Sep 24th – Oct 7th +$4,648.67

[dropcap]F[/dropcap]irstly the big news. I’m now a dad. We had little Oliver 6 days ago and he is a very healthy and loud boy. If the first week is anything to go by, I’m going to have to work even harder on my time management skills. The fact I’ve already had to stop 3 times while just putting in the past two weeks numbers does not bode well. Luckily for me, all the late nights placing bets has helped with his schedule. I’m sure all the skills gambling has taught me will help transfer across to parenting. But it’s all worth it for that half second where he smiles right before doing a massive shart.

Once again we have a fortnightly update and I have noticed that these ones really help smooth out the variance. If I was to have posted last week and then this week, I would have been moaning about going over $50,000 lost and then this week I would have been proclaiming that the birth of my newborn has helped shine down luck on all my bets. Instead it was just a steady two weeks when looking at the longer time frame. Same with all my betting, it’s really about the angle you look at it, perspective really changes everything. I can look at it as currently being $36,000 down, or see that I am $312,000 up or see that since January I am up over $100,000. It’s all arbitrary really. As we say in the startup community “Up and to the Right”, and my long-term graph can answer that with an emphatic yes.

I’ll also quickly mention (hard sell) my own service. We started 3 months ago and instructed members to start with a $2,000 bank. We sit just shy of $4,000 profit now. That’s a 200% return in just 3 months. If you’re an aussie then just sign up. There’s nothing more to say about it. Right now the aussie bookies are throwing money at people, Dailyprofit.com.au shows you how to take advantage of that. Add in that we have the world’s best tipster on board and it just rounds out the service magnificently. For all you non aussies (you poor things), The SP part of the service will be opening up to you very soon.

Ok, that sponsored message should help keep little Ollie in nappies for a few months, onto the fortnights profit and losses.

We ended both the AFL and NRL seasons and I’ll do a full write up of both in the coming weeks. A great return for both. I was really impressed by the new player based NRL model this season. AFL did not have it’s usual standout season, but I believe I still made well over $50k from it. AFL ended with a Hawthorn win (which I only half bet as I am a Swans fan). $2,500 helped me feel a little better about the result. I also had to send Jonno of Sportpunter $50 as we had a gentlemen’s bet. I hope the beer he bought with it tastes like shit. NRL ended the fortnight break even.

The MLB totals ended the regular season poorly, losing $4,900 and the NFL totals made a tiny $300. NHL starts this week and I’ll be following the totals once again this season.

ClubGOWI broke even for the few bets I could get on. My return has been 2.2% ROI but if I had managed (not possible) to get on all his bets at the suggested odds, I would be $7k better off, or to put it into perspective, 2.5 times my real profit. He has not had the best run lately and could easily drop back into negative again. We do have a $6,000 win coming next month on the Golf, but if today’s email from Keith is anything to go by, he is also worried about this current trend. I’m almost at a full 12 months and will do a full review at the beginning of December.

Diamond Edge made $500, PCG lost $350. With the MLB season coming to an end, a review of the Diamond Edge service is also in order. It will be interesting to compare my results to the official ones. In the Golf, more heartbreak as I had Ramsay for a $6,000 win and he led by 2 strokes with 3 holes to play. You can guess the rest. Jason Kelly lost $800 and Betswot lost $700.

Onto Soccer and we will start with the standout. Football Investor made a massive $7,100 this fortnight. Football Value made a comeback with $2,600 and Football Elite added $600. TFA lost $600, but the Euro picks did well. I’ve also decided not to follow any Scottish bets from any tipster, and when anyone clashes with Football Investor, I side with FBI. This saved me a heap on the weekend as TFA had a few opposing bets. You will have to take all this into consideration when looking at my TFA figures. Winabobatoo lost a further $2,100 and as I mentioned before, I’m pretty unhappy with the service. If I knew how bad the odds recording was then I would never have joined. I am tempted to throw it in, but will see out the season and give it some time and see if things improve. At best I would assume a 2-4% ROI.

So that’s it for a very exciting fortnight for me. Lot’s of posts to do and as I’ll be having many late nights, I should get through them pretty quickly. I’ll also put out the monthly Horse racing results this week to. Once again, if you’re an Australian, then go sign up for my service, a heap of profit to be made over the spring carnival. Hopefully I’m back on my regular weekly schedule now.

By joining the Daily25 email list, you will get updates and insights into how I am doing, what tools I use, the services I recommend, and what is happening in the gambling industry.

