Jan 8th – Jan 14th -$5,945.29
So just over 6 months in and $2 million has been bet. Just over $10,000 a day and nothing at all to show for it. After the Soccer this week, I’m actually relived to be where I am. The Australian Open started and the first day was a welcome relief. I’ve also had a few run ins with Keith who runs ClubGOWI. All that and more in the words below.
Lets start with the sport I love to hate. Soccer sucked massively this week. $17,000 loss for the week. Skeeve says in his emails that people sending him complaints doesn’t do anyone any good. Actually, I’m sure it helps the person sending the email a fair bit, I don’t send emails, but vent my frustration on this site. Skeeve has also said he no longer reads blogs that refer to him, so he doesn’t see these rants, and really, they are not for him, they are much more for me. Get ready for this weeks one… Over the past 2 years he has been terrible, whatever knowledge or edge he had has all but dissipated. He will continue to get a few clients over the coming years as his long term numbers still look good, but how good he was 5 years or more ago has absolutely no bearing on how he has gone in the past few years. For the amount he charges, there is no value in his service whatsoever. I’m not saying I won’t make a profit this season, but I do know that long term I won’t. I will finish off this season in the hopes of his so called fantastic second half of the years and then I will be done. A $7,200 loss for the week and $10,000 since he upped stakes again. Football Elite is pretty much in the same boat, living off long past results. I see a more simplistic approach here and in my mind it still has potential. If I can break even or better then I will really have to think about its future. Last season was pathetic and if things don’t turn around soon then this season could eclipse even that. A small $840 loss this week. Combo FI just trudges along with small profits each week, I’ll take 5.3% ROI over a season any day. $217 profit. I keep defending TFA, I’m not sure if it’s because I really want it to work and make some real profit, or because I like Graeme, whatever the case, if it doesn’t get some big wins in the next few months, I may also have to say goodbye to this service. An $8,000 loss this week. I sent an email to Keith who runs ClubGOWI asking where he gets his advised odds as I place bets the second they come out and rarely find the prices he says are available, I have also heard the same from 5 different people following the service. He was quite abrupt with me, saying I was accusing him of being dodgy. I was just asking to see if I could get these prices. I told him I was getting an average of 3-5% worse and on some games 10%, he said it was almost impossible to get 10% worse and then in the next line said he doesn’t track so wouldn’t know. I do track and do know. Again, I’m not saying that I won’t make a profit, I actually see potential in his service, but if anyone is thinking of subscribing then realise that the recorded odds are not achievable. A $1,150 loss and still yet to see any profit from this service. Well that’s my week of Soccer and Sunday morning things were looking terrible, with a loss of over $20,000 for the week. Luckily a few other sports came to the party.
All I can say once again is thank the lord for Jonno over at Sportpunter. The NBL model had a killer week, a massive $8,500 profit even with me having to spread my bets over many bookies and taking terrible odds. It’s a pain in the arse at times to place bets, but he is amazing at these niche sports. The bigger sports didn’t go so well. NFL lost $370, NBA lost $880 and NHL made $2,100 but is still well down for the year. His ATP model started the year terribly, but day 1 of the Australian Open produced $7,000 profit, I had another big winner but had bet at a match complete bookie and the other guy retired in the 3rd set, that one hurt. A $2,000 profit for the week in the Tennis and hoping for a nice big win for this tournament.
Nics picks lost another $425 and is over the $10,000 lost mark. Got very close this week though, hoping for a strong start from him as my patience is wearing thin. I have been advised of another golf tipster who has shown potential and instead of quitting completely, I might double down and follow both. That’s just how I roll, instead of making the smart decision, I just throw more money at the problem in the hopes of finding that elusive great tipster. It’s happened once and I’ll continue to hope lightning can strike twice until my bank is depleted.
So that’s it for another week, in the end a $6,000 loss was a relief. This week the aussie open will contribute an extra 5k, Skeeve, TFA, FB Elite and ClubGOWI will all perform exceptionally and contribute $15,000 and the other sports will add another $10,000 profit for one of those rare +$20,000 weeks. Yep, I am on my 4th cup of coffee and may be delusional.
Total loss for the week was $5,945.29
Stats Year 4
Total bet amount: $2,021,744.00
Bets Placed: 3,404
Half Payout: 9
Winning %: 38.0%
Total profit per day: $185,706.14 / 1294 = $143.51
Total Turnover: $11,771,573.53
Total ROI: 1.58%
ATP – SP $206,307.00 $9,297.14 4.5%
week profit/loss: 2055.08
FB Elite $112,000.00 $(13,460.00) -12.0%
week profit/loss: -840
Skeeve $57,040.00 $(8,532.10) -15.0%
week profit/loss: -7200
Combo FI $68,590.00 $3,617.50 5.3%
week profit/loss: 217.50
TFA $396,293.00 $(28,031.00) -5.34%
week profit/loss: -7952.50
ClubGowi $71,540.00 $(1,695.50) -2.4%
week profit/loss: -1158.80
NFL Totals $104,169.00 $(707.94) -0.7%
week profit/loss: -368.70
NP Win $14,973.00 $(10,380.00) -69.3%
week profit/loss: -425
NHL Totals $207,255.00 $(10,621.03) -5.1%
week profit/loss: 2092.02
NBL Totals $69,117.00 $11,257.45 16.3%
week profit/loss: 5946.40
NBL Line $55,640.00 $17,996.05 32.3%
week profit/loss: 2574
NBA Totals $95,118.00 $(2,306.00) -2.4%
week profit/loss: -664.72
NBA H2H $54,170.00 $7,605.00 14.0%
week profit/loss: -220.57