May 2014 Review +$1,974.86
May started so well and I was on track for a massive month. Halfway through the month I was sitting on over $25,000 profit but then AFL started to under-perform and we dropped all the way back down. On the last day of the month we lost $12,000 to end up just ahead for the month. So even though this month was just above break even, the consecutive profits continues and we are now up to month 7 of profit.
Once again turnover was slightly down due to the end of the Soccer season. Next month will be even lower still before things start to pick up again. I turned over $425,306 in May for a profit of $1,974.86 which is a 0.46% ROI.
AFL had a poor month, losing $7,724. The line bets broke even, we just couldn’t get a win with the H2H bets. A $44,000 turnaround from the previous month. Tennis performed better but that may be due to me changing tactics to only bet probabilities over 50%. A $3,400 profit at 4.3%. The NRL continued its poor run, it started the season so well, but the last two months have seen it give a lot of the profit back. The Union on the other hand continues to make a nice profit and made a further $2,200 at 21.1%.
The Soccer season ended with a better then expect profit and brought the seasons losses to something that doesn’t resemble a complete disaster. $7,200 at 9.4%.
With 3 separate systems for Baseball we saw a small loss on high turnover. The Sportpunter totals made up for the losses from the other two. A $600 loss at -0.6%.
Ahh Golf, this was the month I missed a winner, quit a system which cost me another winner and still managed to almost break even. I moved to two new tipsters and immediately had my first win. Golf seems to be my nemesis at the moment. $400 lost at -6.4%.
A month like May was bound to happen sooner or later. You can not expect to win large amounts of money month after month. June has started terrible and I just hope it pans out in the exact inverse of this month. I’m not sure the 7 month run will last to 8.
[mc4wp_form]
Combined Totals
AFL $128,331.00 $(7,724.33) -6.0%
Tennis $78,814.00 $3,394.36 4.3%
Soccer $76,422.00 $7,206.99 9.4%
Basketball $3,500.00 $1,332.50 38.1%
Baseball $106,671.00 $(626.41) -0.6%
NRL $7,405.00 $(3,620.10) -48.9%
Golf $6,955.00 $(444.50) -6.4%
NHL $6,700.00 $244.00 3.6%
Rugby Union $10,508.00 $2,212.35 21.1%
Individual Models
ATP – SP $74,666.00 $3,440.36 4.6%
AFL H2H – SP $21,300.00 $(7,849.00) -36.8%
AFL Line – SP $107,031.00 $124.67 0.1%
FB Elite $5,833.00 $1,709.70 29.3%
Skeeve $2,400.00 $1,788.00 74.5%
Combo FI $3,500.00 $620.00 17.7%
6-22 $250.00 $537.50 215.0%
7-21 $2,250.00 $(1,205.00) -53.6%
8-21 $1,000.00 $(1,000.00) -100.0%
31-42 $3,500.00 $450.00 12.9%
33-41 $750.00 $(750.00) -100.0%
33-42 $750.00 $(750.00) -100.0%
TOX $2,500.00 $652.50 26.1%
STOY $2,250.00 $902.50 40.1%
STOZ $3,000.00 $260.00 8.7%
D3-D6 $500.00 $(500.00) -100.0%
NP Win $530.00 $(280.00) -52.8%
ClubGowi $53,633.00 $1,737.79 3.2%
Rugby SP $10,508.00 $2,212.35 21.1%
NRL SP $7,405.00 $(3,620.10) -48.9%
GOWI $3,254.00 $(1,212.00) -37.2%
MLB $53,500.00 $(2,805.50) -5.2%
PCG $32,750.00 $204.45 0.6%
Jason Kelly Golf $1,025.00 $(1,025.00) -100.0%
SP MLB $30,621.00 $3,551.14 11.6%
Betswot $600.00 $4,780.50 796.8%
Steve
How did you go on the horse racing?
I notice you are betting the SP MLB totals. This seems promising and I note you can bet in the evening our time which is attractive. Any issues getting the required odds?
Thanks
Geoff
PS I am off to Brazil tomorrow. How lucky am I?
I hate you Geoff. Lucky bastard. What games will you be watching?
Horse racing is terrible at the moment. I will write a review on that soon. It would have brought this month into negative. I’m not sure if I should combine them or not. Something to think about.
Yeah, so far so good for SP MLB totals. They come out at 6pm our time which is great. So far so good on the odds, but that usually doesn’t last long. I’ve actually found that using other books instead of Pin is the way to go.
Yeah I am reluctant to jump in yet on the MLB. Will keep a watching brief.
There are some excellent horse racing tipsters around like Smartform and Champion Picks. Not sure who you are following.
I am going to each of the Aussie games and to Belgium v S Korea. Hoping to get a ticket to the round of 16 game in Rio. All in all I am going to 6 cities and will get to watch some of the great teams in the world.
Keep rubbing it in Geoff. haha.
Hope you have an awesome time. I wanted to go this year but no friends could get time off.
I’m following Redbelly at the moment, I have not heard good things about Champion picks. Are you using them? How have you gone?
I’ll continue to be everyones guinea pig for sports tipsters.
Yep I am using the Trial Spy service of Champion Picks. It has been very successful. All results are on their web page for each service. I have always found them to be very transparent.
I previously used their ratings service which coincidentally was run by Ed Kennett who now runs Red Belly. I think using ratings is by far the best way to bet on horses but you need to be at the computer while the races are on so it did not suit me.
For what it’s worth my brother has been following their Kiwi horse racing service and he tells me it is profitable.
How are their odds recording? can you get similar odds?
Getting the odds is not generally an issue if you have a Bet 365 account but I presume you don’t! If you don’t then you can usually get on at another bookie but Bet 365 will pay at best tote or SP if that is better than the price you took originally. The guy who runs the Trial Spy service has written quite a bit about it to members. I guess that it’s not a problem for me while I manage to keep my Bet 365 account.
Thanks Geoff,
I’ll have a real good look into it. Looks like I’ll have to be on the waiting list for now. I’m on one of my last B365 accounts. They sadly don’t last very long.