Phoenix Open (Golf), a Phoenix Suns (NBA) game, a Phoenix Coyotes (NHL) game, and the Superbowl. One of my bucket list items was to see all 4 american sports. I have been to a couple of MLB games and an NFL game before, but the NBA and NHL games will complete that quest. I’ll be uploading images and tweeting the entire trip via my twitter page , so follow me if you want to live vicariously through me for a week. I’m not sure I will even get to place many bets, but will endeavor to do my best, as massive profit jumps can come at anytime and I wouldn’t want to miss an amazing week. But, as always, living life is much more important and I want to enjoy the trip, so if I miss bets, then so be it. The results will mean very little in the long term. Placing the bets should not be an issue as I will leave my computers running at home and use TeamViewer to log into them.

The Daily25 Forum has been growing nicely. After it’s first week we have 74 members and some pretty interesting topics. One of those topics is asking what to do when multiple tipsters pick against each other. This is also a question I have always struggled with myself and I chop and change on this all the time. I used to simply back everything as if they were completely independent events, but felt that all I was doing was giving the bookies 5% ROI for no reason at all. After this I moved to just following whichever bet came out first. This meant I was not following the best tipster, but the one who posted earliest. Now as I wait for most tipster to release the tips first, I look to take advantage of the price moves that ensue after the picks are released. This week I had a perfect example. Football Investor combo system had Port Value as it’s only play, his recorded odds on the match was $1.95. The Football Analyst thought differently and had 3 system bets on Crewe at odds of $4.02. Normally I would pick Football Investor over TFA, but the odds guided me this time, as Port Vale were only available at 1.85 and Crewe were a very nice $4.34. So I left the $1,000 bet on Port Vale and bet the $1,500 on Crewe. There were a number of potential outcomes, but luckily for me the most optimal one came in with Crewe winning 1-0 and added $5,010 profit and also saving an extra $1,000 by not backing the Football Investor pick. The other option is to just leave the bets and this makes sense too. It’s a tough one, but there are some good replies in the thread. If you do it differently, than let us know.

A slow week for Sportpunter as the NFL had a break before the Superbowl and the NHL have their all star weekend. The NHL had a few bets before the break and lost $1,000. The NBL has been a complete disaster the last month and line bets alone have lost over $20,000 in the last 2 weeks. This week the totals made $3,050, but those line bets lost $10,000. I am now $11,000 down for the NBL season with only a few rounds to go. A very disappointing result.

ClubGowi official bets lost $1,400 but the few unofficial blue type bets I could get on made $3,700. I really do not like these bets as they are even more difficult to get quoted odds than the red type bets. Both Golf tipsters lost a total of $550.

Onto the football and Mike from Winabobatoo has been in hospital this week so there were no bets. While I have issues with the service, I wish Mike a speedy recovery. Football Elite made $2,300, TFA made $5,300 (thanks to Crewe), and Football Investor lost $450. My own bets lost $1,200.

So I wish you all adieu for the next fortnight. The reason I put in all the effort placing and recording bets every week is for these type of trips. I love to travel and I love sport, so for me there is nothing better than a sporting holiday with a few mates. I will miss my family immensely, but skype is a decent substitute. Enjoy the next fortnight, I know I will.

Total Loss for the week was $48.83

By joining the Daily25 email list, you will get updates and insights into how I am doing, what tools I use, the services I recommend, and what is happening in the gambling industry.

Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $4,275,453.93
Profit/Loss: $59,845.35
POT: 1.40%
Bets Placed: 6212
Won: 2167
Lost: 2935
Half Payout: 48
Refunded: 1062
Winning %: 42.5%
Total profit per day: $407,370.19 / 1672 = $243.64
Total Turnover: $18,618,197.30
Total ROI: 2.19%

