Jan 30th – Feb 5th +$5,769.95
Another frustrating weekend of Soccer. Was up over $15,000 after a great Saturday thanks mostly to The Football Analyst, and then gave a big chunk of it back by winning 1 of 20 bets on the Sunday night. The culprits were Football Elite and XX Draws.
Not much turnover this week in ATP as only the Davis Cup to bet on, a small $500 profit was made.
NBL Totals improved a little but Line bets continue to be poor. In total a $2,000 profit. This was my last week of following the NBA and it lost $2,400. I really should have stopped at the end of December, but I was hoping the model had corrected itself this year. I was wrong and should listen to the numbers from now on. My unwillingness to let go cost me an extra $4,500 profit. All up for a bit more then half the season, the profit ended at $16,000. I believe the high was around $28,000, so next year it might be even wiser to end before December. Very happy with the final figure and will continue again next year, but with H2H bets at the same Kelly fractional as Totals bets.
Saturday was a standout day for Soccer, TFA, Combo FI and Skeeve performed well, but then Sunday rolled around and really had me swearing. TFA Established made a whopping $12,815 with all the home team bets winning, the Euro bets gave back $2600, but $2,000 off that was on Catania at $7.60. They lost 2-0, but if that bet had won then it would have been one hell of a week for TFA. Skeeve went 2 for 2 multis and made $2,500 and Combo Football Investor came back strong with $3,000 profit. Then there were the shockers, After a good run lately, Football Elite lost a shocking $5,800 and XX Draws has now given back every single cent of profit, losing $4,700 to sit on $3.50 profit for the year.
So another one of those weeks where things were looking so good and then the inevitable crash comes. Still a healthy profit, but I need a +$20,000 week soon to get me out of this funk.
This weekend I will be on a cruise in the middle of the ocean, so getting bets on may be a real hassle. I am going to do all I can to make sure they get placed, as with my luck we all know how they will end up if I miss them. Until next week.
Total profit for the week was $5,769.95
Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $2,167,007.91
Profit/Loss: $(28,434.54)
POT: -1.31%
Bets Placed: 3,473
Won: 1,373
Lost: 2,005
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 93
Winning %: 40.6%
Profit per day: $87,649.18 / 951 = $92.16
ATP – SP $263,478.00 $6,480.18 2.5%
week profit/loss: 538.52
NBL Totals $91,074.00 $(2,216.76) -2.4%
week profit/loss: 2587.50
NBL Line $52,217.00 $(4,826.22) -9.2%
week profit/loss: -570
NBA Totals $141,737.00 $9,935.40 7.0%
week profit/loss: -1807.61
NBA H2H $81,450.00 $6,073.71 7.5%
week profit/loss: -570.60
XX Draws $43,500.00 $(4,035.00) -9.3%
week profit/loss: -3500
XX Draws Under $43,500.00 $(4,575.00) -10.5%
week profit/loss: -2648
XX Extended $95,500.00 $6,821.00 7.1%
week profit/loss: 3580
XX Extended Under $95,500.00 $1,792.50 1.9%
week profit/loss: -2097.50
FB Elite $152,819.00 $(15,174.97) -9.9%
week profit/loss: -5480
Skeeve $108,214.00 $(20,657.44) -19.1%
week profit/loss: 2474
Combo FI $153,500.00 $15,413.00 10.0%
week profit/loss: 3056.50
6-22 $50,250.00 $1,530.75 3.0%
week profit/loss: 1942.50
7-21 $78,860.00 $4,484.50 5.7%
week profit/loss: 4785
7-22 $33,435.00 $(2,708.25) -8.1%
week profit/loss: 2267.25
8-21 $38,250.00 $1,050.38 2.7%
week profit/loss: 2732.25
8-22 $21,763.00 $(2,319.62) -10.7%
week profit/loss: 1089.75
E1-E7 $41,625.00 $(2,267.99) -5.4%
week profit/loss: -822.37
E2-E6 $42,375.00 $3,214.51 7.6%
week profit/loss: -893.62
E2-E7 $21,750.00 $(50.99) -0.2%
week profit/loss: -143.62
E3-E6 $17,625.00 $1,731.75 9.8%
week profit/loss: -375
E3-E7 $10,125.00 $56.25 0.6%
week profit/loss: -375
January 2013 review -$3,173.81
Thought I’d also post a monthly total this year.
