Sep 25th – Oct 1st -$12,123.24

Cruise ship internet was invented to frustrate the life out of the most relaxed person in the world. Even though it has saved me from an even bigger loss this week, I wish I had just stopped betting the day I left on this 5 month trip. The internet on board this ship is charged at 75c a minute. The speed of the Internet is even more idiotic then the price. It takes 5 minutes just to log into my Pinnacle account, then another 5 to place each bet. As I can’t even have two pages loading at once, all my bets now have to be placed with the one sports-book which is costing me even more because of worse prices. My mistake for thinking that we now lived in a world with a bare minimum of dial up internet.

On the plus side it has saved me a $1,000 loss from OTP NRL, $1,000 from FB Elite and $1,800 from Skeeve, but has cost me $2,500 from the AFL model. I’ve decided to just bet the soccer for the duration of this cruise as Tennis is just too much work every day and the prices on Pinnacle are no longer anywhere near the best odds. The AFL season is over and the NRL season only has the Grand Final to go. If it’s possible I will try and place the Golf and NFL bets. NHL starts this week but I will wait until I get home before following the totals.

So another disaster week and I’m almost ready to throw all the Soccer models overboard. Elite lost $720 but should have been a loss of $1,720. I’m sick of complaining about Skeeve, but a monkey flinging poo at a dartboard would have a better win rate then him at the moment. Another $600 loss but that should have really been a loss of $2,400. So the figures at the end of the season will flatter him. Combo Football Investor had it’s first real week worth of bets and it joined in the Soccer carnage, losing $2,100 (should have been $2,600) and TFA, ahh TFA, there’s no two ways to put it, it sucks balls right now. With $100,000 worth of bets and a negative 30% ROI, things are not looking good, it will take months of fantastic results just to get back evens, if that happens at all. It is 1/3rd of the way to hitting its bank and right now in my mind it’s 50/50 to do that. It lost another $10,000 this week. Soccer in total is $47,388.30 down after only a few weeks into the season. OUCH.

ATP made $3,700, MLB made $1,350 in its last week of the season for me and NFL lost $3,400, Golf also lost $650.

What a run of terrible results. But I won’t be giving up just yet. Still another $168,000 to lose before I break even and declare the last 4 years a waste of time. The opportunity cost of the hours spent placing bets has been massive, but the risk/reward is still there. As I have copious amounts of internetless time on this ship, I managed to do some analysis to get some perspective on the last few weeks. Those results will follow in a separate post.

Onto next week and what will probably be another massive negative, but then again, things were going so well before the downturn, hopefully it recovers just as quickly.

Total loss for the week was $12,123.24

Stats Year 4
Total bet amount: $801,045.00
Profit/Loss: $(19,617.26)
POT: -2.45%
Bets Placed: 1,221
Won: 466
Lost: 739
Half Payout: 0
Refunded: 16
Winning %: 38.7%
Total profit per day: $167,904.83 / 1189 = $141.21
Total Turnover: $10,550,874.53
Total ROI: 1.59%

ATP – SP $121,577.00 $10,116.95 8.3%
week profit/loss: 3764.24

FB Elite $11,000.00 $(3,700.00) -33.6%
week profit/loss: -720

Skeeve $27,000.00 $(11,245.80) -41.7%
week profit/loss: -600

Combo FI $4,000.00 $(2,213.50) -55.3%
week profit/loss: -2103.50

TFA $99,871.00 $(30,229.00) -30.2%
week profit/loss: -9,845.50

OTP NRL $31,750.00 $3,419.50 10.8%
week profit/loss: 0

MLB H2H $147,621.00 $(19,370.24) -13.1%
week profit/loss: 1775.04

MLB Totals $115,865.00 $(1,927.87) -1.7%
week profit/loss: -405.52

NFL Totals $27,455.00 $(5,949.17) -21.7%
week profit/loss: -3338

NP Win $6,748.00 $(2,155.00) -31.9%
week profit/loss: -650