Total Profit for the week was $4,648.67

Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $1,678,211.00
Profit/Loss: -$35,496.98
POT: -2.12%
Bets Placed: 2538
Won: 959
Lost: 1202
Half Payout: 25
Refunded: 352
Winning %: 44.4%
Total profit per day: $312,027.86 / 1560 = $200.01
Total Turnover: $16,020,954.37
Total ROI: 1.95%

AFL H2H – SP $46,456.00 $11,281.42 24.3%
week profit/loss: 0

AFL Line – SP $244,906.00 $(26,275.77) -10.7%
week profit/loss: 2586

SP MLB $250,540.00 $10,217.93 4.1%
week profit/loss: -4924.45

NFL Totals $34,156.00 $1,467.22 4.3%
week profit/loss: 322.72

NRL SP $33,686.00 $4,615.25 13.7%
week profit/loss: -10.10

ClubGowi $214,774.00 $4,820.96 2.2%
week profit/loss: 730.50

GOWI $3,832.00 $269.00 7.0%
week profit/loss: -400

Diamond Edge $149,000.00 $1,967.50 1.3%
week profit/loss: 511

PCG $119,367.00 $(4,236.21) -3.5%
week profit/loss: -355

Jason Kelly Golf $5,791.00 $(4,651.00) -80.3%
week profit/loss: -810

Betswot $6,838.00 $(5,083.00) -74.3%
week profit/loss: -700

FB Elite $10,250.00 $1,467.50 14.3%
week profit/loss: 612.50

Football Value $11,000.00 $(1,325.00) -12.0%
week profit/loss: 2600

TFA 21 $43,687.00 $(5,050.00) -11.6%
week profit/loss: -2300

TFA 41 $49,500.00 $(4,228.50) -8.5%
week profit/loss: -408.50

6-21-31 $24,687.00 $(1,599.50) -6.5%
week profit/loss: 587.50

D1-D6 $11,500.00 $(1,335.00) -11.6%
week profit/loss: -800

E1-E6 $1,500.00 $2,330.00 155.3%
week profit/loss: 2330

Mike Lindley $10,000.00 $(445.00) -4.5%
week profit/loss: 100

WINABOBATOO $53,000.00 $(9,438.00) -17.8%
week profit/loss: -2167.50

FBI combo $19,500.00 $9,832.00 50.4%
week profit/loss: 7142

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  • Interested

    Congratulations Steve on the birth of young Oliver. As you mention, the flexible hours you keep will allow you to spend lots of time with him in the future. Enjoy and keep up the good work.

  • DrChris

    Congrats Steve on becoming a Dad! Great to hear you’ll be following the SP NHL totals. You gonna follow the SP NBL this year?

  • thanks

  • Cheers. Without doubt I’ll be following NBL. The opening game is in my town on Friday. Hope it performs half as well as last season

  • Sportpunter.com

    “I also had to send Jonno of Sportpunter $50 as we had a gentlemen’s bet. I hope the beer he bought with it tastes like shit”
    Attached is a photo of some of the beer that I drank from the $50. It tasted fantastic!

  • Guest

    pic attached

  • HAHAHA. JERK

  • Sportpunter.com

    🙂

  • gil nichols

    Congratulations Father Steve.Hope all is going well .
    I would expect to see a much improved photo and text up top right shortly.

  • ahh good point
    Thanks

  • johan

    Congratulations Steve, great post made me laugh and spill my morning coffee cheers from a cloudy sweden

  • Thanks Johan, Hopefully the next post will be so funny you accidentally wee yourself a little, I can only hope. 🙂

  • Stewboss

    Interesting comment regarding the Scottish bets. I’m guessing you don’t think the various models have any edge in the SPL? Only time will tell but I’m not sure what you based this on…

  • Skeeve picks

    Congrats, mate! 🙂

  • Banner

    Congratulations, Steve !
    All the best with the new addition to your family.

  • Tony

    Well done on baby front Steve. Sleep is overrated anyway. Is there a minimum term for your Daily Profit service or is it just a month to month thing?

  • Thanks Tony, Right now it is month to month, but we all know these things need to be long term, I may institute a minimum 6 months subscription policy.

  • based of TFA and winabob analysis

  • Cheers

  • thanks

  • Andrew

    I will look forward to your review on GOWI. I can’t say I’ve been very impressed and have a tough decision to make about next year. It’s by no means a bad service but to say I’ve been left disappointed would be a slight under statement.

    I actually really like Keith and the way the service is run so chances are I will give it a go next year and hope Keith can get back to the form of previous years.

  • Guerrera

    Steve,

    Stumbled upon this website a few months ago and have been flicking through it quiet regularly now. Im interested in joining your dailyprofit service – Is there still a trial group/waiting list for the service or is it up and running? PS – Your link to the website is broken in this blog.

    Cheers.

  • Hey mate, the site is live now (although I am still working on the website), but the actual service part has been running for over 3 months now. Can you point me to where the broken link is? I would want to get that fixed.

    The site can be found at http://www.dailyprofit.com.au

  • Guerrera

    Ah now worries, i’ll take a look at it now then.

    “Right now the aussie bookies are throwing money at people, Dailyprofit.com.au shows you how to take advantage of that.”

    ^The link in that sentence of your post is broken. It’s not exactly hard to work out what the website is but just thought i’d give you the heads up on it.