Mar 25th – Mar 31st +$21,515.71

[dropcap]F[/dropcap]inally a profitable week to stop what has been the worst losing run in the past 5 years. You know it’s going to be a good week when you even get a winner in the Golf. To say this weeks result is welcome is a massive understatement. 2015 has been nothing but loss after loss and to see a little spike in my graph gives me some hope. Although after 9 months of betting to be only $7,468 in profit seems to be a bit of a waste of time. I could have been working in an office with no stress at all and earned 10 times that. Put into that context, it really makes you think. I could go an entire year with the weekly stress that the swings bring and end up paying for that privilege. There are not many jobs where you can work all year and show a negative amount at the end of it. Sure, some people love their jobs so much they say they would do it for free, but ask them to pay to do it and I’m sure they would say No thanks. Like people who work as day traders, I’m positive there is a lot of burn out in the gambling world. after a certain amount of time you keep asking yourself if the effort is worth the potential rewards. But enough moaning for the week, geez, you would think this was another losing week by my gibbering. Instead it was a great week and all I need is a replica of this week every single week to get me out of my funk.

We had profits across the board. As there was International Soccer on this weekend, we had much fewer bets but a great return. Sportpunter NHL made a stunning comeback with goals starting to be scored again. $11,600 profit for the week and the hope is that the final few weeks of the season replicate this week. The Rugby model has been doing well the past 3 weeks after a poor start. It only throws up 1 or 2 bets a week but they all seem to win, this week resulting in $3,950 profit. The NRL on the other hand has yet to get to grasps with what is happening this season. I am hopeful that the player based model turns as quickly as the Rugby model and we start seeing those profits again. This week we saw a $3,800 loss all mainly due to a big loss on Cronulla who throw the game away in the last 5 minutes. The AFL season starts on Thursday and simply put, this model will be the reason that I make a profit or loss this season. Let’s hope it continues its amazing decade long run of profit.

ClubGowi lost $1,700 and sits on 0.8% return this year. Strange that the website still shows a 16%+ return. Jason kelly picks up his first ever win for me with Jimmy Walker winning the Texas Open. A very welcome $3,500 profit. Only TFA, Winabobatoo and Football Investor in action this week and they all made a profit. TFA continues its bipolar season with $7,000 profit this week. The 5 of 50 bets I could match the odds for winabobatoo produced $1,000 profit and the single Football Investor pick produced $3,100 profit. My own personal plays have been poor this season and this week added a further $2,700 loss and betting against tipsters also lost $500.

All up a fantastic week and one I really needed. It’s good to see a bit more green than red in the weekly post. The next few months are going to see some massive swings as AFL steps up to the plate and a heap of football is still to be played. We will also see the MLB season starting soon. There is going to be so much work to do, I just hope the rewards are also there.

Total Profit for the week was $21,515.71

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Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $5,538,440.93
Profit/Loss: $7,468.59
POT: 0.13%
Bets Placed: 7957
Won: 2602
Lost: 3697
Half Payout: 56
Refunded: 1602
Winning %: 41.3%
Total profit per day: $354,993.43 / 1735 = $204.60
Total Turnover: $19,881,184.30
Total ROI: 1.79%

AFL Line – SP $281,976.00 $(33,149.87) -11.8%
week profit/loss: 0

NHL Totals $459,384.00 $14,652.35 3.2%
week profit/loss: 11604.08

Rugby SP $36,225.00 $5,054.54 14.0%
week profit/loss: 3948.60

NRL SP $57,942.00 $(4,610.73) -8.0%
week profit/loss: -3768

ClubGowi $589,263.00 $4,684.87 0.8%
week profit/loss: -1673.37

GOWI $18,526.00 $1,691.03 9.1%
week profit/loss: 0

Jason Kelly Golf $12,091.93 $(5,858.53) -48.4%
week profit/loss: 3510

Betswot $9,573.00 $(7,818.00) -81.7%
week profit/loss: 0

FB Elite $207,011.00 $(393.62) -0.2%
week profit/loss: 0

Football Value $54,000.00 $(5,215.00) -9.7%
week profit/loss: 0

TFA 21 $335,284.00 $7,739.90 2.3%
week profit/loss: 5080

TFA 41 $324,876.00 $(5,697.00) -1.8%
week profit/loss: -190

6-21-31 $186,857.00 $11,978.22 6.4%
week profit/loss: 1085

D1-D6 $117,200.00 $1,510.00 1.3%
week profit/loss: 1000

E1-E6 $108,040.00 $26,797.40 24.8%
week profit/loss: 0

Mike Lindley $80,264.00 $(4,699.00) -5.9%
week profit/loss: 520

WINABOBATOO $319,055.00 $(2,934.38) -0.9%
week profit/loss: 450

FBI combo $132,500.00 $13,644.00 10.3%
week profit/loss: 3130

FBI Euro $175,642.00 $12,972.00 7.4%
week profit/loss: 0

Odds pushed out $41,750.00 $8,045.00 19.3%
week profit/loss: -500

Personal $54,599.00 $(11,184.19) -20.5%
week profit/loss: -2680.60

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0

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  • rod

    Hi mate, glad you had a positive week. Im a big fan of your posts, thank you for the effort you put in to writing them. Looking at some of your earlier posts in 2011 a minus 9k week was a disaster back then, hopefully in a few years you can look back on these recent bad runs and think nothing of them.

  • Hey Rod, Thanks very much for the comment. I’ve actually never looked back over my old posts, but I do remember those days.

    I believe I am pretty close to the max I will bet in a given season, not only because of the risk, but the limits imposed by the bookies. I would happily triple my AFL bank, but no bookmaker in the world would take those bets (not even Pinnacle).

    But I do believe I will look back on this period and see it as normal variance, and be better prepared the next time it happens.

    Cheers

  • wah

    Good to hear you had a good week my weekend was poor (which is a little unusual as i follow a lot of the same services as you and normally my portfolio performs a little better but lower stakes) mostly due to my use of free bets and bookmaker specials. I am feeling a little like you did last week (except i still work and this is mostly a hobby, the only one that makes me money). I need to take a look at all of my portfolio and staking (i beleive it may be a little out of balance) I am wondering if you or anyone else know of any good resources for this sort of thing.

    I think an article about how to set up a portfolio and modify it as time goes on would be very useful as a lot of your original members will be getting past the bonus bagging stage soon and moving on top betting portfolios.

    ps golf sucks and i wonder (i no longer use my service 2 winners last 3 weeks) if i can ever justify betting on it due to the bank sizes required

  • wah

    excited to use sports bet again

  • Setting up your portfolio and bank (banksizes, leverage, so on). Is one section of the course I have had on the backburner for the past year.

  • wah

    I know there were some good resources out there I just can’t remember where. I will be resetting at the end of soccer season as usual.

    More work for you and list of books and odds comparison sites for them.

    Just making sure I get my moneys worth from the daily 25 site(free)