$346,988.00 was bet for a $(3,173.81) loss, which is a -0.91% ROI. The highest point was the 17th with the total profit standing at $24,449.80. So as you can imagine, the second half of the month was an absolute disaster. The lowest point was the 25th where the P/L for the month stood at -$(10,927.87). That means in an 8 day period I lost over $35,000. Ouch.
The only bright spot for the month was the start of the ATP model, with $60,954.00 bet for a $14,770.60 profit at a 24.2% ROI. Basketball had it’s traditionally terrible start to the year with $79,934.00 bet for a loss of $(10,674.46) that’s a ROI of -13.4%. Soccer also had a terrible month with $206,100.00 bet for a loss of $(7,269.95) which is a ROI of -3.5%.
As mentioned earlier, ATP had a stellar start, the big loser was Football Investors Combo bets, losing $(9,154.50) at a ROI of -25.1%. The other big loser was NBL Totals, losing $(5,431.08) at -31.6% ROI.
NBA totals and H2H lost a combined $3,621 and that’s enough for me to believe that the model does not perform after the new year and I will stop following it. That means the only sports I am currently following are now Tennis, Soccer and NBL. March will see the addition of AFL.
Not a massive loss, but when the month starts so well and then ends in a negative, it is a real kick in the nuts.
Jan 23rd – Jan 29th -$6,892.37
A profit or loss this week fell on this mornings Exeter game. I had close to $4,000 on it at odds of $2 as a Football Analyst pick on 5 systems. As has been the case all year, nothing has been going my way and they went down 1-0. Another shocking weekend of Football betting and I’m close to my all time worst position. January was looking so good mid month, with over $25,000 profit, it now sits at negative $3,400 for the month. The old adage that a dollar lost hurts more then the joy of a dollar gained is very true, and I have been losing a lot of dollars and gaining very few.
This week also saw me doing something that any superstitious person would cringe at. I broke a mirror. That’s right, 7 years bad luck and all that, well actually i broke it several times, but I am not sure what the ruling on multiple breaks of 1 mirror is. No, it wasn’t out of anger over the last 6 months of tireless effort for a massive negative return, although it did feel good. I am just redecorating and it was the only way to get it off the wall. The next bet was the Exeter one, so maybe a sign of things to come.
The Aussie open ended this week and the model usually doesn’t perform too well at the end of these big tournaments. A loss of $1,300 for the week.
NBL is doing my head in at the moment, Jonno forgot to release a bet before the game started, and as you would expect, that games totals and line bet won easily. Those bets would have seen $3,000 in profit added. Instead I was down $1,300 for the week. NBA added $600 profit for the week, but is $2,000 down in January. I am still not sure if I will continue with them after this month. I have noticed that the totals no longer move in our favor, but the results have not been disastrous.
Soccer Soccer, muth^%(ing Soccer. XX Draws -$400. Combo Football Investor -$1,100. The Football Analyst Established -$5,354 and Euro -$3,596. These have been atrocious in the new year and I really hope these turn around soon. The only positive were a small profit of $1,000 for Skeeve and FB Elite almost made up for last weeks loss with $3,900 profit.
That’s it for another crap week of betting. Come again next week to make yourself feel better about any losses you may have made.
Total loss for the week was $6,892.37
Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $2,085,092.91
Profit/Loss: $(34,204.49)
POT: -1.64%
Bets Placed: 3,333
Won: 1,316
Lost: 1,931
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 84
Winning %: 40.5%
Profit per day: $81,879.23 / 944 = $86.73
ATP – SP $260,211.00 $5,941.66 2.3%
week profit/loss: -1302.44
NBL Totals $84,589.00 $(4,804.26) -5.7%
week profit/loss: -80
NBL Line $51,647.00 $(4,256.22) -8.2%
week profit/loss: -1158.18
NBA Totals $138,766.00 $11,743.01 8.5%