NBL Totals $67,917.00 $(6,592.94) -9.7%
week profit/loss: 3059.90

NBL Line $165,707.00 $(4,736.04) -2.9%
week profit/loss: -9945.00

NFL Totals $130,134.00 $17,204.29 13.2%
week profit/loss: 0

NFL Line $71,319.00 $(263.08) -0.4%
week profit/loss: 0

NHL Totals $189,307.00 $26,034.59 13.8%
week profit/loss: -1024.16

ClubGowi $480,475.00 $6,894.71 1.4%
week profit/loss: -1375

GOWI $17,326.00 $2,516.03 14.5%
week profit/loss: 3716.03

PCG $206,031.00 $(4,284.23) -2.1%
week profit/loss: 0

Jason Kelly Golf $10,991.93 $(8,743.53) -79.5%
week profit/loss: -175

Betswot $9,223.00 $(7,468.00) -81.0%
week profit/loss: -375

FB Elite $125,011.00 $8,651.50 6.9%
week profit/loss: 2310

Football Value $38,000.00 $(7,525.00) -19.8%
week profit/loss: 0

TFA 21 $217,745.00 $1,977.20 0.9%
week profit/loss: 1220

TFA 41 $211,276.00 $(1,052.00) -0.5%
week profit/loss: -1520

6-21-31 $123,657.00 $12,111.22 9.8%
week profit/loss: 1600

D1-D6 $73,000.00 $2,895.00 4.0%
week profit/loss: 120

E1-E6 $63,540.00 $23,682.40 37.3%
week profit/loss: 3902.40

Mike Lindley $53,000.00 $(2,194.50) -4.1%
week profit/loss: 0

WINABOBATOO $206,979.00 $(4,434.68) -2.1%
week profit/loss: 0

FBI combo $99,500.00 $17,859.00 17.9%
week profit/loss: 0

FBI Euro $116,142.00 $20,113.00 17.3%
week profit/loss: -450

Odds pushed out $26,750.00 $6,428.00 24.0%
week profit/loss: 75

Personal $29,485.00 $(6,919.21) -23.5%
week profit/loss: -1188

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0

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Jan 14th – Jan 20th -$10,483.34 http://www.daily25.com/jan-14th-jan-20th-10483-34/ http://www.daily25.com/jan-14th-jan-20th-10483-34/#comments Tue, 20 Jan 2015 01:41:44 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2325 his week saw me hit a new high of $80,000 before dropping $20,000 on Sunday thanks mostly to NBL and the late Soccer bets. If 4 and a half years ago I was told that...

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This week saw me hit a new high of $80,000 before dropping $20,000 on Sunday thanks mostly to NBL and the late Soccer bets. If 4 and a half years ago I was told that I would lose $20,000 in a single day on numerous occasions, I would never have started. Now a loss like that has very little impact. I guess it’s like building a muscle, you keep hurting (tearing) it, but it rebuilds stronger than before. The same with these constant big losses, at first they hurt (A lot), but over time, each one hurts that little bit less. It’s a case of getting through that initial stage that hurts a hell of a lot, sadly most people give up and that’s why they don’t have the physique they want or the profit from betting they crave.

Before jumping into the results I’d like to mention the forum is now set up. It needs a lot of work (design wise), but you can join and start posting right now. I hope to see some great content come out of the forum and I hope some of us “old” guys can help out the newbies. Don’t be shy to post what you think is a stupid question, we all started at the beginning and none of us would be where we are without help along the way. I did receive some emails from people willing to moderate the forum, but what I will do for now is moderate it myself and see who are the most active members of the forum and I’ll tap them on the shoulder in the coming months and ask if they would like to take over moderating it. Go sign up now.

Onto the weeks results and the NBL had another disaster week with $11,800 lost and that means we are sitting on a loss for the season. This model is always going to have extremely high variance from season to season with only 20 rounds and maybe 100-150 bets per season. The NFL season ends in 2 weeks (and I’ll be there). This weeks playoff games returned $2,100. The NHL was up a heap early in the week but the last few days have been a disaster, it managed to make a $900 profit though.

ClubGOWI made $4,300 this week between official and unofficial plays. Even though I have paid for a year in advance, I am contemplating dropping the service as the odds recording (especially now with blue selections), has become even worse. As mentioned before though, it is a great resource for betting the opposite when the odds are pushed out, this week added $850 profit and after 50 picks (very small sample size), I am sitting on a 24.7% ROI. I am flat staking only $500 per bet on these, but the limits are very high on these markets.

Both Golf tipsters lost a combined $900 this week. Really hope I can get a few big winners soon, it’s been a real drain lately. Golf really is the perfect example of long term betting. Even with an edge, you can go a very very long time between drinks.

