Nov 5th – Nov 11th -$22,577.59

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9 Responses

  1. Shayne says:

    Looking forward to reading the article tommorow. After following you and sport punter for a while now I decided to finally subscribe this week….35% of my bank gone first week and a feeling that I won’t claw it back anytime soon. I know it’s a long term thing but sometimes you just need to have a rant.

  2. Steve says:

    Hey Shayne, yep a rant can be helpful, but how did you lose 35% of your bank? Which models are you following? Did you set your banks correctly?

  3. Shayne says:

    I’ll take a look at the spreadsheet when I get home. It wasn’t 35% yesterday but after a few bad results today I figured it would be around that mark. Following nba, nbl, nfl, nhl. Mind you I joined a day after Some huge results (few over 20%roi). Only betting the bigger overlays (which all seem to be getting beaten) still haven’t found a sweet spot on the Kelly factor, what do u use.

  4. Steve says:

    My Kelly is pointless for anyone else but me. Jonno wrote an article the other day which might help, check out his site. What you need to do is work out your bank for each model, then turn that into 50-100 units (depending on your risk tolerance) and work out what 1 unit is. So lets say you like risk and your bank for NFL is $20,000. That means 1 unit will be $400. Now work backwards, put 20k in as your bank and adjust the kelly until the average bet size is around $400.

  5. Shayne says:

    I do still have 1 unders bet yet that might claw something back on.?i know you probably have better things to do then listen to me whine but do you mind if I shoot you an email to check where I have gone wrong this week

  6. Steve says:

    email me, but dont expect a quick reply.. Jonno should be the one helping you if you just paid a heap for his service.

  7. Shayne says:

    Thanks Steve, I’ll take a closer look tonight and see what I am doing. The way you explained it in units makes much more sense to me

  8. XX says:

    Hi Steve,

    I am assuming, as you have the SP NBA model, that you’re not following any of the two SBC NBA tipsters – Andre Gomes and George Dempsey? I’ve taken the plunge and am following Andre for the season as I make a foray into sports betting (I was too late to sign up for Dempsey’s) I am hopeful I can make 5%. POT which would be great considering bet volume. Easily accessible lines thus far.

    Aaron.

  9. Steve says:

    Hey Aaron,
    Nope, not following them. I have SP and PCG for NBA. Great to hear you can get the lines and odds. Good luck with it this season. The American sports have a lot of upside to them if you can find a great tipster.

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