week profit/loss: -501.01
NBA H2H $80,253.00 $6,644.31 8.3%
week profit/loss: 1100.96
XX Draws $40,000.00 $(535.00) -1.3%
week profit/loss: -1000
XX Draws Under $40,000.00 $(1,927.00) -4.8%
week profit/loss: -103
XX Extended $90,500.00 $3,241.00 3.6%
week profit/loss: 1750
XX Extended Under $90,500.00 $3,890.00 4.3%
week profit/loss: -1025.50
FB Elite $142,819.00 $(9,694.97) -6.8%
week profit/loss: 3880
Skeeve $106,414.00 $(23,131.44) -21.7%
week profit/loss: 1028.80
Combo FI $144,500.00 $12,356.50 8.6%
week profit/loss: -1127
6-22 $46,500.00 $(411.75) -0.9%
week profit/loss: -633.75
7-21 $71,735.00 $(300.50) -0.4%
week profit/loss: -1875
7-22 $30,060.00 $(4,975.50) -16.6%
week profit/loss: -750
8-21 $33,375.00 $(1,681.87) -5.0%
week profit/loss: -750
8-22 $19,888.00 $(3,409.37) -17.1%
week profit/loss: -750
E1-E7 $38,250.00 $(1,445.62) -3.8%
week profit/loss: -596.25
E2-E6 $39,750.00 $4,108.13 10.3%
week profit/loss: -1125
E2-E7 $19,875.00 $92.63 0.5%
week profit/loss: -375
E3-E6 $17,250.00 $2,106.75 12.2%
week profit/loss: -1125
E3-E7 $9,750.00 $431.25 4.4%
week profit/loss: -375
Jan 16th – Jan 22nd -$16,626.96
I know that this is a great learning experience for me and if I can come out the other end, it will be very beneficial for me to have gone through these last 7 months, but right now, all I want to do is break things and call it quits. Things were once again looking great on Saturday afternoon with the total loss at a manageable -$7,000 and with a huge lineup of soccer games to look forward to and the hope that I would finally break even. The snow stopped many of the bets, but I now wish the whole continent was blanketed with the heaviest snow in the whole history of snowfall. My Sunday morning was filled with me repeatedly hitting the “n” key on my keyboard to represent yet another loss. The fact that the keyboard held up to my onslaught on that one key is testament to the great product the Logitech company has created. The same can’t be said for many of the tipsters I pay much more then my state of the art keyboard cost.
So I’m once again back to dealing with a big loss and my hopes of making a profit are all but evaporated. We have the typical culprits once again. A few weeks ago, a reader made a comment that I will need to take very seriously. He said I should really just follow Sportpunter models and up stakes on them. I am trying to create a diversified portfolio, but I think he may be onto something. I will be looking into the Sportpunter only stats and seeing how I should proceed.
Lets start with the Sportpunter models for the week. ATP has started brilliantly, added another $5,200 profit for the week. A brilliant start to the season. Any profit will be miniscule for this week as we are in the second week of the Aussie open, so very few bets for the week. NBL has been a real disappointment in the last few months. Down another $4,500 this week. NBA made $400, but the H2H bets are losing a heap, at the end of the month, I will make a decision on whether I continue to follow these models.
Onto Soccer, where do I even start? The only bright spot was XX Draws with a $2,000 profit. Football Elite went 0 from 2 for -$4,000 and Skeeve is within a few losses of losing 100% of the starting bank, something that no other tipster I have followed has done. I understand he is struggling himself, but his emails do not instill any confidence in me. He really must start thinking of his clients and how they are dealing with these massive losses. 0 from 2 as well for $-3,000. Combo Football Investor has been on a terrible run in the new year, a further $5,300 lost this week, a bigger loss then FB Elite and Skeeve, but when the system is still achieving a 10% ROI for the season, it is much easier to give back profits then add to losses. The Football Analyst Established lost $3,600 and Euro lost $4,000. Last week was brilliant, and this week gave it all back and more.
Next weeks total will be based mostly on how the midweek and weekend Soccer bets go, I’m hoping for a major turnaround, but sadly am not expecting it.