Onto the Soccer and we had the good and the bad this week. TFA was great with $7,700 profit and all 5 systems I follow are in profit for the season. The rest were pretty bad. The worst was Football Elite with 0 wins, 7 losses and a push for -$7,000. Football Value lost $1,000, Winabobatoo lost $2,000 and Football Investor lost $3,050.

Just one of those weeks really, These are always easier to take when you are giving back some of the profits. No idea why though, $10,000 is $10,000 every time. Don’t forget to join the forum. Until next week.

Total Loss for the week was $10,483.34

By joining the Daily25 email list, you will get updates and insights into how I am doing, what tools I use, the services I recommend, and what is happening in the gambling industry.

Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $4,197,320.93
Profit/Loss: $59,894.18
POT: 1.43%
Bets Placed: 6095
Won: 2136
Lost: 2880
Half Payout: 47
Refunded: 1032
Winning %: 42.6%
Total profit per day: $407,419.02 / 1665 = $244.69
Total Turnover: $18,540,064.30
Total ROI: 2.20%

NBL Totals $64,506.00 $(9,652.84) -15.0%
week profit/loss: -1098

NBL Line $155,762.00 $5,208.96 3.3%
week profit/loss: -10,714

NFL Totals $130,134.00 $17,204.29 13.2%
week profit/loss: 682.50

NFL Line $71,319.00 $(263.08) -0.4%
week profit/loss: 1441.50

NHL Totals $181,085.00 $27,058.75 14.9%
week profit/loss: 892.16

ClubGowi $466,383.00 $8,269.71 1.8%
week profit/loss: 2175.50

GOWI $12,201.00 $(1,200.00) -9.8%
week profit/loss: 2160

PCG $206,031.00 $(4,284.23) -2.1%
week profit/loss: 0

Jason Kelly Golf $10,816.93 $(8,568.53) -79.2%
week profit/loss: -575

Betswot $8,848.00 $(7,093.00) -80.2%
week profit/loss: -350

FB Elite $119,011.00 $6,341.50 5.3%
week profit/loss: -7000

Football Value $38,000.00 $(7,525.00) -19.8%
week profit/loss: -1000

TFA 21 $211,245.00 $757.20 0.4%
week profit/loss: 2108

TFA 41 $203,276.00 $468.00 0.2%
week profit/loss: 4793

6-21-31 $120,657.00 $10,511.22 8.7%
week profit/loss: 2691

D1-D6 $71,500.00 $2,775.00 3.9%
week profit/loss: 1545

E1-E6 $58,940.00 $19,780.00 33.6%
week profit/loss: -3390

Mike Lindley $53,000.00 $(2,194.50) -4.1%
week profit/loss: -1889

WINABOBATOO $206,979.00 $(4,434.68) -2.1%
week profit/loss: -138

FBI combo $98,500.00 $17,859.00 18.1%
week profit/loss: 1340

FBI Euro $111,142.00 $20,563.00 18.5%
week profit/loss: -4392

Odds pushed out $25,750.00 $6,353.00 24.7%
week profit/loss: 845

Personal $28,297.00 $(5,731.21) -20.3%
week profit/loss: 0

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0

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Potential Daily25 Forum? http://www.daily25.com/potential-daily25-forum/ http://www.daily25.com/potential-daily25-forum/#comments Wed, 14 Jan 2015 03:11:25 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2316 For years I have thought about opening a forum on this site. The actual process of creating the forum is easy, but running a forum takes a lot of time and effort, something I do...

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For years I have thought about opening a forum on this site. The actual process of creating the forum is easy, but running a forum takes a lot of time and effort, something I do not have. But over the last week, a few things have happened that have made me think again about starting a forum here. I’ll explain what happened last week and then float my idea at the end of this article.

On last weeks post there were a number of comments about the SBC (Secret Betting Club), deleting all the posts from one of their forums. The SBC is a paid service that puts out a magazine once a month. I would visit the forum once a month and did enjoy reading the threads in the now deleted forum.

A reader and SBC member, Pete wrote:

Hi Steve,

I would be interested in your view on the SBC decision to close the “betting discussion” part of their forum. In case you are unaware, on 5th January they sent an email out to members stating –

“To help us implement some of the improvements to the SBC service for 2015, we have also made the decision to remove the Betting Discussion section of the SBC Forum later today. Analysis has revealed that less than 3% of all active members are actually using this section of the forum and we feel the resources allocated to its moderation are best utilised elsewhere. It is not a decision we have arrived at lightly, but one which will allow us to spend more time working on projects that will benefit a much larger section of SBC members.”

