Another really frustrating week. Tennis has been terrible and lost $3,500 this week. WTA has lost about $15,000 this year and after almost 2 years is close to going into negative territory. I remember last year the WTA model having up and down periods, so will wait it out till the end of this year and if it hasn’t made a profit then it will be time to stop following it. With me following much fewer models, I have become much more reliant on the ones I do use producing a consistent profit.

AFL made almost $3,000 profit this week. It continues it’s amazing run. The only let-down has been totals betting, which I was not going to follow, but Jonno said he had confidence in it. I’m not sure what to do with it, it just hasn’t performed. Will give it another month and if it isn’t in profit for the year then I will have to let it go. H2H was the stand out this week, with a St Kilda win last night adding a big chunk to the weeks profit.

The horses model again contributed another $1,000. I have had to start taking much worse odds as most of my UK books are closed. Will keep a close eye on if its feasible to keep following these picks when my winners are paying out at much reduced odds. The sad fact of any successful model (especially horse racing), is that eventually the bookies either close you down or you have to take such poor odds that it makes it impossible to profit.

The soccer season is pretty much over and FB Investor had a great last week. It still ended my first year in negative, but I will continue next season. This season I followed 5 models. FB Elite ($3515), Skeeve ($1814), Football Investor (-$3711), FB Strikezone ($2460) and Formlabblack (-2631). Total profit was $1446, after subscription costs that makes it a losing season. I will not be following formlabblack next season but will keep the others.

Another nice profit of almost $3,000 for the week, but as mentioned earlier, I am frustrated with a few things. With soccer ending, I now will only be betting on Tennis, Horses and AFL for the foreseeable future, I would prefer to have a more diversified portfolio, but don’t feel there is anything out there at the moment that is good enough for me to follow.

Total profit for the week was $2,722.59

AFL $101,628.00 $(277.56) -0.3%
week profit/loss: 2636.04

AFL line $369,735.00 $56,565.81 15.3%
week profit/loss: 1399.70

AFL Totals $119,814.00 $(13,489.10) -11.3%
week profit/loss: -1272.80

Tennis – ATP $732,572.13 $29,489.49 4.0%
week profit/loss: -2391.60

WTA – Tennis $738,399.00 $2,473.25 0.3%
week profit/loss: -1075.75

New Horses $140,261.68 $32,060.98 22.9%
week profit/loss: 1069

Football Investor $60,389.00 $(3,711.50) -6.1%
week profit/loss: 538

Strikezone $94,725.00 $2,460.20 2.6%
week profit/loss: 1820

Stats
Total bet amount: $4,975,714.94
Profit/Loss: $81,286.66
POT: 1.6%

Bets Placed: 13,018
Won: 5,305
Lost: 7,280
Half Payout: 4
Refunded: 429
Winning %: 42.2%

Profit per day: 81,286.66 / 685 = $118.49

Talk about a frustrating week. I went out on Saturday and missed placing Tennis bets. ATP ends up going 5 from 5 on non favs and I miss out on $2,500 profit. Last night I’m really busy and manage to get on just in time on both my horse bets and Tennis bets, resulting in a $4,500 loss. One missed night can have a dramatic impact and it seems that every night I miss are the great ones. There is really nothing I can do about it though as if I want to have a life then this is the price I need to pay. I can see this being a lot easier when I’m older and spend most nights at home. But right now it is really eating into my social life.

The positives were another great week for AFL lines, making over $6,000 again. H2H and Totals dragged this down by $2,000. Even after missing that big tennis win and last night producing another $2.5k loss, Tennis only ended the week $560 down.

Football investor has continued its terrible end of season form, as too has formlabblack. I’m tossing up whether I continue with these services next year or just bet bigger with the other 2 soccer services. Together they lost me another $4,200 this week.

Finally, Horses made a nice $1,900 profit, and that includes the $2,000 lost last night, so it could have been an amazing week.

My profit reached $85,000 again this week before falling over the last few days as seems to be the case every single week. It might pay to do some research and see if weekends have resulted in a profit over the course of almost two years. If not then I might be able to stop betting on those days and enjoy some free time.