Total loss for the week was $16,626.96
Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $2,020,260.91
Profit/Loss: $(27,312.12)
POT: -1.35%
Bets Placed: 3,230
Won: 1,282
Lost: 1,871
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 75
Winning %: 40.7%
Profit per day: $88,771.60 / 937 = $94.74
ATP – SP $258,400.00 $7,244.10 2.8%
week profit/loss: 5243.03
NBL Totals $82,989.00 $(4,724.26) -5.7%
week profit/loss: -4611.08
NBL Line $47,679.00 $(3,098.04) -6.5%
week profit/loss: 139.50
NBA Totals $135,781.00 $12,244.02 9.0%
week profit/loss: 1351.08
NBA H2H $76,260.00 $5,543.35 7.3%
week profit/loss: -963.99
XX Draws $39,000.00 $465.00 1.2%
week profit/loss: -500
XX Draws Under $39,000.00 $(1,824.00) -4.7%
week profit/loss: 309.50
XX Extended $87,000.00 $1,491.00 1.7%
week profit/loss: -365
XX Extended Under $87,000.00 $4,915.50 5.7%
week profit/loss: 2597.50
FB Elite $130,819.00 $(13,574.97) -10.4%
week profit/loss: -4000
Skeeve $102,814.00 $(24,160.24) -23.5%
week profit/loss: -3000
Combo FI $134,000.00 $13,483.50 10.1%
week profit/loss: -5290
6-22 $43,500.00 $222.00 0.5%
week profit/loss: -1875
7-21 $69,110.00 $1,574.50 2.3%
week profit/loss: -1425
7-22 $28,560.00 $(4,225.50) -14.8%
week profit/loss: -1125
8-21 $31,875.00 $(931.87) -2.9%
week profit/loss: 825
8-22 $18,388.00 $(2,659.37) -14.5%
week profit/loss: 0
E1-E7 $36,000.00 $(849.37) -2.4%
week profit/loss: -1721.25
E2-E6 $38,625.00 $5,233.13 13.5%
week profit/loss: -101.25
E2-E7 $19,500.00 $467.63 2.4%
week profit/loss: -240
E3-E6 $16,125.00 $3,231.75 20.0%
week profit/loss: -1125
E3-E7 $9,375.00 $806.25 8.6%
week profit/loss: -750
Jan 9th – Jan 15th +$13,057.63
A second great week in 2013 bringing in just over $13,000. A total of $20,000 has been made since Jan 1st. But as you know, I’m never fully pleased and this week the problem was my own doing. A mistake which cost another $3,000 profit. I had manually changed a value in my NBL spreadsheet and the next day when I auto imported the bets, the equation that should have been in there was instead replaced by the same percentage as the night before. This one error meant I bet on the opposite team to beat the line, costing me $3,000. 2 and a half years in and I am still making schoolboy errors.
The Aussie open started yesterday and what a first day for Sportpunter. Winner after winner and last years end of season losses have been wiped out and we are well into profit. It brings back memories of the returns from the US Open two years ago. I hope to outdo those returns and really start the Tennis season of well. $5,000 profit for the week.
As mentioned earlier, the NBA model seems to lose its mojo in the new year and that seems to be the case. I will be giving it till the end of the month to prove that isn’t the case this year, but if it doesn’t at least break even then i will stop following it. A $2,000 loss for the week. NBL as mentioned earlier should have been in profit this week, instead it lost $2,900. I know it isn’t fair for Sportpunter to record these results, but I have made mistakes on all models and it would take forever to add an * to each model and explain where I stuffed up. I’m sure there will be more errors in the years to come, I just hope they are miniscule and actually go my way.
What did I say about Soccer last week? I take it all back. A fantastic week from most models. XX Draws continues its mid season slump, the extended draws haven’t had a win since 2002 (well maybe not that long, but it feels like it). $3,000 wiped of the profits again this week. Skeeve made a small $800 profit, and FB Elite went 2 from 2 for a great return of $4,600. Another few weeks with results like this and I’ll have to send a grovelling email and might be out another hamper. Combo FI has had a worrying run lately, losing another $2,500 this week, but as I never expected much from it, I’m still over the moon with its results thus far. The big contributor this week was The Football Analyst. Established bets made $7,000 while the Euro models added $6,000 more. An amazing week for TFA. Soccer added $12,900 profit for the week.
That’s it for another great week, inching closer and closer to that break even mark for the financial year. But i was in this same position in mid December and we all know how that worked out. I’ll continue plugging away, making sure I don’t make anymore mistakes, and hope the models all revert to their mean in the coming months.
