June 11th – June 17th +$15,626.18

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16 Responses

  1. Tom says:

    I hope you can start getting on PCG’s emails soon, I think you’ll find he’s just as good, possibly better than Gowi in the long run.

  2. Steve says:

    at the moment I can’t bet the early games. The bot is taking much longer then expected, still months away it looks like.
    That’s a big call. Would love some consistent returns.

  3. Mariano says:

    I came to the comments section to write exactly the same!! I started wth PCG about 2 months ago and couldn’t be any happier with them so far with a profit of +18 units.
    The best thing is that the prices barely move and maybe sometimes I get a little lower odds but many times I get bigger ones as well.

  4. Steve says:

    Yes, that’s correct.

    My only concern is not stating odds for line bets, these seem to move dramatically for me.

  5. Tom says:

    That’s also my main issue, I’ve found it quite hard in the past to get the same results as he does, especially outside of MLB where it’s mostly line bets.

    His units are a bit of a pain too, I wish 1 unit could be the same as I use for Gowi, but usually later in the MLB season there will be regular 2.5 and even 3 unit picks. So to avoid later overstaking, for most of the season you need to understake.

  6. Steve says:

    I was not aware of this. I’m also weary of changing stake size, why would a bet later in the season be 3 times more value? It would have to offer so much more value then the others, this also means that it is really up to how he goes late in the season to see if it is a winning year.

  7. Tom says:

    I suppose it has to do with the model getting current season data.

    I just looked back at last year and by this point 90% of bets were 2 or more units. That said, it was a different situation as we were down about 30 units by june, seeing were up about 30 at this point it’s probably smart not to be increasing bet sizes.

  8. Steve says:

    Do you believe he was chasing losses? How did you go last season?

  9. Tom says:

    I don’t think so, I’ve been with him a few years and the norm seems to be 2 units by this point. He often shares his theory about reducing units during good runs and increasing during bad, you can call that chasing if you want but I don’t think that’s really fair.

    Horrifyingly I lost all my records from most of last year with a HD failure, from memory I made about 20 units, like you I missed a lot of the early bets.

  10. Steve says:

    TOM, rarr. backups..
    If you don’t already, install dropbox and have your spreadsheet in there. Then create a shortcut on your desktop to it.

    Thanks for the info

  11. Mihai says:

    Guys, on the PCG baseball , do you bet only the total bets ( over/ under), or do you bet all the bets, including the winning teams?
    From what i’ve noticed in the last 2 months, he is + only on totals, am i right?

  12. Steve says:

    I bet everything.
    For me, his H2H bets are down big, the others are slightly in profit.

  13. Mihai says:

    maybe the H2H bets are not very good then?

  14. Steve says:

    not enough data. After a full season then I can say if they are good or not.

  15. Profitcsinalo says:

    Hello Steve,

    Great blog, I’m enjoying your posts.

    How do you determine optimal bank and stake size for the different portfolio elements? Different tipsters needs different bank size and unit size. How do you balance the tipsters to produce optimal returns and minimise risk?

    I have some good soccer tipster (some is in your portfolio, too), but still searching for a good tennis tipster. My biggest problem with good tipsters is the liquidity and fast dropping odds. Tennis is very best in liquidity, so a good tennis tipster would increase my profits.

    Unfortunately I couldn’t use racing tipsters anymore because all of my accounts limited (pseudo accounts too). A good racing tipster would be great who could produce profits with BetFair Starting Price.

    Anyone tried Cashmaster Racing? They state that could make profit with BSP. http://www.cash-master-racing.com/

  16. Steve says:

    I don’t believe mine are optimal. I’ve gone on gut feeling most of the time. With new tipsters, i rely on past results (if I can prove they are true) to see what the average return in points would be per season. Then I see what I would need to bet to make $50,000 profit from it. If it falls within my average betsize then that’s what I go with.

    There will never be a profitable BSP horse racing tipster, not long term at least. There may be individuals making a profit, but as soon as something that could make a profit BSP becomes a service, that in itself would kill it.

    Sadly horse racing in the UK is only for people just starting. The real future is in the sports market.

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