Total profit for the week was $1,044.86

AFL $99,138.00 $(2,913.60) -2.9%
week profit/loss: -1308

AFL line $356,775.00 $55,166.11 15.5%
week profit/loss: 6107.80

AFL Totals $117,949.00 $(12,216.30) -10.4%
week profit/loss: -880

Tennis – ATP $725,963.13 $31,881.09 4.4%
week profit/loss: -151.29

WTA – Tennis $729,169.00 $3,549.00 0.5%
week profit/loss: -419.65

FB Elite $47,140.00 $3,515.55 7.5%
week profit/loss: 0

Skeeve $46,989.00 $1,814.59 3.9%
week profit/loss: 0

New Horses $134,138.68 $30,991.98 23.1%
week profit/loss: 1886

Football Investor $59,989.00 $(4,249.50) -7.1%
week profit/loss: -1000

Strikezone $93,525.00 $640.20 0.7%
week profit/loss: -2040

Formlabblack $66,835.00 $(2,631.87) -3.9%
week profit/loss: -1150

Stats
Total bet amount: $4,942,560.94
Profit/Loss: $78,564.07
POT: 1.6%

Bets Placed: 12,934
Won: 5,277
Lost: 7,225
Half Payout: 4
Refunded: 428
Winning %: 42.2%

Profit per day: 78,564.07 / 678 = $115.87

I guess this was the week I had to have, the first real disaster of 2012.

I started and stopped MLB betting, a couple of reasons, I don’t feel the edge is there for CRDOG any more, also he was putting up prices that were no where near what was available when picks came out, sometimes as far off as 20cent. There is no way I can make a profit if I’m betting into prices that different. Over the past 2 seasons, I made a fair bit from MLB but until things change i’ll be staying away. I think this is one area I have grown, before I was happy to bet on everything and feel I actually needed to be betting on lots of things. Now I will stop betting if something doesn’t feel right.

AFL continues its amazing run, this is seriously the best sporting model I have ever subscribed too. Another $6,000 profit on line betting. H2H and Totals lost a little. Totals would have been in profit about 3k, but my under bet lost by half a point with 50 seconds in the match to go, was very painful to watch.

Tennis has moved onto clay and this has moved my bank down considerably. An almost $7,000 loss this week. WTA has sucked badly this whole year and might go into negative if things don’t turn around.

Soccer also had a terrible week, losing a total of $3,300 across all models, the worst by far being formlabblack. Will need to reconsider this next season.

Lastly my Horses model also lost $1,500 for the week. I have been severely limited at all UK bookies and now have to take much worse prices for this service.

So a fairly big loss, but I was expecting this to come eventually. These weeks are part of the process. Looking forward to a better week.

Total loss for the week was $8,457.46

AFL $97,498.00 $(1,605.60) -1.6%
week profit/loss: -642

AFL line $343,385.00 $49,058.31 14.3%
week profit/loss: 6132.55

AFL Totals $117,069.00 $(11,336.30) -9.7%
week profit/loss: -765

Tennis – ATP $714,519.13 $32,032.38 4.5%
week profit/loss: -2366.97

WTA – Tennis $709,544.00 $3,968.65 0.6%
week profit/loss: -4519.56

Baseball $444,047.01 $11,834.15 2.7%
week profit/loss: 633

Baseball Line $587,551.00 $21,016.13 3.6%
week profit/loss: -2036.36

FB Elite $47,140.00 $3,515.55 7.5%
week profit/loss: -500

Skeeve $46,989.00 $1,814.59 3.9%
week profit/loss: 0

New Horses $126,082.68 $29,105.98 23.1%
week profit/loss: -1540

Football Investor $58,789.00 $(3,249.50) -5.5%
week profit/loss: -368

Strikezone $92,325.00 $2,680.20 2.9%
week profit/loss: -652

Formlabblack $64,585.00 $(1,481.87) -2.3%
week profit/loss: -1832.12

Stats
Total bet amount: $4,895,581.94
Profit/Loss: $77,519.21
POT: 1.6%

Bets Placed: 12,804
Won: 5,221
Lost: 7,152
Half Payout: 4
Refunded: 427
Winning %: 42.2%

Profit per day: 77,519.21 / 671 = $115.52

This is a fortnightly update as the site was down for the last few weeks due to the site being hacked and malware placed on the site. I hope I have removed it all now and we can get back to normal.

