Oct 2nd – Oct 8th +$11,867.72
Waking up on Sunday mornings are always a scary experience, and the last few months they have filled me with dread. Finally this week I had the sort of Sunday I was expecting. TFA started its comeback and Combo also delivered the goods.
We will start with the other sports first. As mentioned last week, I have stopped following Tennis until I return home in 2 weeks. I also missed the Golf this week which saved me about $500. I managed to get up early enough to place NFL this week and wish I hadn’t, a massive $4,200 loss with 0 from 3 and the totals were not even close to winning. Not sure this model is any good to be honest, and that’s rare to say about a Sportpunter model. The NRL finished this week and a $600 win to end the season. I think the season ended about even but will do a full review in the coming days along with an AFL review. Once I get home, the NHL and NBL totals will be waiting for me.
Onto Soccer and finally a winning week. The only loser once again was Skeeve and honestly, things do not look good. With TFA, I could see some results that were really close and knew it would eventually have a good week and things had the chance to turn around, I can’t say the same with Skeeve, this isn’t bad luck or close games, it seems to be poor analysis from Skeeve. As always I will see it through till the bank dies or the season ends, but I feel that my time with Skeeve is very limited. After 3 seasons and nothing to show for it, only a miracle turnaround will see me continuing. A small $1,000 loss this week, and now it’s fingers crossed for a quick turnaround. I missed an Elite winner and loser on the Friday games, but still made a tiny profit of $360 this week. It’s slowly showing signs of a comeback, but this is another system that really needs to perform this season. When Football Investor Combo performs, then TFA usually also performs as these systems are very similar. This week Combo made a great $4,000 profit from a small amount of bets, even better was TFA with a $12,200 profit, the games that lost were also very close and that result could easily have been +$20,000. TFA is still my worst performing Soccer model for gross loss, but that’s only because of the high turnover. Hopefully this coming week can replicate last week’s results and we get back to evens and look towards that $190,000 profit that the pre-season analysis showed.
Very happy to have a profitable week, had forgot what it felt like. Hopefully that $60,000 loss can be wiped away in the same timeframe it took to lose it and I can get back to making some profit. Only two weeks left until I’m home and looking forward to it.
Total profit for the week was $11,867.72
Stats Year 4
Total bet amount: $837,007.00
Profit/Loss: $(7,749.54)
POT: -0.93%
Bets Placed: 1,294
Won: 499
Lost: 778
Half Payout: 0
Refunded: 17
Winning %: 39.1%
Total profit per day: $179,772.55 / 1196 = $150.31
Total Turnover: $10,586,836.53
Total ROI: 1.70%
ATP – SP $121,577.00 $10,116.95 8.3%
week profit/loss: 0
FB Elite $13,000.00 $(3,340.00) -25.7%
week profit/loss: 360
Skeeve $31,800.00 $(12,301.80) -38.7%
week profit/loss: -1056
Combo FI $9,000.00 $1,721.50 19.1%
week profit/loss: 3935
TFA $119,171.00 $(17,976.00) -15.1%
week profit/loss: 12,253
OTP NRL $32,388.00 $4,019.22 12.4%
week profit/loss: 599.72
NFL Totals $31,679.00 $(10,173.17) -32.1%
week profit/loss: -4224
NP Win $6,748.00 $(2,155.00) -31.9%
week profit/loss: 0
So how is the cruise? I have never been on a cruise ship but I thought cruise ships are mostly filled with old couples in their retirement years.
You are 100% correct. Especially long ones, there are maybe 3 other couples our age and then everyone else is well into their 70s and 80s.
just come across your blog, love it mate, very interesting journey so far.
RE: Golf, Nicko is a good bloke and proven winner, golf can be such a grind but his start of the year was sensational, I see you are struggling to get some of the prices, I am not a fan of him using random UK books that dont take a bet as his bets but you can usually get better prices on BF especially later in the week, Ive found the trendy picks ~40/1 to be the ones that shorten up so its just something you need to maybe pay attention to on twitter as there are usually a couple trendy picks that lots are on which do shorten up quite a bit.
seems like you hopped on at a poor time as if you had found him at the start of the year your favourite sport would probably be golf!
keep up the good work, will be reading from now on
Hi Jamie, thanks for the comment.
At the moment the Golf isn’t performing, but with such large odds this is understandable. I’ve found the same thing with the shorter odds, they usually come in very quickly. Like you said, the longer odds are usually attainable. All my UK accounts were closed a long time ago and the Australian books don’t price up golf until much later in the week and the odds are poor. BF is good on big tournaments but there is no liquidity early for the other tournaments.
I’m sure another win is right around the corner.
Thanks again for reading the blog.
Steve