Total profit for the week was $13,057.63
Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $1,927,532.91
Profit/Loss: $(10,685.16)
POT: -0.55%
Bets Placed:3,052
Won: 1,228
Lost: 1,767
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 55
Winning %: 41.0%
Profit per day: $105,398.56 / 930 = $113.33
ATP – SP $242,163.00 $2,001.07 0.8%
week profit/loss: 4953.12
NBL Totals $77,569.00 $(113.18) -0.1%
week profit/loss: -2035
NBL Line $43,724.00 $(3,237.54) -7.4%
week profit/loss: -850
NBA Totals $129,361.00 $10,892.94 8.4%
week profit/loss: -185.36
NBA H2H $70,939.00 $6,507.34 9.2%
week profit/loss: -1870.39
XX Draws $38,500.00 $965.00 2.5%
week profit/loss: -730
XX Draws Under $38,500.00 $(2,133.50) -5.5%
week profit/loss: 973.50
XX Extended $81,500.00 $1,856.00 2.3%
week profit/loss: -3500
XX Extended Under $81,500.00 $2,318.00 2.8%
week profit/loss: 307.50
FB Elite $126,819.00 $(9,574.97) -7.6%
week profit/loss: 4600
Skeeve $99,814.00 $(21,160.24) -21.2%
week profit/loss: 828
Combo FI $123,500.00 $18,773.50 15.2%
week profit/loss: -2423
6-22 $40,125.00 $2,097.00 5.2%
week profit/loss: 1638.75
7-21 $63,860.00 $2,999.50 4.7%
week profit/loss: 2397.75
7-22 $25,935.00 $(3,100.50) -12.0%
week profit/loss: 731.25
8-21 $30,000.00 $(1,756.87) -5.9%
week profit/loss: 1452.75
8-22 $18,013.00 $(2,659.37) -14.8%
week profit/loss: 731.25
E1-E7 $32,250.00 $871.88 2.7%
week profit/loss: 97.50
E2-E6 $34,125.00 $5,334.38 15.6%
week profit/loss: 2178.75
E2-E7 $17,250.00 $707.63 4.1%
week profit/loss: 806.25
E3-E6 $15,000.00 $4,356.75 29.0%
week profit/loss: 2160
E3-E7 $8,625.00 $1,556.25 18.0%
week profit/loss: 795
Jan 2nd – Jan 8th +$7,192.60
The new year starts with a bang. Mostly thanks to the brilliant start of the Sportpunter ATP model. Even though this week is no different then any other, it still makes me feel good to get 2013 off to a nice profitable start.
ATP ended last season very badly, but this week alone has almost wiped away the loss from the final 5 month of last year. The Sportpunter models always seem to start so strong and then give a lot back near the end of the season (ATP, WTA, NBA, NHL, NBL, AFL to name a few). This is something Jonno could have a look at and maybe make some adjustments to make already great models even better. ATP made just shy of $5,000 this week and with the Australian open coming up, I hope the good run continues. I do remember two season ago losing $15,000 on the Aussie open when the model had a slight glitch in it. That was a very painful fortnight and I am betting 50% more this season.
Basketball added around $1,500 with NBL totals doing ok. This season has not gone to plan and NBL is just above break even at the moment. I was hoping for a hell of a lot better, but still a few more rounds to go.
Ahh, the bane of my existence for the last 6 months. Soccer. You promise so much and deliver so little. Well worse then that, you don’t deliver fuck all and take a shitload. Since being generous to Cassini, his XX Draws have been on a poor run, this week losing close to $1,000. Skeeve continues his pathetic run losing another $1,600, with it very lucky not to be $3,200 with a 90th minute goal saving him from many many subscriber emails. Combo FI also lost $600. TFA established made $900 and TFA Euro also made $2,400. FB Elite added $900. A small profit of $1,000 in total for the week.
So that’s that for the beginning of a new year. A great profit and one I would happily average over the entire year.
Total profit for the week was $7,192.60
Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $1,836,274.91
Profit/Loss: $(23,742.79)
POT: -1.29%
Bets Placed: 2,890
Won: 1,153
Lost: 1,683
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 52
Winning %: 40.7%
Profit per day: $92,340.93 / 923 = $100.04
ATP – SP $220,983.00 $(2,952.06) -1.3%
week profit/loss: 4933.88
NBL Totals $73,786.00 $1,921.82 2.6%
week profit/loss: 1295
NBL Line $40,024.00 $(2,387.54) -6.0%
week profit/loss: 247
NBA Totals $122,724.00 $11,078.30 9.0%
week profit/loss: -57.54
NBA H2H $66,906.00 $8,377.73 12.5%
week profit/loss: 188.76
XX Draws $36,000.00 $1,695.00 4.7%
week profit/loss: 515
XX Draws Under $36,000.00 $(3,107.00) -8.6%
week profit/loss: 710
XX Extended $78,000.00 $5,356.00 6.9%
week profit/loss: -1500
XX Extended Under $78,000.00 $2,010.50 2.6%
week profit/loss: -590
FB Elite $122,819.00 $(14,174.97) -11.5%
week profit/loss: 900
Skeeve $95,014.00 $(21,988.24) -23.1%
week profit/loss: -1600
Combo FI $116,000.00 $21,196.50 18.3%
week profit/loss: -609.50
6-22 $37,875.00 $458.25 1.2%
week profit/loss: 573.75
7-21 $58,610.00 $601.75 1.0%
week profit/loss: 60
7-22 $24,060.00 $(3,831.75) -15.9%
week profit/loss: 311.25
8-21 $27,375.00 $(3,209.62) -11.7%
week profit/loss: -307.50
8-22 $16,138.00 $(3,390.62) -21.0%
week profit/loss: -307.50
E1-E7 $29,250.00 $774.38 2.6%
week profit/loss: 1702.50
E2-E6 $31,125.00 $3,155.63 10.1%
week profit/loss: -93.75
E2-E7 $15,750.00 $(98.62) -0.6%
week profit/loss: 273.75
E3-E6 $13,500.00 $2,196.75 16.3%
week profit/loss: 273.75
E3-E7 $7,875.00 $761.25 9.7%
week profit/loss: 273.75
Dec 26th – Jan 1st -$3,818.01
The year ends on another losing week, and the half year loss so far stands at over $30,000. A terrible 6 months so far but I will save that for the 6 month review in the next few days. Lets see how this week panned out.
