Sep 29th – Oct 5th
The week started off terrible with 3 losing baseball days which cost over $6,000. This included my biggest ever single stake on a H2H of $2600, which lost. Then once again the model turned around and clawed back most of what was lost. The only other betting was on Soccer, which has been a steady profit maker since inception a little over 2 weeks ago. Soccer H2H is the one making all the profit while both Unders and Overs Total betting is in the red, but a few good days and they will be back in the black. After $80,000 bet on soccer, I’m at $5058 profit for 6.26% POT.
A few milestones have been hit this week. I have now bet over half a million dollars and 1000 bets. I would have to say that this is now a statistically significant number. This has given me confidence in what I’m doing, and hopefully I can say the same thing when I’m at 1million turnover and 2000 bets.
The AFL and NRL seasons are now over. My team won the NRL final and my city is still in party mode. After 31 long long years we finally have something to celebrate. I sure can’t say the same about my betting on the NRL this year. I started tracking and betting on 1 july and since then a total of $10,205 was bet for a loss of $4425. I was only betting on dogs throughout this time as the models previous history suggested that this was the most profitable avenue. Next year i’ll have another look at the stats and see if I will continue to bet on it. AFL on the other hand had an incredible year, $41950 bet for a profit of $8253. A 19.68% POT. Just amazing. Can’t wait till next season.
The regular baseball season is over and there will only be a few small bets on the play-off games. The NHL season starts in a few days and NBA is a month away. Next week I will wrap up what has been a tremendous year of baseball betting.
Total profit for the week was $2615
Total bet amount: $553,320.01
Bets Placed: 1,090
Half Payout: 1
Winning %: 49.3%
Average Odds: 2.39
Average Win odds: 2.18
Average Losing odds: 2.63
Average Bet size: $509.85
Average win Bet size: $527.98
Average loss Bet size: $492.15
Profit per day: 35,294.83 / 97 = $363.86