Dec 24th – Dec 30th -$7,958.24

I hope you all had a very Merry Christmas or other season related holiday experience. My first Christmas as a dad was pretty awesome. Lots of presents and lots and lots of food. I also received the most dad related gifts possible, socks, undies, and a whipper snipper. It also felt like Christmas for my betting bank, as the night before I hit the $400,000 profit mark. But the Betting Grinches came back hard just a few days later and on my birthday no less. I’m not sure anyone has received a worse present than a $30,000 loss on their special day. It seems a lot of you guys bought yourself the best possible gift this year, a subscription to the dailyprofit service. It’s been one hell of a year. I’ll hope to get a yearly review out and some predictions for 2015 early in the new year.

We will start a little differently this week. Firstly a bug bear of mine is when tipsters only ever mention the positives, even when losing. Last week on Twitter I mentioned a great NFL day (we went 10-2), I was also happy to post this week when we went a shocking 4-6. If you’re happy to boast about the 1 good day, then you better be ready to let people know when you’re shit, and for most of these guys posting only winning days, they have a heap more losing ones. That brings me onto Keith and last nights email. It’s safe to say he has not had the best month. These months happen, I’m 100% sure we will see 3 or 4 of them for my service next season. That’s gambling. But I really hate the emails after a loss blaming everything else. I won’t reproduce the email here as it isn’t my property, but the general sentiment was.. “Boy were we unlucky last night, our teams were much better, hit the woodwork ,fumbled, so on and blah blah it isn’t me to blame.” Now if Keith had watched the NFL game we had bet on, like I had, he would have seen we were lucky to even get close, and for the Soccer game he was referring to. Let me put up the stats and you decide which team looked more likely to win (hint: ClubGOWI members bet on the other team).

In my opinion, I would have a little more respect for tipsters if they just carried on after a loss or were honest and just said “man, we lost last night, it happens.” But I have come to accept that the ClubGowi service does not like to show anything but positive (so positive in fact, it’s unbelievable) results. Each to their own really, but as long as readers understand that this seems to be a general practice among tipsters and they really do a lot of research before joining any service. 2015 is going to really piss off a lot of tipster and be an absolute god send to punters who like to follow them, as I will be releasing a new addition to this site. For those few honest tipsters (I follow many of them), this will also shed a light on your fantastic efforts in transparency and honesty.

OK, my last rant for 2014. Boy have I had some great rants this year. Let’s start the week with Sportpunter. The NBL has been a real disappointment this year, only because last season I made $50,000 from it. This week we lost $1,450. The last week of the NFL season produced a $4,750 loss and many people (me included) might think betting the last round in any sport is silly, as motivation becomes a factor. From what I have seen over the years, the results in these final rounds are just as good as any other round in the season. NHL totals has been amazing all season long, a further $6,200 profit this week brings the season ROI to 19%. NBA lost $1,200 and this is traditionally the time of year I pack up my ball and go home for this sport. I am hoping Jonno converts to the team based model so I can continue on next year.

After my ClubGowi blast, once again I did well only placing selected bets and made $1,800. PCG lost $2,000 and I believe this is my last month following Toms service. Tom isn’t completely to blame for me quitting, but my location, the odds recording and the rather poor results (official email selections) over the last season have helped my decision. I have what I believe to be a much better model with the Sportpunter service so do not need two sets of bets on the same sports. The service is cheap and I do believe if you are based in the UK/Europe or States and can’t afford the very expensive SP service, over the long term there should be profit to be made with PCG. Not all tipping services will suit everyone, I gave this one a good go, but my own circumstances made it untenable.