With less than 24 hours notice, literally thousands of postings were removed from the site, including some very interesting and useful discussion on bankroll, odds comparison & how to deal with losing runs. Valuable records of personal experiences with dozens of tipster services have been removed, along with everything else ever posted on the forum. Personally, I was an infrequent poster on the board, but a regular visitor, and access to that board was one of the primary reasons I paid my membership fee.

It seems more than a little coincidental that this has occurred in the midst of a truly awful run from the SBC partner-tipster George Dempsey. Once again, I am not a member of that particular service so I am not in a position to know if that criticism was justified or not. However, I do know it was there, indeed it was very prominent, and I feel it must have had some impact on the decision to not only close the forum, but to delete all the previous posts as well.

I do not feel that it is unfair to compare this to some of the “tipsters” we know who delete all negative feedback and in some cases conveniently forget to record losing selections. This is the exact type of service that the SBC was setup to help punters avoid.

It seems to me that the SBC were only too happy to moderate the forum when George was the “Golden-Boy”. Now variance has come home to roost, they have realised that negative feedback on the service may adversely affect the sign-ups for future SBC-tipster partnerships and have conveniently removed any record of said feedback.

You can go to the post and read over the whole conversation, Rowan who writes for SBC had things to say in response and some others also voiced their points of view. Personally I could not care less, I rarely visited the forum and Pete (the owner of SBC) has the right to do whatever he wants with his business. If a member doesn’t like it, they can always leave. To show how much I knew about the SBC, I had no idea they were selling their own services on the site. I always assumed they were a proofing site.

This brings up my only criticism. If you are a proofing site and also run your own tipping site than I can see a conflict of interest there. I’m not very good at analogies, but to me it is like the food and safety people opening their own restaurant, or the police policing themselves. I can also see it from a business perspective. A proofing site alone probably does not pay the bills, and with years of experience, the SBC would know what makes a really good service. So why not create something that would get top marks if they were to proof their own tipsters? They have worked for years to get a big user base of people who are known to pay for services, so why not sell them a service.

I did the same thing with this site, this site generates $0 but is a pretty good resource for many punters. With my years of experience in what makes a great service, and my contacts made over that time, I created what I feel is the best possible tipster site (Dailyprofit.com.au). The Dailyprofit service allows me to write content for this site. The more I write and help readers, the more likely they will see value in the Dailyprofit service and the more money is generated which frees me up to write more content. It’s a very symbiotic relationship.

I did find it strange that the entire forum would be deleted. I felt a better alternative would be to have closed it down (not allow any new posts), but leave up all past posts. This would show that the SBC was transparent. Like the original poster Pete said, deleting damning posts is akin to a tipster removing losing bets from his results. I have no idea what was written in those posts as I never had a chance to read them. After emailing Pete (SBC), he said he had made sure his website guy had kept a copy of all old posts, and may put up the old forum. I think this would be the right thing to do as there was also some useful content in a lot of those posts.

Pete did email me with his response to this situation and it is reproduced in full below.

Pete (SBC Owner) reply:

Hi,

I was made aware of the posts on here about the forum so thought I would respond to a few comments.

I have actually only received 4 emails asking about the forum since the decision was made – not exactly underlining it as the essential place some would have you believe.

The removal of the forum was a long-term decision based on about a year of consideration. I had hoped the new SBC site and forum design last year would help improve interaction on the forum, but sadly that was not the case. If anything it just got worse and I got a few complaints about the lack of interaction.

I decided to re-asses the forums usefulness at the start of the New Year and when the opportunity came to replace it with the Bet Diary written by Rowan, this made even more sense. Feedback from members has told me the Practical Punter reports he has penned is much more valued so I wanted to expand into this area.

It is not as some question a decision based on George’s form. All premium services go through good and bad times and George isnt the first (and won’t be the last on that front). Every member of that service can access daily updated results which are included in each email. Its a shame this takes centre stage, especially given the fact some of the other premium guys continue to do well long-term, yet the form of the likes of Andre Gomes gets very little mention.