ATP started again and I’m hoping to quickly recoup the -$17,000 start I have from ATP and WTA’s poor performance at the end of 2012. WTA has been given the flick and ATP H2H with a $75,000 bank and 1/25th Kelly is what I will be following for the entire 2013 season. I have already found it difficult to get matched at good odds as Sportsbet, Sportingbet and the other aussie bookies won’t let me get more then $50 – $100 on any match. Really pathetic of them. A slow start with $450 profit so far.
Last night I went to see my team play in the NBL and it was not a good way to spend new years eve, with them playing shit and losing in overtime. NBL ended this week losing $1,800. NBA totals made $3,100 and H2H lost $1,300. I really need NBA to continue on its run in the second half of the season, as it’s the only sport I am profitable in at the moment.
The big loser again was The Football Analyst, a shocking round once again, losing almost $6,000 from very few bets. With a large number of bets tonight, I’m hoping it can start the New year with a bang and get back into positive territory. XX Draws lost another $1,000 and Combi FI lost $200. FB Elite made $2,800 and there have been small signs of a revival in recent weeks. Hopefully things keep going his way.
That’s it for the week, another crappy effort and a real kick to the nuts for me over the last 2 weeks. I was within a few wins of breaking even for the past 6 months and would have taken that the way things have been going, but the last 2 weeks has seen $23,000 taken back of me. If i was a bookie, I would be happily taking bets from me. Hoping things turn around in the New Year, really need them to, or this blog could be just another of those one’s that prove how hard it really is to make a profit from sports betting.
Total loss for the week was $3,818.01
Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $1,755,208.91
Profit/Loss: $(30,935.39)
POT: -1.76%
Bets Placed: 2,751
Won: 1,093
Lost: 1,605
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 51
Winning %: 40.5%
Profit per day: $85,148.33 / 916 = $92.95
ATP – SP $201,637.00 $(7,885.94) -3.9%
week profit/loss: 464.01
NBL Totals $67,386.00 $626.82 0.9%
week profit/loss: 248
NBL Line $36,914.00 $(2,634.54) -7.1%
week profit/loss: -2032
NBA Totals $113,463.00 $11,135.84 9.8%
week profit/loss: 3102.66
NBA H2H $62,032.00 $8,188.97 13.2%
week profit/loss: -1288.93
XX Draws $34,500.00 $1,180.00 3.4%
week profit/loss: 290
XX Draws Under $34,500.00 $(3,817.00) -11.1%
week profit/loss: -430
XX Extended $76,500.00 $6,856.00 9.0%
week profit/loss: -1500
XX Extended Under $76,500.00 $2,600.50 3.4%
week profit/loss: 611
FB Elite $118,819.00 $(15,074.97) -12.7%
week profit/loss: 2860
Skeeve $91,814.00 $(20,388.24) -22.2%
week profit/loss: 0
Combo FI $109,500.00 $21,806.00 19.9%
week profit/loss: -265
6-22 $34,500.00 $(115.50) -0.3%
week profit/loss: -382.50
7-21 $54,485.00 $541.75 1.0%
week profit/loss: -2787.75
7-22 $21,435.00 $(4,143.00) -19.3%
week profit/loss: -1125
8-21 $25,125.00 $(2,902.12) -11.6%
week profit/loss: -1582.5
8-22 $13,888.00 $(3,083.12) -22.2%
week profit/loss: 0
E1-E7 $27,375.00 $(928.12) -3.4%
week profit/loss: 0
E2-E6 $30,375.00 $3,249.38 10.7%
week profit/loss: 0
E2-E7 $15,375.00 $(372.37) -2.4%
week profit/loss: 0
E3-E6 $13,125.00 $1,923.00 14.7%
week profit/loss: 0
E3-E7 $7,500.00 $487.50 6.5%
week profit/loss: 0
Dec 19th – Dec 25th -$19,005.99
MERRY CHRISTMAS dear reader. I knew hearing from me was what you really wanted this Christmas and your wish is my command. This is real commitment from me to be posting on Christmas day, but that is one of the reasons I think long term I will be a success at this gambling thing. I make sure every week on Tuesday I stick to my routine, I make sure that every bet is placed and I make sure i keep a record of every single result. On Saturday I had a relatives 21st birthday party that I had to give up so I could place all the soccer bets. At the amounts I am now betting, the only time I can get on is the few hours before kickoff. I really wish I had missed this Saturday and gone and got deliriously drunk.