This season, most of the time I have been very lucky when the odds have not rebounded on a big bet. I do not have exact figures, but I believe I have saved a small fortune. But I still hate when I miss a bet on multiple systems and the odds on the other team become value and the big bet wins. That happened this morning with Brighton. I also managed to get on a lot of bets inplay this week which went onto draw. A number of draws really hurt TFA this week and at half time, it was looking like a very profitable week. Instead the service lost $7,700 this week. Football Elite didn’t do any better losing $3,000. A big surprise was Winabobatoo, it is usually correlated with TFA, but this week it made $2,200 profit. Football Investor made $1,100. My own method of backing opposing teams when their odds are pushed out by tipsters returned another $1,100 this week and over a very small sample of 44 bets is at 30.1% ROI. It seems I should have kept my mouth shut about these as since I introduced the idea, there have been hardly any opportunities. Lesson learnt and next time when I discover a new method, I think I will keep it to myself. Silly me for being so open.

Just one final post about the Dailyprofit service. Prices will rise Jan 1st as the service is about 1/3rd the price it should be. Even more so if you are from the UK or Europe, once the $33 AUD for Sportpunter picks is converted, it’s like the cost of 3 beers per month. I have noticed some price movements on selections recently and may have to cap members. In 2015 we will keep an eye on things but it appears it will be like every nightclub these days (1 in, 1 out), unless you are a smoking hot girl.

I hope you have an awesome new years eve and have had an amazing 2014 (I know I have). Here’s to an even better 2015.

Total Loss for the week was $7,958.24

[mc4wp_form]

Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $3,800,649.93
Profit/Loss: $39,600.38
POT: 1.04%
Bets Placed: 5543
Won: 1972
Lost: 2622
Half Payout: 45
Refunded: 904
Winning %: 42.9%
Total profit per day: $387,125.22 / 1644 = $235.47
Total Turnover: $18,143,393.30
Total ROI: 2.13%

NBL Totals $49,512.00 $(16,224.39) -32.8%
week profit/loss: -340

NBL Line $128,210.00 $20,189.74 15.7%
week profit/loss: -1111.60

NFL Totals $129,384.00 $16,521.79 12.8%
week profit/loss: -4028.11

NFL Line $65,089.00 $(142.72) -0.2%
week profit/loss: -726.56

NHL Totals $124,895.00 $23,707.19 19.0%
week profit/loss: 6224.81

NBA Totals $271,620.00 $15,174.23 5.6%
week profit/loss: -598.59

NBA H2H $174,856.00 $(4,339.62) -2.5%
week profit/loss: -627.81

ClubGowi $422,321.00 $8,544.98 2.0%
week profit/loss: 1801.06

GOWI $10,951.00 $(3,360.00) -30.7%
week profit/loss: 0

PCG $200,581.00 $(5,971.03) -3.0%
week profit/loss: -2000

Jason Kelly Golf $9,996.93 $(7,748.53) -77.5%
week profit/loss: 0

Betswot $8,498.00 $(6,743.00) -79.3%
week profit/loss: 0

FB Elite $99,011.00 $11,421.50 11.5%
week profit/loss: -3000

Football Value $30,000.00 $(8,205.00) -27.4%
week profit/loss: 0

TFA 21 $181,035.00 $(6,310.80) -3.5%
week profit/loss: -2440.50

TFA 41 $168,776.00 $(4,930.00) -2.9%
week profit/loss: -741

6-21-31 $102,857.00 $2,670.22 2.6%
week profit/loss: -1145

D1-D6 $62,500.00 $4,050.00 6.5%
week profit/loss: -3370

E1-E6 $46,440.00 $13,500.00 29.1%
week profit/loss: 0

Mike Lindley $43,000.00 $(1,289.50) -3.0%
week profit/loss: 204

WINABOBATOO $181,479.00 $(2,951.68) -1.6%
week profit/loss: 2060

FBI combo $83,500.00 $11,369.00 13.6%
week profit/loss: 3069

FBI Euro $85,000.00 $9,445.00 11.1%
week profit/loss: -1970

Odds pushed out $23,250.00 $7,008.00 30.1%
week profit/loss: 1067.50

Personal $21,875.00 $(2,958.90) -13.5%
week profit/loss: 0

Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0