Apart from the hassle of trying to get this site back up, The last 2 weeks have been great. Thanks mainly to AFL lines. I did miss winning a very large bet on the Hawthorn game by 0.5 points, which was very painful. H2H made $1,400, Line betting made $10,100 and Totals added $1,500.

I have restarted following the Sportpunter Baseball model this year and it has been terrible. Firstly I am not getting anywhere near the odds posted and it has not been a good start. Over 2k down and If I cant get similar prices I might have to give this model up.

NHL, NBA and NBL betting has ended for me for the year. NHL won’t be bet again. NBA totals made a loss but I’ll continue on next season, H2H made a tiny profit. I believe most of the profit was made in the Line betting which I did not follow. NBL H2H will not be bet again, but the Totals did amazing, making $10,000 for the season. The Kelly percentage will be lowered for next season.

Tennis made $1,700 but am only around break-even for the year still. Soccer also did poorly as we get to the final few weeks of the major leagues.

All up, another great two weeks, and here is to reaching that $90,000 goal by next week and then onto the long sort after $100,000. For the majority of the models, I have kept a constant bank and Kelly size. Once I hit $100k, I will start using a moving bank with most of the bigger models.

Total profit for the week was $12,908.23

AFL $96,478.00 $(963.60) -1.0%
week profit/loss: 1374.30

AFL line $333,495.00 $42,925.76 12.9%
week profit/loss: 10109.50

AFL Totals $112,919.00 $(10,570.30) -9.4%
week profit/loss: 1551.60

Tennis – ATP $709,721.13 $34,399.35 4.8%
week profit/loss: 1748.83

WTA – Tennis $698,041.00 $8,488.21 1.2%
week profit/loss: -34.93

Baseball $441,266.01 $11,201.15 2.5%
week profit/loss: -1113.70

Baseball Line $584,303.00 $23,052.49 3.9%
week profit/loss: -1011.47

NHL – Totals $287,241.00 $(5,138.61) -1.8%
week profit/loss: 507.80

NBL $50,926.00 $(8,743.99) -17.2%
week profit/loss: 0

NBL Totals $54,027.00 $7,116.71 13.2%
week profit/loss 0

NBA Totals $291,522.00 $3,248.59 1.1%
week profit/loss 0

NBA H2H $72,076.00 $424.15 0.6%
week profit/loss 0

FB Elite $46,640.00 $4,015.55 8.6%
week profit/loss: 0

Skeeve $46,989.00 $1,814.59 3.9%
week profit/loss: -375

New Horses $121,578.68 $30,645.98 25.2%
week profit/loss: 1421

Football Investor $56,389.00 $(2,881.50) -5.1%
week profit/loss: -600

Strikezone $87,925.00 $3,332.20 3.8%
week profit/loss: 449.60

Formlabblack $59,085.00 $350.25 0.6%
week profit/loss: -611.50

Stats
Total bet amount: $4,857,691.94
Profit/Loss: $85,976.67
POT: 1.8%

Bets Placed: 12,672
Won: 5,176
Lost: 7,074
Half Payout: 4
Refunded: 418
Winning %: 42.3%

Profit per day: 85,976.67 / 664 = $129.48

Sorry guys, some idiots hacked into the site and installed malware and other trojans, been a real hassle to get it sorted. I think i’ve managed to delete everything but am not 100%. Really sorry if this affected any of your computers, I think the trojan just redirected people to other websites. Once again apologies, ill be working on getting the site back and working all day today. A fortnightly post will go up soon too.

Another quiet week with close to $2,000 profit. I really do prefer these boring weeks where the bank slowly rises and there are no giant swings.

AFL line betting continued its form from last year with $1,800 profit, but was brought back down by H2H and Totals. I will give totals one more month and if it hasn’t improved it’s getting the flick. I wasn’t going to follow it this year, but Jonno at sportpunter said it was a good model and his total models for other sports are really good so I have given it this test run.

Tennis continues to piss me off, another $2,800 lost and that brings the season to break even.

NHL and NBL added $500 each. I will be stopping NBA betting from here as Jonno said that the end of the season has not gone well for the model. Totals ended $1,143 down and H2H ended $424 in profit. Will give this another chance next season. MLB has started but with the sportpunter site down, I have not started betting it.

Formlab made a great comeback this week and Soccer in total was up almost $3,000. There’s only another month of games and I’ll be following the same models again next season.