What can I say, but WORST WEEKEND betting ever. It was a total disaster. As i went to bed Saturday night, my spreadsheet was so close to breaking even for the last 6 months, it was sitting at just -$4,000 and even a very basic night would have seen it move back into positive for the first time in who knows how long. I woke up Sunday morning and starting updating my spreadsheet and it was horrendous. from -$4,000 to -$30,000 in the space of 6 hours. A loss of $26,000. It really really pissed me off. I know it’s back to the struggle of the last few months. This years betting has been nothing but a kick to the nuts. Let’s have a look at who I can divert the blame to this week. The way things have been progressing, it won’t be long before this site lives up to its name of daily25, as of today I’m only making $97 a day.
NBL had the week off and NBA lost $900. The real losses came from Soccer.
I’ll get the profit out of the way first. FB Elite had a few midweek bets that won and things were looking great, until the weekend where both bets lost. Still a small $1,400 win. Skeeve had no recommended bets but did say to bet if the price moved on a team, it did and won $650. Combo FI won $1,200.
I will never be buying a hamper for anyone again, as soon as I do, things turn to shit. XX draws lost $6,500 over the weekend, that’s close to half it’s profit in one day. Finally onto the massive culprit for the loss. The Football Analyst. The worst week ever in my short career of following the service, rendering the last 5 months pointless as profit has moved back to 0. $15,200, yes you read that correctly, one system lost me over $15,000 in a 6 hour period. It was a massacre, I was just lucky that it had performed so well beforehand, or i would be close to throwing in the towel.
So that’s it for my Christmas weekend, one of the worst weeks and defiantly the most I have every lost in such a short period of time. Back to the grind and lots of small winning weeks before another one of these weeks kills my confidence again, it seems like a never ending loop
Total loss for the week was $19,005.99
Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $1,695,148.91
Profit/Loss: $(27,117.38)
POT: -1.60%
Bets Placed: 2,654
Won: 1,056
Lost: 1,546
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 50
Winning %: 40.6%
Profit per day: $88,966.34 / 909 = $97.87
NBL Totals $60,186.00 $378.82 0.6%
week profit/loss: 0
NBL Line $33,742.00 $(602.54) -1.8%
week profit/loss: 0
NBA Totals $104,679.00 $8,033.18 7.7%
week profit/loss: -638.48
NBA H2H $58,581.00 $9,477.90 16.2%
week profit/loss: -168.76
XX Draws $33,000.00 $890.00 2.7%
week profit/loss: 65
XX Draws Under $33,000.00 $(3,387.00) -10.3%
week profit/loss: -101
XX Extended $75,000.00 $8,356.00 11.1%
week profit/loss: -3350
XX Extended Under $75,000.00 $1,989.50 2.7%
week profit/loss: -3125
FB Elite $116,819.00 $(17,934.97) -15.4%
week profit/loss: 1440
Skeeve $91,814.00 $(20,388.24) -22.2%
week profit/loss: 664
Combo FI $103,500.00 $22,071.00 21.3%
week profit/loss: 1205
6-22 $30,750.00 $267.00 0.9%
week profit/loss: -1875
7-21 $48,860.00 $3,329.50 6.8%
week profit/loss: -2625
7-22 $20,310.00 $(3,018.00) -14.9%
week profit/loss: -1875
8-21 $22,125.00 $(1,319.62) -6.0%
week profit/loss: -2250
8-22 $13,888.00 $(3,083.12) -22.2%
week profit/loss: -1500
E1-E7 $27,375.00 $(928.12) -3.4%
week profit/loss: -1736.25
E2-E6 $30,375.00 $3,249.38 10.7%
week profit/loss: -1481.25
E2-E7 $15,375.00 $(372.37) -2.4%
week profit/loss: -731.25
E3-E6 $13,125.00 $1,923.00 14.7%
week profit/loss: -750
E3-E7 $7,500.00 $487.50 6.5%
week profit/loss: -375
Sportsbet.com.au WARNING, do not bet there
If you have a Sportsbet account and bet there, I would suggest not betting there for the time being. They have seen fit to close my affiliate account down for no valid reason and not pay me my earned commissions. This is an ongoing issue and I will keep you all updated as I find out more information of why they have taken this step. I have removed all banners from this site and if you also advertise them I would suggest taking them down or contacting the affiliate manager to see what is going on.