The actual decision was based on a few factors including…

  • The lack of interaction on the forum – around 2 to 3 new posts each week. Hardly marking it out as an essential resource
  • The fact that numerous threads often descended into people falling out with each other. The forum had certainly gone from a friendly place to having more than its fair share of aggravation – something others have commented on.
  • I also felt that numerous posts also lacked a lot of balance or fairness. Not really adding much value.
  • The legal issues when people posted up about things such as the usage of bet brokers (SBC would be ultimately liable for anything posted – a serious concern).

All combined it made sense to remove it and its posts.

Betting forums in general are very tricky to get right. They are either totally out of control (Betfair) or heavily moderated. Neither route was one I wanted to go down, especially the latter for various reasons, including the best use of time.

Thanks, Pete

So should I create a forum?

That leads us to the main point of this post. Would a forum on this site be a valuable resource? I believe it would. There would be a general chat area and an area for members of different tipping sites to express their opinion.  The issue is, I have no want or time to do anything more then set up the forum.

I am looking for two things.

  1. Your thoughts. Let me know if you want a forum on this site.
  2. A few people who would be happy to be moderators of the forum. I believe I would need at least 3 moderators.

Just let me know in the comments below, if there is no response than that’s cool. It will save me a lot of time and effort. If it’s something you want, make your voice heard below.

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Jan 7th – Jan 13th +$40,513.06 http://www.daily25.com/jan-7th-jan-13th-40513-06/ http://www.daily25.com/jan-7th-jan-13th-40513-06/#comments Tue, 13 Jan 2015 01:35:45 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2308 ast week I said that 2015 had not gotten off to the best start. How quickly that can change. When almost all tipsters have a great week, these are the sort of returns I can...

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Last week I said that 2015 had not gotten off to the best start. How quickly that can change. When almost all tipsters have a great week, these are the sort of returns I can expect. These are very very rare weeks, but I take the time now to appreciate them as I know how fleeting they are. Not only was this one of those rare weeks, but it also pushed me once again to the place where I will stay for only a few days each year. That place is known as the “max profit ever” place. So right this very instant, I am sitting on the highest profit level I have ever been at. That currently stands at $417,902.36. From my own research I know I only have a few days out of every year where this is true. In the past 6 months, it has only happened 3 times. Punters assume they should always be making profit and see their highest profit amount as their baseline, this leads to them thinking they are constantly losing, which leads them to make mistakes, which then leads to them really losing and giving up.

Many newer readers may also wonder why the site is called Daily25. It was my goal when I started to simply make $25 a day from betting (close to $10,000 a year). That was quickly changed to trying to make $250 a day (or $100,000 a year). Today is the first day that has actually happened. I have been betting for 1,658 days and have made an average of $252.05 per day. Pretty good going, considering that after 425 days of betting i was sitting on a loss.

Last weeks post also received a few comments about the deleting of all the threads in certain SBC forums. I will talk about that in the coming days and also post Dave’s (the owners) thoughts on the matter.

Onto this weeks mammoth profit and as always we start with Sportpunter. Last week Sportpunter services lost over $22,000. This week they made $16,300. The NBL made a comeback with $7,700 profit, the NFL had only a few bets for $400 profit and the NHL came back strong with $8,200 profit.

ClubGOWI lost $4,000 this week and my long term bet on Denver is dead. I’ll have to pick another team to cheer on at the Superbowl. ClubGowi sits at $2,700 profit for the past 6 and a half months. That’s 5 units profit from 926 units bet. Nothing like the results shown on the website. PCG lost $250 and Jason Kelly started the new Golf season with a $250 loss.

It has taken 4 and a half long long years, but my Soccer tipsters have really hit their stride this season. I’m really happy to report on them this season as I really like the guys who run Football Elite, Football Investor and TFA. Really glad to see them performing. This week we had Football Elite with $2,900 profit, Football Investor with $9,600 profit and TFA with $19,000 profit (WOW). Football Value lost $700, and Winabobatoo lost $600. My own personal soccer selections lost $1,600.

A fantastic week and a big boost to 2015. If the past 4 years are any indication, we should see a good run over the next few months, but if the past 4 and a half years has taught me anything, it’s that you just never know with this game.

Total profit for the week was $40,513.06

By joining the Daily25 email list, you will get updates and insights into how I am doing, what tools I use, the services I recommend, and what is happening in the gambling industry.

Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $4,070,776.93
Profit/Loss: $70,377.52
POT: 1.73%
Bets Placed: 5912
Won: 2084
Lost: 2791
Half Payout: 47
Refunded: 990
Winning %: 42.7%
Total profit per day: $417,902.36 / 1658 = $252.05
Total Turnover: $18,413,520.30
Total ROI: 2.27%

NBL Totals $60,573.00 $(8,554.84) -14.1%
week profit/loss: 5187.95

NBL Line $145,048.00 $15,922.96 11.0%
week profit/loss: 2536.82

NFL Totals $129,384.00 $16,521.79 12.8%
week profit/loss: 0

NFL Line $69,819.00 $(1,704.58) -2.4%
week profit/loss: 398.14

NHL Totals $163,792.00 $26,166.59 16.0%
week profit/loss: 8195.10

NBA Totals $283,713.00 $8,201.29 2.9%
week profit/loss: 0

NBA H2H $181,212.00 $(7,683.57) -4.2%
week profit/loss: 0

ClubGowi $451,646.00 $6,094.21 1.3%
week profit/loss: -3897.75

GOWI $10,951.00 $(3,360.00) -30.7%
week profit/loss: 0

PCG $206,031.00 $(4,284.23) -2.1%
week profit/loss: -267.20

Jason Kelly Golf $10,241.93 $(7,993.53) -78.0%
week profit/loss: -245

Betswot $8,498.00 $(6,743.00) -79.3%
week profit/loss: 0

FB Elite $111,011.00 $13,341.50 12.0%
week profit/loss: 2920

Football Value $35,000.00 $(6,525.00) -18.6%
week profit/loss: -720

TFA 21 $200,745.00 $(1,350.80) -0.7%
week profit/loss: 5000

TFA 41 $191,276.00 $(4,325.00) -2.3%
week profit/loss: 3130

6-21-31 $114,857.00 $7,820.22 6.8%
week profit/loss: 4175

D1-D6 $68,000.00 $1,230.00 1.8%
week profit/loss: -1820

E1-E6 $53,940.00 $23,170.00 43.0%
week profit/loss: 8505

Mike Lindley $49,500.00 $305.50 0.6%
week profit/loss: 815

WINABOBATOO $198,979.00 $(4,296.68) -2.2%
week profit/loss: -1400

FBI combo $91,500.00 $16,519.00 18.1%
week profit/loss: 1670

FBI Euro $102,000.00 $24,955.00 24.5%
week profit/loss: 7930

Odds pushed out $24,750.00 $5,508.00 22.3%
week profit/loss: 0

Personal $28,297.00 $(5,731.21) -20.3%
week profit/loss: -1600

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0

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Dec 31st – Jan 6th -$9,735.92 http://www.daily25.com/dec-31st-jan-6th-9735-92/ http://www.daily25.com/dec-31st-jan-6th-9735-92/#comments Tue, 06 Jan 2015 08:25:34 +0000 http://www.daily25.com/?p=2303 015 has not started well at all. An absolute shocking week for Sportpunter somewhat salvaged by the football tipsters. Lots of articles coming in the next few weeks, my wrap up of 2014, what I...

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2015 has not started well at all. An absolute shocking week for Sportpunter somewhat salvaged by the football tipsters. Lots of articles coming in the next few weeks, my wrap up of 2014, what I see happening in 2015 and a few other random articles. This site has taken a back seat to the Dailyprofit service and Sporting Karma in the second half of 2014. I will look to give it the love and attention it deserves in 2015.

Onto the Sportpunter losses this week and we had another loss with the NBL. $4,300 lost this week, but I saved about $4,000 by missing a bet as I was at a 1st birthday party. I’m hoping these parties save me this much each time, as they are SO boring and $4,000 seems about a fair trade off for dealing with others kids all day. The NFL season is drawing to a close and both line bets lost (-$2,000). Hoping Denver can get up next week and the week after as I have a season long bet on them. I received my flights and itinerary for the Super Bowl today and just requested upgrades to business class using my remaining frequent flyer points for me and Jonno (Sportpunter) and another mate. Sadly my million FF points are all nearly gone, but they did allow me to fly Business and First Class over the last few years. I will miss them dearly. NBA is over for another season (for me anyway). Traditionally the model just doesn’t perform in the new year, it’s a shame the rot started a week early. $10,300 lost this week to bring the total return to just over break even. Really disappointing end as it started so well. Looking forward to the day the player model is introduced. The usually reliable NHL model rounded out the horrendous week with a $5,700 loss to bring the total Sportpunter loss this week to $22,332. OUCH.