So another nice profit for the week. No complaints here.

Total profit for the week was $1,819.12

AFL $92,200.00 $(2,337.90) -2.5%
week profit/loss: -487.50

AFL line $304,465.00 $32,816.26 10.8%
week profit/loss: 1797.50

AFL Totals $108,934.00 $(12,121.90) -11.1%
week profit/loss: -1017.60

Tennis – ATP $692,384.13 $32,650.52 4.7%
week profit/loss: -492

WTA – Tennis $684,159.00 $8,523.14 1.2%
week profit/loss: -2313.70

NHL – Totals $287,241.00 $(5,138.61) -1.8%
week profit/loss: 507.80

NBL $50,926.00 $(8,743.99) -17.2%
week profit/loss: 0

NBL Totals $54,027.00 $7,116.71 13.2%
week profit/loss 561.51

NBA Totals $291,522.00 $3,248.59 1.1%
week profit/loss -216.92

NBA H2H $72,076.00 $424.15 0.6%
week profit/loss 629.28

FB Elite $45,640.00 $4,015.55 8.8%
week profit/loss: 0

Skeeve $46,614.00 $2,189.59 4.7%
week profit/loss: 1714.75

New Horses $110,325.68 $29,224.98 26.5%
week profit/loss: 0

Football Investor $54,389.00 $(2,281.50) -4.2%
week profit/loss: -1760

Strikezone $85,125.00 $2,882.60 3.4%
week profit/loss: 572.40

Formlabblack $49,835.00 $961.75 1.9%
week profit/loss: 2323.50

Stats
Total bet amount: $4,768,434.94
Profit/Loss: $73,068.44
POT: 1.5%

Bets Placed: 12,455
Won: 5,083
Lost: 6,959
Half Payout: 4
Refunded: 409
Winning %: 42.2%

Profit per day: 73,068.44 / 650 = $112.41

A break even week in the AFL. After talking to Jonno at Sportpunter, I will be following totals this year but with a much reduced bank, ill use the same reduced bank for H2H bets and keep last years bank for the line bets. The goal for this year is to make about $30,000 profit from the AFL model.

Last nights WTA did very well, Tennis added about $2,000 profit this week. NHL lost $1,000 and NBA H2H went 0 from 14 and lost over $1,700 to go into negative territory for the year.

Soccer had an amazing week. FB Elite, Skeeve, FB Investor and Strikezone all in profit to the tune of $6,000. Only formlabblack disappointed with another $1,700 lost.

It feels good to be over $70,000, there are 3 more months until the 2 year mark of this journey and anything over $80,000 will seem like a win. The initial hope was to make $250 a day, so really after 2 years the bank should be at $182,500, but it has been a learning experience and I have made many costly mistakes. As the years keep going and my bank keeps growing, I feel that $50,000 to $100,000 per year will be an achievable goal.

Cant complain with a close to $3,000 profit for the week.

Total profit for the week was $2,758.77

AFL $90,310.00 $(1,850.40) -2.0%
week profit/loss: 13.50

AFL line $293,490.00 $31,018.76 10.6%
week profit/loss: -205

AFL Totals $106,074.00 $(11,104.30) -10.5%
week profit/loss: 121

Tennis – ATP $691,892.13 $33,142.52 4.8%
week profit/loss: 209

WTA – Tennis $675,140.00 $10,836.84 1.6%
week profit/loss: 1713.31

NHL – Totals $284,308.00 $(5,646.41) -2.0%
week profit/loss: -954.51

NBL $50,926.00 $(8,743.99) -17.2%
week profit/loss: 0

NBL Totals $53,424.00 $6,555.20 12.3%
week profit/loss 300.04

NBA Totals $285,519.00 $3,465.41 1.2%
week profit/loss 895.07

NBA H2H $70,764.00 $(205.13) -0.3%
week profit/loss -1710.49

FB Elite $44,640.00 $4,015.55 9.0%
week profit/loss: 1100

Skeeve $44,489.00 $474.84 1.1%
week profit/loss: 602

New Horses $110,325.68 $29,224.98 26.5%
week profit/loss: -1824

Football Investor $50,589.00 $(521.50) -1.0%
week profit/loss: 1616

Strikezone $81,125.00 $2,310.20 2.8%
week profit/loss: 2613.60

Formlabblack $44,835.00 $(1,361.75) -3.0%
week profit/loss: -1730.75

Stats
Total bet amount: $4,730,534.94
Profit/Loss: $71,249.32
POT: 1.5%

Bets Placed: 12,332
Won: 5,026
Lost: 6,895
Half Payout: 4
Refunded: 407
Winning %: 42.2%

