March 2014 Review +$23,068.40

March is the 5th month in a row of profit. Things are really starting to come together for the portfolio and are repeating the same patterns as previous years. The month started with a bang on day 1 and then went on to lose it all by the middle of the month and then made it all back at the end. If you look at the graph you can easily see which days were midweek as they are the ones with the steepest declines. March’s tally takes the profit since Nov 1st to $144,000.

With the start of the AFL, NRL and Super 15, the turnover was 30% up on the previous month ($517,608.50). It should remain at this level for the next month before a big drop as the Soccer season ends. The profit was $23,068.40 at 4.46% ROI.

This month we had 6 out of the 8 sports generate a profit. The only ones to lose money were the Soccer and Basketball models. All the rest performed exceptionally well. They showed that variance produces a massive impact even when looking at results over a month. We had return on investments of 91.2%, 73.5%, 62.1% and 55%. These are clearly unsustainable for a season but are more then welcome to stick around for as long as they like.

The big wins came courtesy of the NHL, Rugby Union, NRL, AFL and Golf. The NHL model has had some dramatic swings this season, it’s good to see it round out the year with an upswing. The start of the AFL season proper has not set the world on fire like I expected. The fact that I am unhappy with a 7.9% return shows what I have come to expect from this service. I should have followed my own rules in regards to NBA betting and stopped at the start of the year, I didn’t and paid the price for it. NBL also did not have a great month nearing the end of its season. I notice this a lot with sports, results tend to change at the end of the season as some teams have motivation to make it to the playoffs while others just want the season to be over and done with, perhaps an angle to look at a little more when time permits. The Rugby Union model was amazing this month with a heap of dogs winning. Golf also made a nice profit and I’m hoping for a more consistent return in the months to come.

Last month Soccer went well but it crashed back down again in March. Football Elite and Skeeve had good months and moved into profit for the year, but Football Investor seems to be repeating the end to last season. Can’t complain as it has had a great year, but maybe something to look at for Stewboss in regards to commitment levels for players at the end of the season. ClubGOWI made a small loss and TFA was once again the main culprit losing $23,500 for the month (but I think he has kicked himself enough for his March results).

March produces what I hope will come to be known as an average month. It falls within my 2-5% ROI figure I assume I can make long term and even though the graph shows how crazy a month can be, I understand that these fluctuations can happen even over a 30 day period. Hopefully the April report sees me push over the $100,000 profit mark and well on my way towards $150,000.

Combined Totals
AFL $91,073.00 $7,155.41 7.9%
Tennis $42,695.00 $2,085.65 4.9%
Soccer $260,566.00 $(17,239.00) -6.6%
Basketball $64,266.00 $(8,288.48) -12.9%
NRL $14,749.00 $8,115.65 55.0%
Golf $6,311.50 $5,759.00 91.2%
NHL $21,053.00 $13,070.27 62.1%
Rugby Union $16,895.00 $12,409.90 73.5%

Individual Models
ATP – SP $42,695.00 $2,085.65 4.9%
AFL H2H – SP $13,700.00 $5,512.65 40.2%
AFL Line – SP $77,373.00 $1,642.76 2.1%
FB Elite $60,000.00 $8,850.00 14.8%
Skeeve $31,060.00 $4,341.30 14.0%
Combo FI $24,000.00 $(5,440.50) -22.7%
6-22 $3,000.00 $(312.50) -10.4%
7-21 $5,250.00 $(1,487.50) -28.3%
7-22 $1,750.00 $57.50 3.3%
8-21 $1,750.00 $1,307.50 74.7%
8-22 $500.00 $602.50 120.5%
31-42 $15,250.00 $(9,063.00) -59.4%
33-41 $3,250.00 $(1,142.50) -35.2%
33-42 $3,250.00 $(1,142.50) -35.2%
TOX $12,750.00 $(2,426.50) -19.0%
STOY $11,750.00 $(1,473.00) -12.5%
STOZ $16,500.00 $(7,219.50) -43.8%
D3-D6 $3,500.00 $(997.50) -28.5%
D3-D7 $2,750.00 $(247.50) -9.0%
NP Win $2,981.50 $5,299.00 177.7%
NBL Totals $8,518.00 $1,345.75 15.8%
NBL Line $23,564.00 $(4,026.84) -17.1%
NBA Totals $19,860.00 $(588.96) -3.0%
NBA H2H $11,524.00 $(5,589.63) -48.5%
NHL Totals $21,853.00 $13,641.47 62.4%
ClubGowi $67,586.00 $(985.30) -1.5%
Rugby SP $16,895.00 $12,409.90 73.5%
NRL SP $14,749.00 $8,115.65 55.0%