Dec 11th – Dec 17th -$14,757.67
Well it was only a matter of time before this happened again. A shit of a week and back out to an uncomfortable level of loss. The main culprit was the woeful Football Elite. But a few other sports added to the carnage. I’m pretty much over the swings now, they have happened so often and I just assume I am going to keep losing, so I get pissed off for a day or two and then just reset to my normal pessimistic attitude. The only control I have is whether I stop following a model, as none of them have reached their betting banks yet, I just have to keep plugging away and keep dreaming of that elusive turnaround.
May as well start with the Soccer and with what is probably the worst week ever for Football Elite. 9 losses and 1 push ($9,000 loss). It looks like Matt has received some abuse for the results this week if his email is anything to go off. I’m really pissed at myself. I was going to stop following at the end of last season as the signs were there that any edge might have been gone, but decided to go another season and halved my stakes. I really should have just stopped. But as always, the bank isn’t dead yet and things could easily turn around. Will wait out the second half of the season (hopefully) and more then likely say bye to it at the end of the year. It would take a +20 point return to sway me to stay and that is highly unlikely. The same thinking is applied to Skeeve. Only the one bet for a $1,200 loss this week. Skeeve isn’t far off a profit this year and his second half of the season has always been great, but unless there is close to a $20,000 profit by the end of the season, it will be scrapped. For the price and the performance over the last few years, it is not worth it. Combo FI produced the only Soccer profit of the week, a whopping $600. TFA was close to profit, but a 10 man Stevenage lost their lead in the 97th minute and lost me $7,000 profit. TFA ended the week $1,750 down. I have stopped Insider Betting, but have continued with ClubGOWI, and it has had a shit start, another $2,000 lost this week. Always seems the case that I jump in after a good run.
Talking about jumping in after a good run, Nics Picks Golf has been horrendous since I joined, with just the one win and now over $10,000 lost. I’m really ready to let this one go as I have not seen anything of value in this service. Can’t complain as it’s a free service and we all know how well they have done for me in the past. Stupid me really. I broke my own rules and am paying for it.
American sports were hit and miss this week. NHL Totals has lost close to $10,000 over the last 2 weeks, $3,900 of that this week. NFL made $560 profit and NBA added $2,600. NBL broke about even for the week.
Not looking like a merry Christmas for my P/L graph. Will have to hope for that same Christmas miracle that happened last year, but the likelihood is very slim. I’m sure I said the same thing last year, but I’m positive you can guess what I’ll be wishing for this Christmas.
Total loss for the week was $14,757.67
Stats Year 4
Total bet amount: $1,614,801.00
Profit/Loss: $(27,070.11)
POT: -1.68%
Bets Placed: 2,709
Won: 965
Lost: 1675
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 67
Winning %: 36.6%
Total profit per day: $160,451.98 / 1266 = $126.73
Total Turnover: $11,364,630.53
Total ROI: 1.41%
FB Elite $86,000.00 $(8,905.00) -10.4%
week profit/loss: -9000
Skeeve $44,440.00 $(2,994.10) -6.7%
week profit/loss: -1200
Combo FI $45,090.00 $(1,910.00) -4.2%
week profit/loss: 595
TFA $318,193.00 $(39,499.00) -12.22%
week profit/loss: -1746
Insider Betting $5,500.00 $(2,213.50) -40.2%
week profit/loss: 0
ClubGowi $21,840.00 $(3,066.00) -14.0%
week profit/loss: -2040
NFL Totals $85,894.00 $(4,228.61) -4.9%
week profit/loss: 560.27
NP Win $14,448.00 $(9,855.00) -68.2%
week profit/loss: -825
NHL Totals $138,177.00 $(15,314.54) -11.1%
week profit/loss: -3,908.99
NBL Totals $53,581.00 $2,551.75 4.8%
week profit/loss: -3260
NBL Line $41,238.00 $17,730.67 43.0%
week profit/loss: 3422.20
NBA Totals $72,044.00 $(1,261.83) -1.8%
week profit/loss: 2014.51
NBA H2H $40,977.00 $7,201.20 17.6%
week profit/loss: 630.34
test
Strange question but what were the 9 losses if you don’t mind me asking? I follow winabobatoo ratings and just curious as to whether the same sides were recommended across both services. Have you looked at Winabobatoo? This season is not as great as past have been but very professionally run in the way they send out magazines etc. Only issue as always is getting the advertised odds which always affects the actual ROI to that touted. There are some nice articles included to help with the betting IQ in the same fashion you mentioned about ClubGowi the other week.
Montpellier
Hannover
Mainz
Hoffenheim DNB (Refunded)
Newcastle
Nantes
Norwich
Aston Villa DNB
Genoa
Tottenham
I haven’t looked at winabobatoo. If I can’t get within 5c on average then these services are garbage in my mind. This is also the problem with following SBC recommendations. They only track the fact that the odds were available, the don’t actually try and place a sizable bet on it.