Profit per day: 71,249.32 / 643 = $110.80

A nice strong profit for the week. But it is down to just two models. The AFL season started with a bang and almost $5,000 profit on the GWS line win. The only other model really performing was the UK Horse racing one, adding over $5,000. I have reached $30,000 profit with this model and am upping my stakes to $200 a bet. So these two models contributed $10,000, where did I lose the rest?

ATP ended the week well, with a nice win for Roddick over Federer to end the week up $932, but WTA continues its dismal form, losing a further $2560. Both models started the year fairly close but WTA has been pathetic while ATP has been amazing. All up on the year I am still up $1,200. A tiny amount but I’m waiting for WTA to start its eventual turnaround. NHL, NBL and NBA made tiny profits.

Soccer sucked badly this week, losing $2,350 in total. Can’t really complain though, an almost $7,000 week is great. The total did hit $70,000 profit for the first time before it slid back down, but I know it won’t be too long before it hits it again and then I’ll be on my way to $80k.

AFL starts properly this week so Tuesday’s next writeup should be interesting, as each week I’ll have between 10-25k worth of bets on these games. Add in MLB starting up and the swings are going to be huge. I just hope they are all positive ones.

Total profit for the week was $6,807.53

AFL $87,199.00 $(1,863.90) -2.1%
week profit/loss: 0

AFL line $283,065.00 $31,223.76 11.0%
week profit/loss: 4920

Tennis – ATP $689,893.13 $32,933.52 4.8%
week profit/loss: 932.90

WTA – Tennis $670,972.00 $9,123.53 1.4%
week profit/loss: -2560.19

NHL – Totals $279,944.00 $(4,691.90) -1.7%
week profit/loss: 374.19

NBL $50,926.00 $(8,743.99) -17.2%
week profit/loss: 0

NBL Totals $53,115.00 $6,255.16 11.8%
week profit/loss 180

NBA Totals $278,023.00 $2,570.34 0.9%
week profit/loss 735.05

NBA H2H $65,776.00 $1,505.36 2.3%
week profit/loss -441.27

FB Elite $43,640.00 $2,915.55 6.7%
week profit/loss: -487.60

Skeeve $43,239.00 $(127.16) -0.3%
week profit/loss: -1125

New Horses $108,239.68 $31,048.98 28.7%
week profit/loss: 5037

Football Investor $47,989.00 $(2,137.50) -4.5%
week profit/loss: 240.70

Strikezone $77,925.00 $(303.40) -0.4%
week profit/loss: -556

Formlabblack $39,585.00 $369.00 0.9%
week profit/loss: -422.25

Stats
Total bet amount: $4,694,042.94
Profit/Loss: $68,490.55
POT: 1.5%

Bets Placed: 12,195
Won: 4,966
Lost: 6,822
Half Payout: 4
Refunded: 403
Winning %: 42.1%

Profit per day: 68,490.55 / 636 = $107.68

A week in which the total profit reached about $65,000 then returned to where it started. Had some really close matches in the tennis that could have added an extra 3-5k to my profits.

This week sees the start of the AFL season. This will add lots of variance to my weekly figures, so I can expect to see more + and – $10,000 weeks. It has been the best model alongside Tennis that Sportpunter offer. This year the majority of my bank will be devoted to Line bets, a much smaller amount to H2H and an even smaller percentage to Totals betting. There is only the one game this week but a full round will start the week after.

Nothing of real interest happened this week so a short write-up.