Dec 12th – Dec 18th +$3,678.21
A months worth of winning weeks. A small profit, but after Friday, I thought i was going to be writing a very different post. NBL and NBA had taken a massive dive and I was back out to -$28,000 with a weekend of Soccer bets to come. I assumed I would be back at -$40,000 and bitching and moaning once again. Luckily Soccer had a fantastic week and the Basketball losses were covered plus a small profit.
As mentioned, Basketball had a bad week. All NBL totals lost (including an under that only lost because of OT) and ended down $6,500 for the week, Line betting lost a further $1,300. NBA totals lost $2,000 and I hope this isn’t the start of the turn that has happened in previous years. H2H continued it’s strong run adding $1,500 profit.
Last week I challenged Cassini to make $1 profit and I would buy him his hamper. Well XX Draws made … wait for it… $2,743. See the post below for more details or go here and donate to the cause.
FB Elite made a tiny amount of profit ($780), Skeeve lost his one and only bet for -$2,000 and his last email makes it seem that he has given up. He now hopes that the Mayans are right and he stops receiving probably fairly harsh emails from subscribers in just a few days. Combi FI, what more can I say… the one model I had no hope for and it has been the shining star, another $4,800 profit for the week, I’m now just pissed I didn’t follow all the other Football Investor systems. TFA Established lost a tiny amount ($300), but the Euro system has been brilliant and added another $5,800 profit. So $12,000 profit for Soccer this week and this is what I expected an average week to be.
Let’s hope it continues on and Basketball also picks up this week. Only a few more weeks until the ATP season starts again and I’m hoping to claw back the massive losses from late in the season.
Next week is Christmas day. I’m hoping I will receive the best present of all, to be in profit for the year.
Total profit for the week was $3,678.21
Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $1,630,590.91
Profit/Loss: $(8,111.39)
POT: -0.50%
Bets Placed: 2,527
Won: 1,027
Lost: 1,458
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 40
Winning %: 41.3%
Profit per day: $107,972.33 / 902 = $119.70
NBL Totals $60,186.00 $378.82 0.6%
week profit/loss: -6445
NBL Line $33,742.00 $(602.54) -1.8%
week profit/loss: -1318.75
NBA Totals $95,780.00 $8,671.66 9.1%
week profit/loss: -2026.56
NBA H2H $54,722.00 $9,646.66 17.6%
week profit/loss: 1551.27
XX Draws $31,000.00 $825.00 2.7%
week profit/loss: 2515
XX Draws Under $31,000.00 $(3,488.00) -11.3%
week profit/loss: 1191
XX Extended $70,000.00 $11,706.00 16.7%
week profit/loss: -175
XX Extended Under $70,000.00 $5,114.50 7.3%
week profit/loss: -788
FB Elite $108,819.00 $(19,374.97) -17.8%
week profit/loss: 780
Skeeve $91,014.00 $(21,052.24) -23.1%
week profit/loss: -2000
Combo FI $95,500.00 $20,866.00 21.8%
week profit/loss: 4863
6-22 $28,500.00 $2,142.00 7.5%
week profit/loss: -37.50
7-21 $45,110.00 $5,954.50 13.2%
week profit/loss: -836.25
7-22 $18,060.00 $(1,143.00) -6.3%
week profit/loss: 322.50
8-21 $19,500.00 $930.38 4.8%
week profit/loss: -86.25
8-22 $12,013.00 $(1,583.12) -13.2%
week profit/loss: 322.50
E1-E7 $24,000.00 $808.13 3.4%
week profit/loss: 975
E2-E6 $28,125.00 $4,730.63 16.8%
week profit/loss: 2831.25
E2-E7 $13,875.00 $358.88 2.6%
week profit/loss: 1350
E3-E6 $12,375.00 $2,673.00 21.6%
week profit/loss: 345
E3-E7 $7,125.00 $862.50 12.1%
week profit/loss: 345