ClubGOWI had a return to form with $1,400 profit and PCG made $2,000. I have cancelled my subscription to the service as it just wasn’t working for me. I’m sure Tom will continue to do well for PCG members for many years to come.

Football Elite lost $1,000, Football Value made $2,400, TFA lost $1,400, Winabobatoo made $700, and Football Investor (Combo and Euro) made an impressive $11,000. Geez I follow a lot of Soccer tipsters. Happily for me, this season they are in profit, nothing like the historical returns, but after years and years of losses, I’m just happy to be in front. Still half the season to go and the second half of the season has been profitable a few times.

Backing the opposite sides hurt this week with 3 losses from 3 for a $1,500 loss, but the other sides were huge odds and on multiple bets. My Personal picks lost $1,200 as well.

Not the start I was looking for going into the second half of my 5th year. I’ll be looking into the Tennis totals model for this season, even though the H2H bets have not performed, it seems the totals are a little more consistent. How quickly odds drop is always an issue with these smaller markets, so it might not be viable. But as always, we will test everything before putting it on the to hard pile. Until next week.

Total Loss for the week was $9,735.92

By joining the Daily25 email list, you will get updates and insights into how I am doing, what tools I use, the services I recommend, and what is happening in the gambling industry.

Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $3,931,883.93
Profit/Loss: $29,864.46
POT: 0.76%
Bets Placed: 5731
Won: 2014
Lost: 2711
Half Payout: 46
Refunded: 960
Winning %: 42.6%
Total profit per day: $377,389.30 / 1651 = $228.58
Total Turnover: $18,274,627.30
Total ROI: 2.07%

NBL Totals $55,018.00 $(13,742.79) -25.0%
week profit/loss: 2481.60

NBL Line $137,123.00 $13,386.14 9.8%
week profit/loss: -6803.60

NFL Totals $129,384.00 $16,521.79 12.8%
week profit/loss: 0

NFL Line $67,049.00 $(2,102.72) -3.1%
week profit/loss: -1960

NHL Totals $140,144.00 $17,971.49 12.8%
week profit/loss: -5735.70

NBA Totals $283,713.00 $8,201.29 2.9%
week profit/loss: -6972.94

NBA H2H $181,212.00 $(7,683.57) -4.2%
week profit/loss: -3343.95

ClubGowi $432,946.00 $9,991.96 2.3%
week profit/loss: 1446.98

GOWI $10,951.00 $(3,360.00) -30.7%
week profit/loss: 0

PCG $202,581.00 $(4,017.03) -2.0%
week profit/loss: 1954

Jason Kelly Golf $9,996.93 $(7,748.53) -77.5%
week profit/loss: 0

Betswot $8,498.00 $(6,743.00) -79.3%
week profit/loss: 0

FB Elite $102,011.00 $10,421.50 10.2%
week profit/loss: -1000

Football Value $31,000.00 $(5,805.00) -18.7%
week profit/loss: 2400

TFA 21 $191,745.00 $(6,350.80) -3.3%
week profit/loss: -40

TFA 41 $180,276.00 $(7,455.00) -4.1%
week profit/loss: -2525

6-21-31 $109,857.00 $3,645.22 3.3%
week profit/loss: 975

D1-D6 $64,000.00 $3,050.00 4.8%
week profit/loss: -1000

E1-E6 $46,940.00 $14,665.00 31.2%
week profit/loss: 1165

Mike Lindley $47,000.00 $(509.50) -1.1%
week profit/loss: 780

WINABOBATOO $193,479.00 $(2,896.68) -1.5%
week profit/loss: -55

FBI combo $87,500.00 $14,849.00 17.0%
week profit/loss: 3480

FBI Euro $88,000.00 $17,025.00 19.3%
week profit/loss: 7580

Odds pushed out $24,750.00 $5,508.00 22.3%
week profit/loss: 1500

Personal $26,697.00 $(4,131.21) -15.5%
week profit/loss: -1172.31

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0

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