Total loss for the week was $57.22

Tennis – ATP $681,351.13 $32,000.62 4.7%
week profit/loss: 1274.23

WTA – Tennis $661,861.00 $11,683.72 1.8%
week profit/loss: 322.89

NHL – Totals $273,802.00 $(5,066.09) -1.9%
week profit/loss: 33.52

NBL $50,926.00 $(8,743.99) -17.2%
week profit/loss: -350

NBL Totals $52,915.00 $6,075.16 11.5%
week profit/loss -250

NBA Totals $267,367.00 $1,835.29 0.7%
week profit/loss -1320.51

NBA H2H $62,359.00 $1,946.63 3.1%
week profit/loss 500.15

FB Elite $42,650.00 $3,403.15 8.0%
week profit/loss: -73

Skeeve $41,614.00 $997.84 2.4%
week profit/loss: 792

New Horses $103,052.68 $26,011.98 25.2%
week profit/loss: 1306

Football Investor $46,995.00 $(2,378.20) -5.1%
week profit/loss: -1000

Strikezone $75,125.00 $252.60 0.3%
week profit/loss: -691.6

Formlabblack $33,460.00 $811.25 2.4%
week profit/loss: -600.90

Stats
Total bet amount: $4,651,651.94
Profit/Loss: $61,683.02
POT: 1.3%

Bets Placed: 12,030
Won: 4,900
Lost: 6,729
Half Payout: 4
Refunded: 397
Winning %: 42.1%

Profit per day: 61,683.02 / 629 = $98.06

A great holiday and I’m thankful that my internet worked just enough to get bets on. If I am going to continue to travel while placing bets I’ll need to get much better internet and a laptop with a bigger screen and a mouse. Placing so many bets on a tiny screen is a royal pain in the arse. At one stage this week the profit was over $12,000. Before a pathetic run in the tennis, hitting 1 from the last 26 bets. Luckily Saturday produced some big upsets and a very healthy profit was recorded in the WTA.

NHL also made a very welcome return to form with $2.6k profit. NBA totals also made about the same amount, but was dragged down by the H2H bets. Soccer has continued to improve again and looks to be in the positive. FB Elite had an amazing week and contributed over $3.3k to this weeks profit. Football investor keeps hitting 1 or 2 of those long shots and has made a massive comeback to be close to break-even for the season. Sadly Strikezone has been on a poor run and is losing all its profit at the same time the other model is clawing back its losses. Skeeve made $700 and is back in front for the year. Another poor week for the Horse racing, but with Cheltenham coming up, I’m hoping for a stellar week and to reach the $30,000 profit mark from this amazing model.

So a great weekend getaway and some very healthy profit. Am glad to be back in front of my big screen and comfy chair for the next few weeks and hoping for this same sort of week again and to hit the $70,000 mark very soon.

Just a quick note on the sidebar info about how much I would have if I had deposited my starting bank of $50,000 into stocks or a savings account. I have made 8-12 times more money by betting then if I had followed these other methods of wealth creation. I do need to factor in all the time it takes to place the bets, but that is a massive difference. Also the market has made nothing like the 9% I have put in the year and a half I have been betting. I have managed to make an astonishing 123% ROI since beginning.

Total profit for the week was $8,963.79

Tennis – ATP $678,349.13 $30,726.39 4.5%
week profit/loss: -1661.42

WTA – Tennis $660,163.00 $11,360.83 1.7%
week profit/loss: 4112.67

NHL – Totals $270,651.00 $(5,099.61) -1.9%
week profit/loss: 2590.39

NBL $50,576.00 $(8,393.99) -16.6%
week profit/loss: 0

NBL Totals $52,665.00 $6,325.16 12.0%
week profit/loss 0

NBA Totals $258,958.00 $3,155.80 1.2%
week profit/loss 2873.82

NBA H2H $58,282.00 $1,446.48 2.5%
week profit/loss -811.42

FB Elite $41,650.00 $3,476.15 8.3%
week profit/loss: 3321

Skeeve $39,864.00 $205.84 0.5%
week profit/loss: 761

New Horses $97,454.68 $24,705.98 25.4%
week profit/loss: -2529

Football Investor $46,395.00 $(1,378.20) -3.0%
week profit/loss: 1414

Strikezone $73,125.00 $944.20 1.3%
week profit/loss: -1200

Formlabblack $27,463.00 $1,412.15 5.1%
week profit/loss: -471.24

Stats
Total bet amount: $4,632,041.94
Profit/Loss: $61,740.24
POT: 1.3%

Bets Placed: 11,910
Won: 4,854
Lost: 6,658
Half Payout: 4
Refunded: 394
Winning %: 42.2%

Profit per day: 61,740.24 / 622 = $99.26